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Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks

Week 8 · Mon Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET · Market line SEA -3 · total 46.5

How our calls did

Final: Chicago Bears 34, Seattle Seahawks 17

Called before kickoff: 5. Won 3, lost 1, void 1.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Mon 2 Nov, 16:54 UK.

Every market we price

29 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards29
Colston Loveland TE · CHI 43+ receiving yardsWon65 yds-115DraftKings

Colston LovelandTE · CHIReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 65 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 77% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +23pp

Under 42.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 75.2, median 70
The line
42.5

His last 5, receiving yards

69v NE2026 week 7
65v ATL2026 week 6
19v GB2026 week 5
57v NYJ2026 week 4
31v PHI2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 98% · Market 95%-1740book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 97% · Market 90%-890book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 94% · Market 84%-536book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 92% · Market 78%-354book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 88% · Market 72%-251book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 80% · Market 57%-134book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 70% · Market 44%+126book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 60% · Market 33%+204book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 50% · Market 24%+322book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 41% · Market 17%+497book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 32% · Market 12%+750book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 8%+1120book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 6%+1660book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 4%+2400book price at this line
130+ receiving yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 8+ receiving yardsLost6 yds-115DraftKings

Zach CharbonnetRB · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 70% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +16pp

Under 7.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 20.5, median 15
The line
7.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v SF2025 week 20
23v SF2025 week 18
12v CAR2025 week 17
22v LA2025 week 16
0v IND2025 week 15

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 65% · Market 47%+112book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 52% · Market 36%+177book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 41% · Market 28%+253book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 32% · Market 22%+347book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 18%+473book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 11%+820book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 7%+1360book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 5%+2100book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+3000book price at this line
More players (7)
Cooper Kupp WR · SEA 30+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Cooper KuppWR · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 85% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +32pp

Under 29.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 71.5, median 65
The line
29.5

His last 5, receiving yards

20v KC2026 week 7
50v DEN2026 week 6
15v SF2026 week 5
13v LAC2026 week 4
46v WAS2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 97% · Market 83%-494book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 95% · Market 75%-298book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 93% · Market 66%-193book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 89% · Market 58%-137book price at this line
28+ receiving yardsDataPitch 87% · Market 53%-113book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 76% · Market 37%+172book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 66% · Market 26%+288book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 56% · Market 18%+465book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 46% · Market 12%+720book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 37% · Market 9%+1080book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 29% · Market 6%+1700book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 23% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 18% · Market 3%+3400book price at this line
Tory Horton WR · SEA 22+ receiving yards-111Bet365

Tory HortonWR · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 26 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 77% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +24pp

Under 21.5: -120Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 51.1, median 45
The line
21.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v KC2026 week 7
13v DEN2026 week 6
6v LAC2026 week 4
48v WAS2026 week 3
48v WAS2025 week 9

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 88% · Market 73%-273book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 85% · Market 65%-189book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 80% · Market 57%-135book price at this line
23+ receiving yardsDataPitch 76% · Market 53%-113book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 74% · Market 51%-102book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 68% · Market 44%+126book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 55% · Market 33%+202book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 44% · Market 24%+309book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 35% · Market 18%+458book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 26% · Market 13%+680book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 9%+970book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 7%+1400book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 5%+2000book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 3%+3400book price at this line
Eric Saubert TE · SEA 5+ receiving yards+126consensus market price

Eric SaubertTE · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 62% · Market 44%

Against this price: Gap +18pp

Under 4.5: -162consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 14.5, median 9
The line
4.5

His last 5, receiving yards

17v KC2026 week 7
0v DEN2026 week 6
0v SF2026 week 5
0v LAC2026 week 4
13v WAS2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 48% · Market 29%+240book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 37% · Market 19%+430book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 29% · Market 13%+700book price at this line
Rome Odunze WR · CHI 39+ receiving yards-115DraftKings

Rome OdunzeWR · CHIReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 87 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 56% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 38.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 50.5, median 44.5
The line
38.5

