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Bills

Our prices from 20,000 simulated seasons, then a slider to build your own.

Do not win the Super Bowl-1076DataPitch 92%Market 91% · Gap +1pp
Do not win the conference-545DataPitch 85%Market 84% · Gap +0pp
Win the division-130DataPitch 56%Market 57% · Gap +0pp
Make the playoffs-302DataPitch 75%Market 75% · Gap +0pp
Expected wins10.5Market 10.5EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs Miami DolphinsGap +2pp-201EXCHANGE
vs New England PatriotsGap +0pp+190EXCHANGE
vs New York JetsGap +1pp-158EXCHANGE

Players

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB
Josh AllenBUF+2937
DataPitch 3%Market 3%Gap +0pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
James CookBUF+757
DataPitch 6%Market 12%Gap -5pp
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Josh AllenBUF+990
Market +990
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.

Sim it yourself

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Force a result

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Patriots leverage 26pp
vs Dolphins leverage 26pp
vs Jets leverage 25pp
vs Jets leverage 25pp
vs Patriots leverage 25pp
vs Dolphins leverage 25pp
vs Raiders leverage 22pp
vs Chargers leverage 22pp
Advanced: force a playoff path

Bills reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.