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Final: Indianapolis Colts 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 42
Called before kickoff: 7. Won 4, lost 3.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 1 Nov, 11:05 UK.
25 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 16+ receiving yardsWon24 yds-116DraftKingsJonathan TaylorRB · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 24 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 66% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 15.5: -109DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 36+ receiving yardsLost24 yds-113consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 24 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 35.5: -117consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AKeenan Allen WR · IND 36+ receiving yardsWon67 yds-115DraftKingsKeenan AllenWR · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 67 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 35.5: -111DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 33+ receiving yardsLost23 yds-116Bet365Josh DownsWR · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 32.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 17+ receiving yards-116Bet365Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 12 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 16.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTravis Hunter WR · JAX 17+ receiving yards-116DraftKingsTravis HunterWR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 66% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 16.5: -110DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulTyler Warren TE · IND 40+ receiving yards-116consensus market priceTyler WarrenTE · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 18 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Groin - Questionable for Week 8 at Jacksonville
DataPitch 57% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 39.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 68+ receiving yards-116Bet365Parker WashingtonWR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 16 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 67.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 41+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 55 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 40.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 4+ receptionsWon4 receptions+124DraftKingsJosh DownsWR · INDReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 66% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap +21pp
Under 3.5: -161DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 3+ receptionsWon4 receptions-105DraftKingsJonathan TaylorRB · INDReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 2.5: -123DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTravis Hunter WR · JAX 2+ receptions-141Bet365Travis HunterWR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 74% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 1.5: +110Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 2+ receptions-111Bet365Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 1.5: -120Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 4+ receptions+115Bet365Jakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 3.5: -147Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulTyler Warren TE · IND 5+ receptions-111Bet365Tyler WarrenTE · INDReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Groin - Questionable for Week 8 at Jacksonville
DataPitch 55% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 4.5: -120Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AKeenan Allen WR · IND 5+ receptions-101DraftKingsKeenan AllenWR · INDReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 4.5: -127DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 5+ receptions-125Bet365Parker WashingtonWR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 4.5: -105Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 4+ receptions-135Bet365Brenton StrangeTE · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 3.5: +105Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 51+ rushing yardsLost23 yds-111DraftKingsJonathan TaylorRB · INDRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 50.5: -114DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TBhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 67+ rushing yards-112DraftKingsBhayshul TutenRB · JAXRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 104 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 66.5: -112DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LDoubtfulTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 12+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 5.5 to 3.5 between the open and the close, 36% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 11.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MSeth McGowan RB · IND 23+ rushing yards-110DraftKingsSeth McGowanRB · INDRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 29 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 22.5: -116DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 1+ rushing yards+200consensus market priceJosh DownsWR · INDRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 5% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 0.5: -833consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WDoubtfulTyler Warren TE · IND 1+ rushing yards+100consensus market priceTyler WarrenTE · INDRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Groin - Questionable for Week 8 at Jacksonville
DataPitch 5% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LDoubtfulTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 238+ passing yards-114consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 210 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 5.5 to 3.5 between the open and the close, 36% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 237.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