His last 5, receiving yards

69v NE2026 week 7
39v ATL2026 week 6
40v GB2026 week 5
94v NYJ2026 week 4
44v PHI2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 89% · Market 92%-1180book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 84% · Market 87%-640book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 79% · Market 80%-400book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 73% · Market 73%-276book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 67% · Market 66%-195book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 55% · Market 52%-109book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 44% · Market 40%+153book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 34% · Market 29%+247book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 26% · Market 20%+399book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 14%+610book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 10%+920book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 7%+1380book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 5%+1980book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 3%+2800book price at this line
130+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 2%+4000book price at this line
AJ Barner TE · SEA 29+ receiving yards-116Bet365

AJ BarnerTE · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 53% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -1pp

Under 28.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 34.9, median 30
The line
28.5

His last 5, receiving yards

42v KC2026 week 7
16v DEN2026 week 6
20v SF2026 week 5
12v LAC2026 week 4
69v WAS2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 85% · Market 86%-620book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 77% · Market 78%-364book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 68% · Market 71%-240book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 59% · Market 63%-170book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 51% · Market 56%-125book price at this line
32+ receiving yardsDataPitch 48% · Market 53%-111book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 36% · Market 42%+138book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 31%+226book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 22%+349book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 16%+538book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 11%+830book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 8%+1220book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 5%+1740book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2400book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3300book price at this line
Luther Burden III WR · CHI 53+ receiving yards-115DraftKings

Luther Burden IIIWR · CHIReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 56 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 47% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -7pp

Under 52.5: -111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 55.5, median 50
The line
52.5

His last 5, receiving yards

130v NE2026 week 7
95v ATL2026 week 6
47v GB2026 week 5
63v NYJ2026 week 4
61v PHI2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 90% · Market 94%-1700book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 85% · Market 91%-1000book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 80% · Market 87%-640book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 74% · Market 82%-441book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 62% · Market 69%-227book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 50% · Market 57%-133book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 40% · Market 45%+121book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 35%+189book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 23% · Market 26%+286book price at this line
90+ receiving yardsDataPitch 17% · Market 19%+434book price at this line
100+ receiving yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 13%+650book price at this line
110+ receiving yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 9%+980book price at this line
120+ receiving yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 7%+1400book price at this line
130+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 5%+2000book price at this line
140+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+2800book price at this line
150+ receiving yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 3%+3800book price at this line
D'Andre Swift RB · CHI 19+ receiving yards-110DraftKings

D'Andre SwiftRB · CHIReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 21% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -31pp

Under 18.5: -116DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 10.9, median 6
The line
18.5

His last 5, receiving yards

12v NE2026 week 7
26v ATL2026 week 6
30v GB2026 week 5
16v NYJ2026 week 4
4v PHI2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ receiving yardsDataPitch 39% · Market 75%-301book price at this line
15+ receiving yardsDataPitch 28% · Market 62%-162book price at this line
20+ receiving yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 50%+100book price at this line
25+ receiving yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 39%+155book price at this line
30+ receiving yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 30%+233book price at this line
40+ receiving yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 17%+479book price at this line
50+ receiving yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 10%+890book price at this line
60+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 6%+1480book price at this line
70+ receiving yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2300book price at this line
80+ receiving yardsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3400book price at this line
Receiving yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player15+20+25+30+
Colston LovelandTE · CHI
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA
Cooper KuppWR · SEA
Tory HortonWR · SEA
Eric SaubertTE · SEA··
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI
AJ BarnerTE · SEA
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Receptions29
Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2+ receptionsWon3 receptions+140Bet365

Zach CharbonnetRB · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 62% · Market 42%

Against this price: Gap +20pp

Under 1.5: -182Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.3, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v SF2025 week 20
3v SF2025 week 18
2v CAR2025 week 17
4v LA2025 week 16
0v IND2025 week 15

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 39% · Market 27%+270book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 23% · Market 14%+600book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 12% · Market 7%+1350book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 3%+3200book price at this line
Colston Loveland TE · CHI 5+ receptionsWon7 receptions+115Bet365

