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Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders

Week 8 · Sun Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET · Market line WAS -6 · total 40.5

How our calls did

Final: Philadelphia Eagles 10, Washington Commanders 27

Nothing on this game was called before kickoff, so it has no record.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Mon 2 Nov, 14:57 UK.

Every market we price

20 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards47
Chig Okonkwo TE · WAS Under 34.5 receiving yards-107price shown when this board was published

Chig OkonkwoTE · WASReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 32 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 81% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +29pp

Over 34.5: -115price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 19.7, median 14
The line
34.5

His last 5, receiving yards

69v SF2026 week 6
60v NYG2026 week 5
5v IND2026 week 4
16v PHI2026 week 1
2v JAX2025 week 18
Stefon Diggs WR · WAS Under 42.5 receiving yards-103price shown when this board was published

Stefon DiggsWR · WASReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 38 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 60% · Market 51%

Against this price: Gap +9pp

Over 42.5: -115price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 41.2, median 35
The line
42.5

His last 5, receiving yards

44v SF2026 week 6
35v IND2026 week 4
33v SEA2026 week 3
47v DAL2026 week 2
55v PHI2026 week 1
More players (5)
Dallas Goedert TE · PHI 46+ receiving yards-114price shown when this board was published

Dallas GoedertTE · PHIReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 30 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 61% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 45.5: -113price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 60, median 54
The line
45.5

His last 5, receiving yards

48v DAL2026 week 7
61v CAR2026 week 6
38v JAX2026 week 5
4v TEN2026 week 2
77v WAS2026 week 1
Rachaad White RB · WAS Under 13.5 receiving yards-115price shown when this board was published

Rachaad WhiteRB · WASReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 61% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +7pp

Over 13.5: -110price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 13.5, median 10
The line
13.5

His last 5, receiving yards

30v SF2026 week 6
2v NYG2026 week 5
6v SEA2026 week 3
40v DAL2026 week 2
5v PHI2026 week 1
DoubtfulSaquon Barkley RB · PHI 13+ receiving yards-111price shown when this board was published

Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 24 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 15.5 to 11.5 between the open and the close, 26% at consensus: the market is pricing him down

DataPitch 67% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +14pp

Under 12.5: -111price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 25.4, median 20
The line
12.5

His last 5, receiving yards

9v DAL2026 week 7
2v LA2026 week 4
-2v CHI2026 week 3
11v TEN2026 week 2
-3v WAS2026 week 1
DoubtfulTreylon Burks WR · WAS 22+ receiving yards-113price shown when this board was published

Treylon BurksWR · WASReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 81 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Foot - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 8 vs. Philadelphia

DataPitch 38% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -15pp

Under 21.5: -111price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 20.6, median 16
The line
21.5

His last 5, receiving yards

66v SF2026 week 6
26v NYG2026 week 5
47v IND2026 week 4
13v SEA2026 week 3
0v DAL2026 week 2
DoubtfulJohn Bates TE · WAS 1+ receiving yardsno price held

John BatesTE · WASReceiving yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Shoulder - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 8 vs. Philadelphia

DataPitch 77%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 17.8, median 12
The line
0.5

His last 5, receiving yards

4v SF2026 week 6
1v NYG2026 week 5
9v SEA2026 week 3
13v PHI2026 week 1
13v PHI2025 week 18
Receptions6
DoubtfulSaquon Barkley RB · PHI 3+ receptions+137price shown when this board was published

Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 15.5 to 11.5 between the open and the close, 26% at consensus: the market is pricing him down

DataPitch 51% · Market 42%

Against this price: Gap +9pp

Under 2.5: -180price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.9, median 3
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v DAL2026 week 7
1v LA2026 week 4
1v CHI2026 week 3
1v TEN2026 week 2
1v WAS2026 week 1
Dallas Goedert TE · PHI 5+ receptions-149price shown when this board was published

Dallas GoedertTE · PHIReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 63% · Market 60%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 4.5: +115price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 5.7, median 5
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

5v DAL2026 week 7
6v CAR2026 week 6
6v JAX2026 week 5
1v TEN2026 week 2
4v WAS2026 week 1
More players (4)
DoubtfulTreylon Burks WR · WAS 2+ receptions-116price shown when this board was published

