v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Fotis Bazakos runs average on cards, and 3 of the 3 rows we would back are Vancouver Whitecaps's.
171 lines on 6 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his other lines, his numbers and the arithmetic behind the colour.
T. JohnsonLB · #28Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
M. LabordaRCB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
S. HeftiRB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
T. BlackmonLCB · #33Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
PeglowLCM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
B. WhiteST · #24Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
L. BartlettRCB · #3Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
T. MüllerLM · #13Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
K. RowlesLCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 50% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
B. ServaniaCM · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
R. GauldCAM · #25Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
O. LarrazRDM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
C. SabalyRM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
K. KurokawaLB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 43% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
price too short
T. BariboST · #9Shots
DataPitch 98% · Market 94%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
K. RowlesLCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 33% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
B. WhiteST · #24Shots
DataPitch 100% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
L. MunteanuLW · #11Shots
DataPitch 89% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
C. SabalyRM · #7Shots
DataPitch 92% · Market 98%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
R. GauldCAM · #25Shots
DataPitch 92% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
L. BartlettRCB · #3Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
T. MüllerLM · #13Shots
DataPitch 89% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
S. HeftiRB · #5Shots
DataPitch 24% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
M. LabordaRCB · #2Shots
DataPitch 76% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
B. ServaniaCM · #23Shots
DataPitch 46% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
T. BlackmonLCB · #33Shots
DataPitch 49% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
J. HopkinsRW · #25Shots
DataPitch 59% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
N. OrdazRCM · #22Shots
DataPitch 60% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
PeglowLCM · #7Shots
DataPitch 57% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
K. KurokawaLB · #6Shots
DataPitch 9% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
É. OcampoRB · #18Shots
DataPitch 54% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
O. LarrazRDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 47% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
A. CubasLDM · #20Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
T. JohnsonLB · #28Shots
DataPitch 8% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -56pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
S. HeftiRB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
L. BartlettRCB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
K. RowlesLCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 16% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
T. BlackmonLCB · #33Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
B. ServaniaCM · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
B. WhiteST · #24Shots on target
DataPitch 83% · Market 89%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
K. KurokawaLB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
J. HopkinsRW · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 31% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
T. BariboST · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 56% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
PeglowLCM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
L. MunteanuLW · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 50% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
N. OrdazRCM · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
T. JohnsonLB · #28Shots on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
O. LarrazRDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
M. LabordaRCB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
T. MüllerLM · #13Shots on target
DataPitch 60% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
É. OcampoRB · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
A. CubasLDM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
R. GauldCAM · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 57% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
C. SabalyRM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 35% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -48pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
The books expect about 4 cards.
É. OcampoRB · #18To be booked
DataPitch 33% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
A. CubasLDM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 32% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
R. GauldCAM · #25To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
C. SabalyRM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
L. BartlettRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
M. LabordaRCB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
B. WhiteST · #24To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
T. JohnsonLB · #28To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
T. BlackmonLCB · #33To be booked
DataPitch 16% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
T. BariboST · #9To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
K. KurokawaLB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
O. LarrazRDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
L. MunteanuLW · #11To be booked
DataPitch 15% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
T. MüllerLM · #13To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
N. OrdazRCM · #22To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
Y. TakaokaGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
B. ServaniaCM · #23To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
K. RowlesLCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
J. HopkinsRW · #25To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
S. HeftiRB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 24% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
PeglowLCM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 22%
no price
L. BartlettRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 26%
wins headers against a smaller marker (191cm over a 178cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
T. BlackmonLCB · #33Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23%
wins headers against a smaller marker (189cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
J. HopkinsRW · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 22%
wins headers against a smaller marker (188cm over a 178cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
K. RowlesLCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 178cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
S. JohnsonGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
wins headers against a smaller marker (191cm over a 178cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
M. LabordaRCB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
level in the air (182cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
S. HeftiRB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11%
wins headers against a smaller marker (182cm over a 178cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
T. BariboST · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
wins headers against a smaller marker (181cm over a 178cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
B. WhiteST · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
gives up height in the air (180cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
T. MüllerLM · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8%
wins headers against a smaller marker (185cm over a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
Y. TakaokaGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
level in the air (182cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
T. JohnsonLB · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
gives up height in the air (170cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
É. OcampoRB · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
K. KurokawaLB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 178cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
B. ServaniaCM · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
level in the air (178cm against a 178cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
O. LarrazRDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
A. CubasLDM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
gives up height in the air (163cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
C. SabalyRM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
gives up height in the air (168cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
R. GauldCAM · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
gives up height in the air (169cm against a 183cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
PeglowLCM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 178cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
R. GauldCAM · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18%
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 10 logged matches
L. MunteanuLW · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17%
shoots from range 1.4 times a game across 8 logged matches
T. MüllerLM · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17%
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 9 logged matches
B. WhiteST · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15%
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 8 logged matches
T. BariboST · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
shoots from range 1.2 times a game across 7 logged matches
PeglowLCM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14%
shoots from range 1.1 times a game across 6 logged matches
C. SabalyRM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 13%
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 10 logged matches
É. OcampoRB · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 12%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 8 logged matches
A. CubasLDM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 14 logged matches
T. BlackmonLCB · #33Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 10 logged matches
M. LabordaRCB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 10 logged matches
O. LarrazRDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7%
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 10 logged matches
K. RowlesLCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 5 logged matches
S. HeftiRB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 7 logged matches
B. ServaniaCM · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 8 logged matches
Y. TakaokaGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
no shots from outside the box in the 10 matches we have logged
T. JohnsonLB · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
no shots from outside the box in the 10 matches we have logged
L. BartlettRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 8 logged matches
K. KurokawaLB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 8 matches we have logged
S. JohnsonGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 8 matches we have logged
J. HopkinsRW · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 8 logged matches
N. OrdazRCM · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
no shots from outside the box in the 8 matches we have logged
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Fotis Bazakos will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 105 matches
League average is 3.98 yellows a match.
Home 2.03/match · Away 1.98/match
3.91/match in tight games · 3.77/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.