Colston LovelandTE · CHIReceptions

How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 63% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap +16pp

Under 4.5: -147Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 5.7, median 5
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

7v NE2026 week 7
6v ATL2026 week 6
2v GB2026 week 5
6v NYJ2026 week 4
4v PHI2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 96% · Market 95%-1740book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 89% · Market 82%-463book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 77% · Market 65%-188book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 48% · Market 32%+211book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 35% · Market 20%+394book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 24% · Market 12%+710book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 15% · Market 7%+1260book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 9% · Market 5%+2000book price at this line
11+ receptionsDataPitch 5% · Market 3%+2800book price at this line
More players (7)
Cooper Kupp WR · SEA 3+ receptions-143DraftKings

Cooper KuppWR · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 92% · Market 59%

Against this price: Gap +33pp

Under 2.5: +111DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 6.2, median 6
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v KC2026 week 7
5v DEN2026 week 6
2v SF2026 week 5
1v LAC2026 week 4
4v WAS2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 97% · Market 88%-714book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 82% · Market 42%+137book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 70% · Market 28%+260book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 56% · Market 17%+475book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 43% · Market 10%+900book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 31% · Market 5%+1800book price at this line
Tory Horton WR · SEA 2+ receptions-164DraftKings

Tory HortonWR · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 79% · Market 62%

Against this price: Gap +17pp

Under 1.5: +126DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.3, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

0v KC2026 week 7
1v DEN2026 week 6
1v LAC2026 week 4
3v WAS2026 week 3
4v WAS2025 week 9

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 59% · Market 43%+133book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 40% · Market 27%+270book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 25% · Market 15%+550book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 15% · Market 8%+1200book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 8% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
Eric Saubert TE · SEA 1+ receptions-130consensus market price

Eric SaubertTE · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 69% · Market 57%

Against this price: Gap +12pp

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.4, median 1
The line
0.5

His last 5, receptions

1v KC2026 week 7
0v DEN2026 week 6
0v SF2026 week 5
0v LAC2026 week 4
1v WAS2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 38% · Market 21%+370book price at this line
AJ Barner TE · SEA 4+ receptions+122Bet365

AJ BarnerTE · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 46% · Market 45%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 3.5: -156Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.6, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

4v KC2026 week 7
3v DEN2026 week 6
3v SF2026 week 5
1v LAC2026 week 4
5v WAS2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 82% · Market 85%-561book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 64% · Market 66%-192book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 30% · Market 30%+237book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 18% · Market 18%+450book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 11% · Market 10%+860book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 6%+1540book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2400book price at this line
Rome Odunze WR · CHI 4+ receptions+137DraftKings

Rome OdunzeWR · CHIReceptions

How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 36% · Market 42%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 3.5: -175DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.1, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

4v NE2026 week 7
3v ATL2026 week 6
3v GB2026 week 5
6v NYJ2026 week 4
3v PHI2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 57% · Market 72%-256book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 22% · Market 32%+210book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 11% · Market 21%+380book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 12%+725book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 7%+1400book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2700book price at this line
Luther Burden III WR · CHI 5+ receptions+115Bet365

Luther Burden IIIWR · CHIReceptions

How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 39% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap -8pp

Under 4.5: -147Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.2, median 4
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

4v NE2026 week 7
8v ATL2026 week 6
4v GB2026 week 5
4v NYJ2026 week 4
7v PHI2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

2+ receptionsDataPitch 88% · Market 95%-2000book price at this line
3+ receptionsDataPitch 73% · Market 83%-492book price at this line
4+ receptionsDataPitch 56% · Market 65%-189book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 27% · Market 30%+235book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 17% · Market 18%+451book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 10% · Market 10%+860book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 6% · Market 6%+1540book price at this line
10+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
D'Andre Swift RB · CHI 4+ receptions+135Bet365

D'Andre SwiftRB · CHIReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 7% · Market 43%

