We use analytics to see what works.
Our numbers from 20,000 simulated seasons, pulled toward the market, then a slider to build your own.
Win the Super Bowl+90809DataPitch <1%Market <1% · Gap +0pp
Do not win the conference-18182DataPitch >99%Market 99% · Gap +1pp
Do not win the division-12346DataPitch >99%Market 99% · Gap +1pp
Miss the playoffs-4902DataPitch 98%Market 98% · Gap +0pp
Expected wins4.8Market 4.0EXCHANGE
Model 4.8, you4.8
Players
These move with the team prices above. Drag the win total below.
Passing yards leaderQB
Justin HerbertLAC+25673DataPitch 4%Market <1%Gap +3pp
Our own projection.
Rushing yards leaderRB
Omarion HamptonLACn/a Market n/a
Our own projection.
Receiving yards leaderWR
Ladd McConkeyLACn/a Market n/a
Our own projection.
Most Valuable PlayerQB
Justin HerbertLAC+19094 Market +19094
The market's own price. We only move it with the scenario.
Sim it yourself
Drag the win total, or force two or three results below. Everything above reprices off the same simulated seasons.
Force a result
Ranked by how much each game actually swings this team's playoff price. Pick up to 3.
vs Ravens leverage 3pp
vs Broncos leverage 2pp
vs Rams leverage 2pp
vs Chiefs leverage 2pp
vs Patriots leverage 2pp
vs 49ers leverage 2pp
vs Buccaneers leverage 2pp
vs Texans leverage 2ppAdvanced: force a playoff path
Chargers reaches a stage of the postseason, not just wins one game. Combines with the win total and forced games above. Pick one, or none.