Treylon BurksWR · WASReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Foot - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 8 vs. Philadelphia

DataPitch 43% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -11pp

Under 1.5: -110price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.5, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

4v SF2026 week 6
2v NYG2026 week 5
1v IND2026 week 4
2v SEA2026 week 3
0v DAL2026 week 2
Rachaad White RB · WAS 3+ receptions+105price shown when this board was published

Rachaad WhiteRB · WASReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 27% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap -22pp

Under 2.5: -132price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.8, median 1
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

4v SF2026 week 6
1v NYG2026 week 5
1v SEA2026 week 3
6v DAL2026 week 2
2v PHI2026 week 1
Stefon Diggs WR · WAS 5+ receptions+115price shown when this board was published

Stefon DiggsWR · WASReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 24% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 4.5: -144price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.2, median 3
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

6v SF2026 week 6
5v IND2026 week 4
4v SEA2026 week 3
5v DAL2026 week 2
4v PHI2026 week 1
Chig Okonkwo TE · WAS 4+ receptions+101price shown when this board was published

Chig OkonkwoTE · WASReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 17% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap -33pp

Under 3.5: -126price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2, median 2
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

7v SF2026 week 6
4v NYG2026 week 5
2v IND2026 week 4
2v PHI2026 week 1
2v JAX2025 week 18
Rushing yards5
DoubtfulSaquon Barkley RB · PHI 45+ rushing yards-115price shown when this board was published

Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 30 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 15.5 to 11.5 between the open and the close, 26% at consensus: the market is pricing him down

DataPitch 69% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +15pp

Under 44.5: -114price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 67.2, median 61
The line
44.5

His last 5, rushing yards

62v DAL2026 week 7
8v LA2026 week 4
82v CHI2026 week 3
9v TEN2026 week 2
83v WAS2026 week 1
Tanner McKee QB · PHI 1+ rushing yards-116price shown when this board was published

Tanner McKeeQB · PHIRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 25 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 56% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 0.5: -107price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 8.8, median 2
The line
0.5

His last 5, rushing yards

1v DAL2026 week 7
0v CAR2026 week 6
3v WAS2025 week 18
-2v WAS2025 week 16
9v LV2025 week 15
More players (3)
Rachaad White RB · WAS 41+ rushing yards-116price shown when this board was published

Rachaad WhiteRB · WASRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 55 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 44% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -10pp

Under 40.5: -111price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 42.1, median 35
The line
40.5

His last 5, rushing yards

27v SF2026 week 6
18v NYG2026 week 5
35v SEA2026 week 3
43v DAL2026 week 2
22v PHI2026 week 1
DoubtfulJeremy McNichols RB · WAS 20+ rushing yards-107price shown when this board was published

Jeremy McNicholsRB · WASRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 21 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: his rushing yards line fell 27.5 to 19.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down

DataPitch 39% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 19.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 20.9, median 14
The line
19.5

His last 5, rushing yards

13v SF2026 week 6
3v PHI2025 week 18
-2v DAL2025 week 17
3v PHI2025 week 16
6v NYG2025 week 15
Jayden Daniels QB · WAS 37+ rushing yards-113price shown when this board was published

Jayden DanielsQB · WASRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 40% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 36.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 35.8, median 29
The line
36.5

His last 5, rushing yards

10v SF2026 week 6
103v NYG2026 week 5
69v DAL2026 week 2
31v PHI2026 week 1
16v MIN2025 week 14
Passing yards12
Tanner McKee QB · PHI 205+ passing yards-113price shown when this board was published

Tanner McKeeQB · PHIPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 212 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 69% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +16pp

Under 204.5: -112price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 244.3, median 240
The line
204.5

His last 5, passing yards

200v DAL2026 week 7
187v CAR2026 week 6
227v WAS2025 week 18
33v LV2025 week 15
252v NYG2024 week 18
Jayden Daniels QB · WAS 199+ passing yards-111price shown when this board was published

Jayden DanielsQB · WASPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 217 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 29% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -24pp

Under 198.5: -109price shown when this board was published

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 169.4, median 164
The line
198.5

His last 5, passing yards

261v SF2026 week 6
178v NYG2026 week 5
96v DAL2026 week 2
163v PHI2026 week 1
77v MIN2025 week 14

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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