Against this price: Gap -36pp

Under 3.5: -172Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.3, median 1
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

4v NE2026 week 7
4v ATL2026 week 6
4v GB2026 week 5
2v NYJ2026 week 4
2v PHI2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

3+ receptionsDataPitch 17% · Market 69%-217book price at this line
5+ receptionsDataPitch 3% · Market 30%+230book price at this line
6+ receptionsDataPitch 1% · Market 19%+425book price at this line
7+ receptionsDataPitch 1% · Market 11%+850book price at this line
8+ receptionsDataPitch 0% · Market 5%+1750book price at this line
9+ receptionsDataPitch 0% · Market 3%+3700book price at this line
Receptions at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player3+4+5+6+
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA
Colston LovelandTE · CHI
Cooper KuppWR · SEA
Tory HortonWR · SEA
AJ BarnerTE · SEA
Rome OdunzeWR · CHI
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Rushing yards19
Emanuel Wilson RB · SEA 21+ rushing yardsVoiddid not play-116Bet365

Emanuel WilsonRB · SEARushing yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 82% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +28pp

Under 20.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 52.9, median 47
The line
20.5

His last 5, rushing yards

100v KC2026 week 7
52v DEN2026 week 6
61v SF2026 week 5
81v LAC2026 week 4
14v WAS2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 94% · Market 77%-338book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 89% · Market 66%-198book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 84% · Market 56%-128book price at this line
22+ rushing yardsDataPitch 81% · Market 52%-107book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 78% · Market 46%+117book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 72% · Market 38%+164book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 58% · Market 25%+307book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 47% · Market 16%+510book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 36% · Market 11%+820book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 27% · Market 7%+1260book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 5%+1820book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 15% · Market 4%+2500book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 3%+3500book price at this line
Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 33+ rushing yards-113consensus market price

Zach CharbonnetRB · SEARushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 52% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -1pp

Under 32.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 40.4, median 34
The line
32.5

His last 5, rushing yards

20v SF2025 week 20
74v SF2025 week 18
110v CAR2025 week 17
32v LA2025 week 16
31v IND2025 week 15

His other lines in this market

10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 87% · Market 90%-890book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 79% · Market 83%-501book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 71% · Market 76%-313book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 63% · Market 68%-211book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 56% · Market 60%-149book price at this line
35+ rushing yardsDataPitch 49% · Market 52%-108book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 43% · Market 45%+122book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 33%+204book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 22% · Market 23%+327book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 17%+495book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 12%+720book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 9%+1060book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 6%+1520book price at this line
110+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 5%+2000book price at this line
120+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 4%+2700book price at this line
130+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3700book price at this line
More players (7)
D'Andre Swift RB · CHI 60+ rushing yards-111Bet365

D'Andre SwiftRB · CHIRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 69 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 48% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -5pp

Under 59.5: -120Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 63.8, median 58
The line
59.5

His last 5, rushing yards

78v NE2026 week 7
44v ATL2026 week 6
43v GB2026 week 5
58v NYJ2026 week 4
84v PHI2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 87% · Market 94%-1500book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 82% · Market 90%-850book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 71% · Market 79%-365book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 59% · Market 66%-190book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 38% · Market 41%+143book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 29% · Market 31%+223book price at this line
90+ rushing yardsDataPitch 22% · Market 23%+333book price at this line
100+ rushing yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 17%+488book price at this line
110+ rushing yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 12%+710book price at this line
120+ rushing yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 9%+1020book price at this line
130+ rushing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 6%+1500book price at this line
140+ rushing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 5%+2100book price at this line
150+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+2900book price at this line
160+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 3%+3900book price at this line
Roschon Johnson RB · CHI 13+ rushing yards-116Bet365

Roschon JohnsonRB · CHIRushing yards

How it ended: Won, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 43% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -11pp

Under 12.5: -116Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 16.3, median 9
The line
12.5

His last 5, rushing yards

13v NE2026 week 7
51v ATL2026 week 6
6v GB2026 week 5
16v NYJ2026 week 4
0v CAR2026 week 1

