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Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Chicago Bears 27
Called before kickoff: 16. Won 11, lost 5.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 8 Nov, 12:32 UK.
24 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
LColston Loveland TE · CHI 53+ receiving yardsWon54 yds-113price shown when this board was publishedColston LovelandTE · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 54 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 87% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +34pp
Under 52.5: -109price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OCade Otton TE · TB 31+ receiving yardsLost25 yds-116price shown when this board was publishedCade OttonTE · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 25 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 80% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +26pp
Under 30.5: -110price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 10+ receiving yardsWon60 yds-116price shown when this board was publishedKenny GainwellRB · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 60 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 76% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +22pp
Under 9.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 32+ receiving yardsLost16 yds-116price shown when this board was publishedChris Godwin Jr.WR · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 16 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 73% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +19pp
Under 31.5: -112price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 14+ receiving yardsWon28 yds-114price shown when this board was publishedBucky IrvingRB · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 28 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 70% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 13.5: -110price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ORome Odunze WR · CHI 49+ receiving yardsWon60 yds-113price shown when this board was publishedRome OdunzeWR · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 60 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 68% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 48.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ILuther Burden III WR · CHI 66+ receiving yardsWon97 yds-110price shown when this board was publishedLuther Burden IIIWR · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 97 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 65.5: -113price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SD'Andre Swift RB · CHI 21+ receiving yards-116price shown when this board was publishedD'Andre SwiftRB · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 20.5: -109price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OCade Otton TE · TB 4+ receptionsWon4 receptions+128price shown when this board was publishedCade OttonTE · TBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 79% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +35pp
Under 3.5: -164price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LColston Loveland TE · CHI 6+ receptionsLost4 receptions+100price shown when this board was publishedColston LovelandTE · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 74% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +24pp
Under 5.5: -130price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 4+ receptionsLost2 receptions-122price shown when this board was publishedChris Godwin Jr.WR · TBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 71% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 3.5: -106price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ORome Odunze WR · CHI 4+ receptionsWon4 receptions+129price shown when this board was publishedRome OdunzeWR · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 3.5: -167price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 2+ receptionsWon3 receptions-169price shown when this board was publishedKenny GainwellRB · TBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 76% · Market 63%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 1.5: +132price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 3+ receptionsWon4 receptions-104price shown when this board was publishedBucky IrvingRB · TBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 2.5: -123price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ILuther Burden III WR · CHI 6+ receptionsWon7 receptions+130price shown when this board was publishedLuther Burden IIIWR · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 5.5: -160price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SD'Andre Swift RB · CHI 3+ receptions-147price shown when this board was publishedD'Andre SwiftRB · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 26% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 2.5: +115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SD'Andre Swift RB · CHI 63+ rushing yardsLost31 yds-115price shown when this board was publishedD'Andre SwiftRB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 31 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 62.5: -111price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 64+ rushing yards-113price shown when this board was publishedBucky IrvingRB · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 97 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 63.5: -111price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 22+ rushing yards-116price shown when this board was publishedKenny GainwellRB · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 16 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 21.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JRoschon Johnson RB · CHI 17+ rushing yards-115price shown when this board was publishedRoschon JohnsonRB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 16.5: -111price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MBaker Mayfield QB · TB 17+ rushing yards-111price shown when this board was publishedBaker MayfieldQB · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 16.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCaleb Williams QB · CHI 20+ rushing yards-111price shown when this board was publishedCaleb WilliamsQB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 16 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 19.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MBaker Mayfield QB · TB 212+ passing yardsWon243 yds-114price shown when this board was publishedBaker MayfieldQB · TBPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 243 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 72% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +19pp
Under 211.5: -111price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCaleb Williams QB · CHI 245+ passing yards-111price shown when this board was publishedCaleb WilliamsQB · CHIPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 279 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 244.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
