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Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

Week 9 · Sun Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET · Market line SEA -8.5 · total 39.5

How our calls did

Final: Arizona Cardinals 3, Seattle Seahawks 17

Called before kickoff: 5. Won 3, lost 1, void 1.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 8 Nov, 12:32 UK.

Every market we price

23 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards28
Michael Wilson WR · ARI 49+ receiving yardsWon60 yds-113price shown when this board was published

Michael WilsonWR · ARIReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 60 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 72% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +19pp

Under 48.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 76.5, median 71
The line
48.5

His last 5, receiving yards

60v SEA2026 week 9
111v DAL2026 week 8
55v DEN2026 week 7
32v LA2026 week 6
30v DET2026 week 5
Elijah Higgins TE · ARI 14+ receiving yardsLost11 yds-118price shown when this board was published

Elijah HigginsTE · ARIReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 60% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +6pp

Under 13.5: -108price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 24.4, median 19
The line
13.5

His last 5, receiving yards

11v SEA2026 week 9
10v DAL2026 week 8
17v DEN2026 week 7
28v LA2026 week 6
57v DET2026 week 5
More players (6)
Cooper Kupp WR · SEA 26+ receiving yards-113price shown when this board was published

Cooper KuppWR · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 32 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 66% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +13pp

Under 25.5: -115price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 42.3, median 37
The line
25.5

His last 5, receiving yards

32v ARI2026 week 9
7v CHI2026 week 8
20v KC2026 week 7
50v DEN2026 week 6
15v SF2026 week 5
Tory Horton WR · SEA 18+ receiving yards-115price shown when this board was published

Tory HortonWR · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 22 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 58% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +4pp

Under 17.5: -111price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 28.5, median 23
The line
17.5

His last 5, receiving yards

22v ARI2026 week 9
26v CHI2026 week 8
0v KC2026 week 7
13v DEN2026 week 6
6v LAC2026 week 4
Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 7+ receiving yards-109price shown when this board was published

Zach CharbonnetRB · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 54% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 6.5: -116price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 12.2, median 8
The line
6.5

His last 5, receiving yards

9v ARI2026 week 9
6v CHI2026 week 8
0v SF2025 week 20
23v SF2025 week 18
12v CAR2025 week 17
Trey McBride TE · ARI 60+ receiving yards-114price shown when this board was published

Trey McBrideTE · ARIReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 54 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 55% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 59.5: -107price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 69, median 64
The line
59.5

His last 5, receiving yards

54v SEA2026 week 9
72v DAL2026 week 8
111v DEN2026 week 7
53v LA2026 week 6
66v DET2026 week 5
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA 94+ receiving yards-116price shown when this board was published

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 51 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 41% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 93.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 90.1, median 84
The line
93.5

His last 5, receiving yards

51v ARI2026 week 9
118v CHI2026 week 8
150v KC2026 week 7
134v DEN2026 week 6
102v SF2026 week 5
AJ Barner TE · SEA 25+ receiving yards-114price shown when this board was published

AJ BarnerTE · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 35% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -18pp

Under 24.5: -113price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 21.3, median 16
The line
24.5

His last 5, receiving yards

7v ARI2026 week 9
23v CHI2026 week 8
42v KC2026 week 7
16v DEN2026 week 6
20v SF2026 week 5
Receptions28
Michael Wilson WR · ARI 5+ receptionsWon6 receptions+110price shown when this board was published

Michael WilsonWR · ARIReceptions

How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 63% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap +15pp

Under 4.5: -141price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 5.7, median 5
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

6v SEA2026 week 9
8v DAL2026 week 8
4v DEN2026 week 7
4v LA2026 week 6
4v DET2026 week 5
Elijah Higgins TE · ARI 2+ receptionsWon2 receptions-132price shown when this board was published

Elijah HigginsTE · ARIReceptions

How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 64% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap +7pp

Under 1.5: +103price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.5, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v SEA2026 week 9
2v DAL2026 week 8
3v DEN2026 week 7
3v LA2026 week 6
3v DET2026 week 5
More players (6)
Cooper Kupp WR · SEA 3+ receptions-126price shown when this board was published

Cooper KuppWR · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 69% · Market 56%

Against this price: Gap +13pp

Under 2.5: +100price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.9, median 4
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

3v ARI2026 week 9
1v CHI2026 week 8
2v KC2026 week 7
5v DEN2026 week 6
2v SF2026 week 5
Trey McBride TE · ARI 8+ receptions+115price shown when this board was published

