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Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams

Week 8 · Sun Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET · Market line LA -6.5 · total 45.5

How our calls did

Final: Los Angeles Chargers 9, Los Angeles Rams 24

Called before kickoff: 8. Won 6, lost 2.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 1 Nov, 11:05 UK.

Every market we price

30 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards410
Omarion Hampton RB · LAC 6+ receiving yardsWon7 yds-113consensus market price

Omarion HamptonRB · LACReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 7 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 88% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +35pp

Under 5.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 27.8, median 23
The line
5.5

His last 5, receiving yards

21v KC2026 week 6
6v DEN2026 week 5
8v SEA2026 week 4
0v BUF2026 week 3
21v LV2026 week 2
Puka Nacua WR · LA 92+ receiving yardsLost80 yds-113consensus market price

Puka NacuaWR · LAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 80 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 86% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +33pp

Under 91.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 157.7, median 152
The line
91.5

His last 5, receiving yards

68v LV2026 week 7
80v ARI2026 week 6
138v BUF2026 week 5
125v PHI2026 week 4
74v SF2026 week 1
More players (8)
Oronde Gadsden TE · LAC 16+ receiving yardsWon52 yds-116Bet365

Oronde GadsdenTE · LACReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 52 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 84% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +30pp

Under 15.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 47.3, median 41
The line
15.5

His last 5, receiving yards

17v KC2026 week 6
0v DEN2026 week 5
36v SEA2026 week 4
0v BUF2026 week 3
18v LV2026 week 2
Quentin Johnston WR · LAC 32+ receiving yardsWon37 yds-111DraftKings

Quentin JohnstonWR · LACReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 37 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 79% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +26pp

Under 31.5: -115DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 64.8, median 59
The line
31.5

His last 5, receiving yards

57v KC2026 week 6
44v SEA2026 week 4
40v BUF2026 week 3
7v LV2026 week 2
17v ARI2026 week 1
Colby Parkinson TE · LA 24+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Colby ParkinsonTE · LAReceiving yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 78% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +24pp

Under 23.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 49.5, median 44
The line
23.5

His last 5, receiving yards

48v LV2026 week 7
31v ARI2026 week 6
3v BUF2026 week 5
0v DEN2026 week 3
15v NYG2026 week 2
Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 8+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Kimani VidalRB · LACReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 68% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +15pp

Under 7.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 19, median 14
The line
7.5

His last 5, receiving yards

19v KC2026 week 6
-1v DEN2026 week 5
11v SEA2026 week 4
14v BUF2026 week 3
0v LV2026 week 2
Tre' Harris WR · LAC 35+ receiving yards-115consensus market price

Tre' HarrisWR · LACReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 31 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 62% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 34.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 49.7, median 44
The line
34.5

His last 5, receiving yards

16v DEN2026 week 5
60v SEA2026 week 4
76v BUF2026 week 3
53v LV2026 week 2
20v ARI2026 week 1
Davis Allen TE · LA 16+ receiving yards-116Bet365

Davis AllenTE · LAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 60% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +6pp

Under 15.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 25.6, median 20
The line
15.5

His last 5, receiving yards

20v LV2026 week 7
0v ARI2026 week 6
24v BUF2026 week 5
0v PHI2026 week 4
19v DEN2026 week 3
DoubtfulLadd McConkey WR · LAC 48+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Ladd McConkeyWR · LACReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 86 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Concussion - Questionable for Week 8 at L.A. Rams

DataPitch 49% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -4pp

Under 47.5: -107consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 52, median 47
The line
47.5

His last 5, receiving yards

17v KC2026 week 6
0v SEA2026 week 4
66v BUF2026 week 3
35v LV2026 week 2
82v ARI2026 week 1
Kyren Williams RB · LA 24+ receiving yards-112DraftKings

Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 3 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 43% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -10pp

Under 23.5: -112DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 24.6, median 20
The line
23.5

His last 5, receiving yards

22v LV2026 week 7
17v ARI2026 week 6
27v BUF2026 week 5
67v PHI2026 week 4
70v DEN2026 week 3
Receptions310
Quentin Johnston WR · LAC 3+ receptionsWon4 receptions+110Bet365

Quentin JohnstonWR · LACReceptions

How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 79% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap +31pp

Under 2.5: -141Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.7, median 4
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

1v KC2026 week 6
1v SEA2026 week 4
3v BUF2026 week 3
1v LV2026 week 2
2v ARI2026 week 1
Puka Nacua WR · LA 8+ receptionsWon11 receptions-125Bet365

Puka NacuaWR · LAReceptions

How it ended: Won, 11 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 84% · Market 56%

Against this price: Gap +28pp

Under 7.5: -105Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 11.4, median 11
The line
7.5

His last 5, receptions

8v LV2026 week 7
6v ARI2026 week 6
17v BUF2026 week 5
9v PHI2026 week 4
5v SF2026 week 1
More players (8)
Oronde Gadsden TE · LAC 2+ receptionsWon5 receptions-143DraftKings

Oronde GadsdenTE · LACReceptions

How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 81% · Market 59%

Against this price: Gap +22pp

Under 1.5: +111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.6, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

3v KC2026 week 6
0v DEN2026 week 5
5v SEA2026 week 4
0v BUF2026 week 3
2v LV2026 week 2
Omarion Hampton RB · LAC 2+ receptions+155Bet365

Omarion HamptonRB · LACReceptions

How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 81% · Market 39%

Against this price: Gap +42pp

Under 1.5: -200Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.6, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

4v KC2026 week 6
1v DEN2026 week 5
2v SEA2026 week 4
0v BUF2026 week 3
2v LV2026 week 2
Colby Parkinson TE · LA 3+ receptions-120Bet365

