v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Elijio Arreguin runs average on cards, and the 4 rows we would back lean evenly between the two sides.
118 players across every market.
Antoine GriezmannST · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 44% at 2.25 Paddy Power, gap +10pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 44% at 2.25 Paddy Power, gap +10pp
Joran GerbetRDM · #35Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
James SandsLCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 69% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 69% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 69% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Martín OjedaLM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 49% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Marco PašalićCAM · #87Fouls committed
DataPitch 53% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
David BrekaloRCB · #4Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Hannes WolfLM · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Andrés PereaLDM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Eduard AtuestaLDM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Iván AnguloLB · #77Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Axel OjedaRM · #26-19ppAxel OjedaRM · #26Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Tayvon GrayRB · #24Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Griffin DorseyRB · #24Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -25pp
Nico CavalloLB · #2-30ppNico CavalloLB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13Fouls committed
DataPitch 34% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7Shots
DataPitch 99% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 99% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 99% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Antoine GriezmannST · #7Shots
DataPitch 98% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 98% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 98% · Market 94% at 1.06 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Marco PašalićCAM · #87Shots
DataPitch 88% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 88% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 88% · Market 93% at 1.07 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Martín OjedaLM · #10Shots
DataPitch 89% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 89% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 89% · Market 96% at 1.04 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Hannes WolfLM · #17Shots
DataPitch 80% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 80% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 80% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Axel OjedaRM · #26Shots
DataPitch 75% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 75% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 75% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Andrés PereaLDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 68% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Eduard AtuestaLDM · #20Shots
DataPitch 47% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 47% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 47% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -15pp
Tyrese SpicerRM · #14Shots
DataPitch 74% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 74% · Market 95% at 1.05 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 74% · Market 95% at 1.05 Bet365, gap -21pp
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13Shots
DataPitch 12% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 35% at 2.88 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Tayvon GrayRB · #24Shots
DataPitch 29% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -26pp
Joran GerbetRDM · #35Shots
DataPitch 15% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Nico CavalloLB · #2-33ppNico CavalloLB · #2Shots
DataPitch 10% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -33pp
Iván AnguloLB · #77Shots
DataPitch 48% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -34pp
Robin JanssonLCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 22% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -34pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -34pp
James SandsLCB · #6-38ppJames SandsLCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 12% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 50% at 2.00 Paddy Power, gap -38pp
David BrekaloRCB · #4Shots
DataPitch 20% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -40pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -40pp
Griffin DorseyRB · #24Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -42pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -42pp
Robin JanssonLCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 26% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 26% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 26% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -1pp
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Tayvon GrayRB · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Eduard AtuestaLDM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 29% at 3.50 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 29% at 3.50 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Andrés PereaLDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -11pp
James SandsLCB · #6-11ppJames SandsLCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 25% at 4.00 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Antoine GriezmannST · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 64% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 58% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
David BrekaloRCB · #4Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -16pp
Griffin DorseyRB · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -18pp
Nico CavalloLB · #2-18ppNico CavalloLB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 18% at 5.50 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Axel OjedaRM · #26-20ppAxel OjedaRM · #26Shots on target
DataPitch 35% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Marco PašalićCAM · #87Shots on target
DataPitch 46% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Martín OjedaLM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 59% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -24pp
Hannes WolfLM · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 65% at 1.53 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Joran GerbetRDM · #35Shots on target
DataPitch 0% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap -24pp
Iván AnguloLB · #77Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 55% at 1.83 Paddy Power, gap -28pp
Tyrese SpicerRM · #14Shots on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -37pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -37pp
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 36% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap +8pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap +8pp
David BrekaloRCB · #4To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +5pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +5pp
Hannes WolfLM · #17To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Marco PašalićCAM · #87To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +2pp
Eduard AtuestaLDM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 39% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap +1pp
Iván AnguloLB · #77To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 21%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 21% at 4.75 Bet365, gap +0pp
James SandsLCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap -1pp
Andrés PereaLDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 32% at 3.10 Bet365, gap -2pp
Tyrese SpicerRM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 28% at 3.60 Bet365, gap -4pp
Joran GerbetRDM · #35To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Robin JanssonLCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -4pp
Antoine GriezmannST · #7To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Griffin DorseyRB · #24To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Axel OjedaRM · #26To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -6pp
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Nico CavalloLB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Martín OjedaLM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 6% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Maxime CrépeauGK · #71To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Matthew FreeseGK · #49To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -15pp
Tayvon GrayRB · #24To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -19pp
James SandsLCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Robin JanssonLCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nico CavalloLB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matthew FreeseGK · #49Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Luighi HanriST · #20Luighi HanriST · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Griffin DorseyRB · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tayvon GrayRB · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tyrese SpicerRM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andrés PereaLDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Antoine GriezmannST · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Iván AnguloLB · #77Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Maxime CrépeauGK · #71Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Hannes WolfLM · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Marco PašalićCAM · #87Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Martín OjedaLM · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Eduard AtuestaLDM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Axel OjedaRM · #26Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nicolás Fernández MercauCAM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 47%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Martín OjedaLM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 37%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Antoine GriezmannST · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Aiden O'NeillRDM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Marco PašalićCAM · #87Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Iván AnguloLB · #77Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Andrés PereaLDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Griffin DorseyRB · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tayvon GrayRB · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Axel OjedaRM · #26Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Luighi HanriST · #20Luighi HanriST · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Hannes WolfLM · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
David BrekaloRCB · #4Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tyrese SpicerRM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Eduard AtuestaLDM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Thiago MartinsRCB · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Robin JanssonLCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Maxime CrépeauGK · #71Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joran GerbetRDM · #35Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Matthew FreeseGK · #49Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
James SandsLCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nico CavalloLB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Elijio Arreguin will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 23 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.22/match · Away 1.96/match
3.71/match in tight games · 4.22/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.