His other lines in this market

10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 50% · Market 64%-179book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 39% · Market 47%+113book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 30% · Market 34%+196book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 24% · Market 24%+318book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 17%+479book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 10%+890book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 6%+1460book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 5%+2100book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 3%+3200book price at this line
Sam Darnold QB · SEA 5+ rushing yards-116DraftKings

Sam DarnoldQB · SEARushing yards

How it ended: Won, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 30% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -24pp

Under 4.5: -110DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 5.8, median 0
The line
4.5

His last 5, rushing yards

17v KC2026 week 7
19v DEN2026 week 6
5v SF2026 week 5
6v LAC2026 week 4
5v WAS2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 20% · Market 36%+177book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 14% · Market 24%+311book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 17%+505book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 11%+790book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 8%+1240book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
Caleb Williams QB · CHI 25+ rushing yards+100consensus market price

Caleb WilliamsQB · CHIRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 16% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap -34pp

Under 24.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 12, median 7
The line
24.5

His last 5, rushing yards

18v NE2026 week 7
3v ATL2026 week 6
42v MIN2026 week 2
65v CAR2026 week 1
40v LA2025 week 20

His other lines in this market

10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 42% · Market 84%-528book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 73%-271book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 22% · Market 62%-162book price at this line
24+ rushing yardsDataPitch 17% · Market 53%-112book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 12% · Market 41%+146book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 24%+310book price at this line
50+ rushing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 15%+581book price at this line
60+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 8%+1100book price at this line
70+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 5%+1940book price at this line
80+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 3%+3100book price at this line
Luther Burden III WR · CHI 4+ rushing yards-116DraftKings

Luther Burden IIIWR · CHIRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 9% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -45pp

Under 3.5: -109DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 1.3, median 0
The line
3.5

His last 5, rushing yards

7v NE2026 week 7
0v ATL2026 week 6
2v GB2026 week 5
11v NYJ2026 week 4
7v PHI2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

10+ rushing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 32%+217book price at this line
15+ rushing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 19%+416book price at this line
20+ rushing yardsDataPitch 2% · Market 13%+690book price at this line
25+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 9%+1020book price at this line
30+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 6%+1500book price at this line
40+ rushing yardsDataPitch 1% · Market 4%+2700book price at this line
AJ Barner TE · SEA 1+ rushing yards+100consensus market price

AJ BarnerTE · SEARushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 5% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap -45pp

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 0.5, median 0
The line
0.5

His last 5, rushing yards

4v KC2026 week 7
0v DEN2026 week 6
0v SF2026 week 5
0v LAC2026 week 4
0v WAS2026 week 3
George Holani RB · SEA 10+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-11-02 capture; an older price is not shown

George HolaniRB · SEARushing yards

How it ended: Ungradeable, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 58%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 18.8, median 13
The line
9.5

His last 5, rushing yards

11v KC2026 week 7
20v DEN2026 week 6
7v SF2026 week 5
18v LAC2026 week 4
10v WAS2026 week 3
Rushing yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player20+25+30+40+
Emanuel WilsonRB · SEA
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI·
Roschon JohnsonRB · CHI
Sam DarnoldQB · SEA
Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Passing yards2
Caleb Williams QB · CHI 228+ passing yards-111Bet365

Caleb WilliamsQB · CHIPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 247 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 54% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 227.5: -120Bet365

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated passing yards
average 238.4, median 233
The line
227.5

His last 5, passing yards

289v NE2026 week 7
270v ATL2026 week 6
118v MIN2026 week 2
261v CAR2026 week 1
257v LA2025 week 20