Colby ParkinsonTE · LAReceptions

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 81% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap +26pp

Under 2.5: -111Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.9, median 5
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

5v LV2026 week 7
5v ARI2026 week 6
1v BUF2026 week 5
0v DEN2026 week 3
2v NYG2026 week 2
Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 2+ receptions+109DraftKings

Kimani VidalRB · LACReceptions

How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 60% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap +12pp

Under 1.5: -141DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.3, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

3v KC2026 week 6
1v DEN2026 week 5
2v SEA2026 week 4
1v BUF2026 week 3
0v LV2026 week 2
Tre' Harris WR · LAC 3+ receptions-130DraftKings

Tre' HarrisWR · LACReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 69% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap +12pp

Under 2.5: +101DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.9, median 4
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v DEN2026 week 5
3v SEA2026 week 4
6v BUF2026 week 3
1v LV2026 week 2
3v ARI2026 week 1
Davis Allen TE · LA 2+ receptions-156Bet365

Davis AllenTE · LAReceptions

How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 69% · Market 61%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 1.5: +122Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.7, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

4v LV2026 week 7
0v ARI2026 week 6
2v BUF2026 week 5
0v PHI2026 week 4
2v DEN2026 week 3
DoubtfulLadd McConkey WR · LAC 4+ receptions-147DraftKings

Ladd McConkeyWR · LACReceptions

How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Concussion - Questionable for Week 8 at L.A. Rams

DataPitch 54% · Market 60%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 3.5: +115DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4, median 4
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

1v KC2026 week 6
0v SEA2026 week 4
4v BUF2026 week 3
3v LV2026 week 2
5v ARI2026 week 1
Kyren Williams RB · LA 4+ receptions+114DraftKings

Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 36% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap -11pp

Under 3.5: -147DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.1, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

2v LV2026 week 7
3v ARI2026 week 6
6v BUF2026 week 5
10v PHI2026 week 4
6v DEN2026 week 3
Rushing yards18
Matthew Stafford QB · LA 1+ rushing yardsLost0 yds+145Bet365

Matthew StaffordQB · LARushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 49% · Market 41%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 0.5: -185Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 7.3, median 1
The line
0.5

His last 5, rushing yards

-3v LV2026 week 7
0v ARI2026 week 6
0v BUF2026 week 5
10v PHI2026 week 4
13v DEN2026 week 3
Kyren Williams RB · LA 60+ rushing yards-116DraftKings

Kyren WilliamsRB · LARushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 56 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 57% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 59.5: -110DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 72.8, median 67
The line
59.5

His last 5, rushing yards

99v LV2026 week 7
50v ARI2026 week 6
49v BUF2026 week 5
80v PHI2026 week 4
88v DEN2026 week 3
More players (6)
Omarion Hampton RB · LAC 33+ rushing yards-110consensus market price

Omarion HamptonRB · LACRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 51% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -1pp

Under 32.5: -120consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 39.1, median 33
The line
32.5

His last 5, rushing yards

18v KC2026 week 6
33v DEN2026 week 5
45v SEA2026 week 4
56v BUF2026 week 3
94v LV2026 week 2
Blake Corum RB · LA 48+ rushing yards-112DraftKings

Blake CorumRB · LARushing yards

How it ended: Won, 73 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 47% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 47.5: -112DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 53.1, median 45
The line
47.5

His last 5, rushing yards

93v LV2026 week 7
42v ARI2026 week 6
19v BUF2026 week 5
14v PHI2026 week 4
15v DEN2026 week 3
Keaton Mitchell RB · LAC 16+ rushing yards-119DraftKings

Keaton MitchellRB · LACRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 41% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -13pp

Under 15.5: -106DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 18.5, median 12
The line
15.5

His last 5, rushing yards

4v KC2026 week 6
11v DEN2026 week 5
39v SEA2026 week 4
52v BUF2026 week 3
24v LV2026 week 2
Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 24+ rushing yards-116consensus market price

Kimani VidalRB · LACRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 29% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -25pp

Under 23.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 18.5, median 13
The line
23.5

His last 5, rushing yards

21v KC2026 week 6
57v DEN2026 week 5
25v SEA2026 week 4
6v BUF2026 week 3
0v LV2026 week 2
Justin Herbert QB · LAC 24+ rushing yards-116Bet365

Justin HerbertQB · LACRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 15 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 28% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -26pp

Under 23.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 17.6, median 12
The line
23.5

His last 5, rushing yards

26v KC2026 week 6
54v DEN2026 week 5
40v SEA2026 week 4
17v BUF2026 week 3
2v LV2026 week 2
Puka Nacua WR · LA 1+ rushing yards+100Bet365

Puka NacuaWR · LARushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 14% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap -36pp

Under 0.5: -132Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 1.8, median 0
The line
0.5

His last 5, rushing yards

10v LV2026 week 7
0v ARI2026 week 6
9v BUF2026 week 5
2v PHI2026 week 4
0v SF2026 week 1
Passing yards2
Matthew Stafford QB · LA 250+ passing yards-112DraftKings

Matthew StaffordQB · LAPassing yards

How it ended: Lost, 157 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 56% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 249.5: -112DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 265.9, median 261
The line
249.5

His last 5, passing yards

187v LV2026 week 7
194v ARI2026 week 6
377v BUF2026 week 5
309v PHI2026 week 4
366v DEN2026 week 3
Justin Herbert QB · LAC 206+ passing yards-113consensus market price

Justin HerbertQB · LACPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 257 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 54% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 205.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 217.7, median 213
The line
205.5

His last 5, passing yards

186v KC2026 week 6
82v DEN2026 week 5
154v SEA2026 week 4
217v BUF2026 week 3
183v LV2026 week 2

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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