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Commanders

Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.

Win the Super Bowl+14825DataPitch <1%Market 1% · Gap -1pp
Do not win the conference-13158DataPitch 99%Market 99% · Gap +0pp
Do not win the division-609DataPitch 89%Market 86% · Gap +3pp
Miss the playoffs-700DataPitch 90%Market 88% · Gap +2pp
Expected wins5.4Market 5.0EXCHANGE

Season series

Who wins the two meetings this year. Both games are in every simulated season.

vs New York GiantsGap -4pp+120EXCHANGE

Players

These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.

Passing yards leaderQB
Jayden DanielsWASn/a
Market n/a
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASn/a
Market n/a
Our own projection.

Sim it yourself

Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.

Force a result

Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.

vs Giants leverage 14pp
vs Vikings leverage 13pp
vs Cowboys leverage 12pp
vs Jaguars leverage 12pp
vs Rams leverage 11pp
vs Eagles leverage 11pp
vs Texans leverage 10pp
vs Bengals leverage 10pp
Advanced: force a playoff path

Commanders reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.

More on Commanders

Commanders win totalEvery team in the season simulationHow the simulator works