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Final: Buffalo Bills 23, Minnesota Vikings 6
Called before kickoff: 4. Won 2, lost 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Mon 9 Nov, 20:09 UK.
30 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 10+ receiving yardsLost5 yds-116Bet365Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 9.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
KDawson Knox TE · BUF 9+ receiving yardsWon37 yds-113consensus market priceDawson KnoxTE · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 37 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 8.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
JJauan Jennings WR · MIN 8+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJauan JenningsWR · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 84% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +31pp
Under 7.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IJames Cook III RB · BUF 9+ receiving yards-120Bet365James Cook IIIRB · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 8.5: -111Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
CKeon Coleman WR · BUF 25+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceKeon ColemanWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 24.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
SKhalil Shakir WR · BUF 41+ receiving yards-116Bet365Khalil ShakirWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 58 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 40.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
AJordan Addison WR · MIN 41+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJordan AddisonWR · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 28 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 40.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
HT.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 40+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceT.J. HockensonTE · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 33 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 39.5: -107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
MDJ Moore WR · BUF 48+ receiving yards-116Bet365DJ MooreWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 25 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 15% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 47.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
JJustin Jefferson WR · MIN 81+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJustin JeffersonWR · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 58 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 12% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
Under 80.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 30+ | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson KnoxTE · BUF | ||||
| James Cook IIIRB · BUF | ||||
| Keon ColemanWR · BUF | ||||
| Khalil ShakirWR · BUF | ||||
| Jordan AddisonWR · MIN | ||||
| T.J. HockensonTE · MIN | ||||
| DJ MooreWR · BUF | ||||
| Justin JeffersonWR · MIN |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
KDawson Knox TE · BUF 2+ receptionsWon4 receptions+170Bet365Dawson KnoxTE · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 37%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 1.5: -222Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
JJauan Jennings WR · MIN 1+ receptions-236consensus market priceJauan JenningsWR · MINReceptions
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 85% · Market 70%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 0.5: +179consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 2+ receptions-182Bet365Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 64% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 1.5: +140Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
SKhalil Shakir WR · BUF 4+ receptions-147Bet365Khalil ShakirWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 3.5: +115Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
IJames Cook III RB · BUF 2+ receptions-116Bet365James Cook IIIRB · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 1.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
CKeon Coleman WR · BUF 3+ receptions+130Bet365Keon ColemanWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 2.5: -167Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
HT.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 5+ receptions+100Bet365T.J. HockensonTE · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 4.5: -132Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
AJordan Addison WR · MIN 4+ receptions-116Bet365Jordan AddisonWR · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 17% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 3.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
MDJ Moore WR · BUF 4+ receptions-116Bet365DJ MooreWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 14% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
Under 3.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
JJustin Jefferson WR · MIN 7+ receptions-111Bet365Justin JeffersonWR · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 7% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -46pp
Under 6.5: -120Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson KnoxTE · BUF | ||||
| Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN | ||||
| Khalil ShakirWR · BUF | ||||
| James Cook IIIRB · BUF | ||||
| Keon ColemanWR · BUF | ||||
| T.J. HockensonTE · MIN | ||||
| Jordan AddisonWR · MIN | ||||
| DJ MooreWR · BUF | ||||
| Justin JeffersonWR · MIN | · |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 32+ rushing yardsLost16 yds-116Bet365Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 16 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 70% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 31.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
IJames Cook III RB · BUF 86+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceJames Cook IIIRB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 107 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 85.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DRay Davis RB · BUF 6+ rushing yards-111Bet365Ray DavisRB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 5.5: -120Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
AJosh Allen QB · BUF 32+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceJosh AllenQB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 15 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 31.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
MJordan Mason RB · MIN 48+ rushing yards-108consensus market priceJordan MasonRB · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 35 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 47.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
MKyler Murray QB · MIN 18+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceKyler MurrayQB · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 17.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCarson Wentz QB · MIN 8+ rushing yards-111Bet365Carson WentzQB · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 7.5: -120Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones Sr.RB · MIN | ||||
| James Cook IIIRB · BUF | ||||
| Ray DavisRB · BUF | ||||
| Josh AllenQB · BUF | ||||
| Jordan MasonRB · MIN | ||||
| Carson WentzQB · MIN |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
WCarson Wentz QB · MIN 212+ passing yards-112consensus market priceCarson WentzQB · MINPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 81 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 26% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 211.5: -102consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
MKyler Murray QB · MIN 214+ passing yards-113consensus market priceKyler MurrayQB · MINPassing yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 213.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJosh Allen QB · BUF 231+ passing yards-110consensus market priceJosh AllenQB · BUFPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 234 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 230.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 210+ | 220+ | 230+ | 240+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson WentzQB · MIN | ||||
| Josh AllenQB · BUF |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