His other lines in this market

160+ passing yardsDataPitch 87% · Market 92%-1120book price at this line
170+ passing yardsDataPitch 83% · Market 88%-760book price at this line
180+ passing yardsDataPitch 78% · Market 84%-525book price at this line
190+ passing yardsDataPitch 74% · Market 79%-378book price at this line
200+ passing yardsDataPitch 69% · Market 74%-282book price at this line
210+ passing yardsDataPitch 64% · Market 68%-214book price at this line
220+ passing yardsDataPitch 58% · Market 62%-163book price at this line
230+ passing yardsDataPitch 53% · Market 56%-127book price at this line
235+ passing yardsDataPitch 49% · Market 53%-112book price at this line
240+ passing yardsDataPitch 47% · Market 50%+101book price at this line
250+ passing yardsDataPitch 41% · Market 44%+129book price at this line
260+ passing yardsDataPitch 36% · Market 38%+163book price at this line
270+ passing yardsDataPitch 31% · Market 33%+207book price at this line
280+ passing yardsDataPitch 27% · Market 28%+263book price at this line
290+ passing yardsDataPitch 23% · Market 23%+338book price at this line
300+ passing yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 19%+420book price at this line
310+ passing yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 16%+531book price at this line
320+ passing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 13%+660book price at this line
330+ passing yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 11%+830book price at this line
340+ passing yardsDataPitch 9% · Market 9%+1040book price at this line
350+ passing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 7%+1300book price at this line
360+ passing yardsDataPitch 6% · Market 6%+1600book price at this line
370+ passing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 5%+1940book price at this line
380+ passing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 4%+2300book price at this line
390+ passing yardsDataPitch 3% · Market 4%+2600book price at this line
Sam Darnold QB · SEA 238+ passing yards-112DraftKings

Sam DarnoldQB · SEAPassing yards

How it ended: Lost, 188 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 54% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 237.5: -112DraftKings

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.

Our simulated passing yards
average 250.3, median 244
The line
237.5

His last 5, passing yards

257v KC2026 week 7
242v DEN2026 week 6
162v SF2026 week 5
148v LAC2026 week 4
379v WAS2026 week 3

His other lines in this market

160+ passing yardsDataPitch 87% · Market 92%-1120book price at this line
170+ passing yardsDataPitch 84% · Market 89%-770book price at this line
180+ passing yardsDataPitch 81% · Market 85%-544book price at this line
190+ passing yardsDataPitch 77% · Market 80%-398book price at this line
200+ passing yardsDataPitch 72% · Market 75%-297book price at this line
210+ passing yardsDataPitch 67% · Market 69%-224book price at this line
220+ passing yardsDataPitch 63% · Market 63%-173book price at this line
230+ passing yardsDataPitch 58% · Market 58%-136book price at this line
240+ passing yardsDataPitch 53% · Market 52%-106book price at this line
250+ passing yardsDataPitch 48% · Market 46%+119book price at this line
260+ passing yardsDataPitch 43% · Market 40%+151book price at this line
270+ passing yardsDataPitch 38% · Market 35%+189book price at this line
280+ passing yardsDataPitch 34% · Market 30%+239book price at this line
290+ passing yardsDataPitch 29% · Market 25%+296book price at this line
300+ passing yardsDataPitch 25% · Market 21%+373book price at this line
310+ passing yardsDataPitch 22% · Market 18%+468book price at this line
320+ passing yardsDataPitch 19% · Market 15%+581book price at this line
330+ passing yardsDataPitch 16% · Market 12%+710book price at this line
340+ passing yardsDataPitch 13% · Market 10%+890book price at this line
350+ passing yardsDataPitch 11% · Market 8%+1100book price at this line
360+ passing yardsDataPitch 10% · Market 7%+1340book price at this line
370+ passing yardsDataPitch 8% · Market 6%+1620book price at this line
380+ passing yardsDataPitch 7% · Market 5%+1980book price at this line
390+ passing yardsDataPitch 5% · Market 4%+2400book price at this line
400+ passing yardsDataPitch 4% · Market 4%+2700book price at this line
Passing yards at the thresholds this game's players share. Tap a price to put that level in your slip. Green marks a level our read rates; every other price is the market's alone.
Player220+230+240+250+
Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI
Sam DarnoldQB · SEA

Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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