Trey McBrideTE · ARIReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 44% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 7.5: -150price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 7.2, median 7
The line
7.5

His last 5, receptions

7v SEA2026 week 9
7v DAL2026 week 8
10v DEN2026 week 7
7v LA2026 week 6
9v DET2026 week 5
Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2+ receptions+109price shown when this board was published

Zach CharbonnetRB · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 39% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 1.5: -141price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.4, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v ARI2026 week 9
3v CHI2026 week 8
0v SF2025 week 20
3v SF2025 week 18
2v CAR2025 week 17
Tory Horton WR · SEA 2+ receptions-175price shown when this board was published

Tory HortonWR · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 53% · Market 64%

Against this price: Gap -11pp

Under 1.5: +136price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.9, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v ARI2026 week 9
3v CHI2026 week 8
0v KC2026 week 7
1v DEN2026 week 6
1v LAC2026 week 4
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA 8+ receptions+103price shown when this board was published

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 30% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap -19pp

Under 7.5: -133price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 6.2, median 6
The line
7.5

His last 5, receptions

7v ARI2026 week 9
6v CHI2026 week 8
9v KC2026 week 7
12v DEN2026 week 6
5v SF2026 week 5
AJ Barner TE · SEA 3+ receptions-135price shown when this board was published

AJ BarnerTE · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 37% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap -20pp

Under 2.5: +105price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.2, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v ARI2026 week 9
2v CHI2026 week 8
4v KC2026 week 7
3v DEN2026 week 6
3v SF2026 week 5
Rushing yards6
Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 35+ rushing yards-110price shown when this board was published

Zach CharbonnetRB · SEARushing yards

How it ended: Won, 77 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 55% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 34.5: -116price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 44.8, median 39
The line
34.5

His last 5, rushing yards

77v ARI2026 week 9
23v CHI2026 week 8
20v SF2025 week 20
74v SF2025 week 18
110v CAR2025 week 17
Evan Hull RB · ARI 10+ rushing yards+145price shown when this board was published

Evan HullRB · ARIRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 38% · Market 41%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 10.6, median 6
The line
9.5

His last 5, rushing yards

0v SEA2026 week 9
11v ATL2025 week 18
3v TEN2025 week 17
3v NYJ2025 week 16
12v CAR2025 week 15
More players (4)
DoubtfulDrew Lock QB · SEA 6+ rushing yards-114price shown when this board was published

Drew LockQB · SEARushing yards

How it ended: Won, 16 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Elbow - Limited Practice on Saturday. Questionable for Week 8 vs. Chicago

DataPitch 32% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -21pp

Under 5.5: -106price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 7.8, median 0
The line
5.5

His last 5, rushing yards

16v ARI2026 week 9
0v ARI2026 week 2
13v NE2026 week 1
0v ATL2025 week 14
-4v ARI2025 week 10
Sam Darnold QB · SEA 6+ rushing yards-114price shown when this board was published

Sam DarnoldQB · SEARushing yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 30% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 5.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 6.5, median 0
The line
5.5

His last 5, rushing yards

20v CHI2026 week 8
17v KC2026 week 7
19v DEN2026 week 6
5v SF2026 week 5
6v LAC2026 week 4
Gardner Minshew II QB · ARI 6+ rushing yards-116price shown when this board was published

Gardner Minshew IIQB · ARIRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 4 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 26% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -28pp

Under 5.5: -116price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 5, median 0
The line
5.5

His last 5, rushing yards

4v SEA2026 week 9
0v DAL2026 week 8
8v TEN2025 week 16
0v LAC2025 week 15
-3v LV2025 week 7
Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 50+ rushing yards-112price shown when this board was published

Tyler AllgeierRB · ARIRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 46 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 13% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -40pp

Under 49.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 24.9, median 20
The line
49.5

His last 5, rushing yards

46v SEA2026 week 9
147v DAL2026 week 8
19v DEN2026 week 7
38v LA2026 week 6
7v DET2026 week 5
Passing yards11
Sam Darnold QB · SEA 300+ passing yardsVoiddid not play+2285price shown when this board was published

Sam DarnoldQB · SEAPassing yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 13% · Market 4%

Against this price: Gap +9pp

Under 299.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 215.4, median 209
The line
299.5

His last 5, passing yards

173v CHI2026 week 8
257v KC2026 week 7
242v DEN2026 week 6
162v SF2026 week 5
148v LAC2026 week 4

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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