at
Final: Chicago Bears 34, Seattle Seahawks 17
Called before kickoff: 5. Won 3, lost 1, void 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Mon 2 Nov, 16:54 UK.
29 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
Colston LovelandTE · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 65 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 77% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +23pp
Under 42.5: -111DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 70% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 7.5: -111DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Cooper KuppWR · SEAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 85% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +32pp
Under 29.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Tory HortonWR · SEAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 26 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 77% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +24pp
Under 21.5: -120Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Eric SaubertTE · SEAReceiving yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 4.5: -162consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Rome OdunzeWR · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 87 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 38.5: -111DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
AJ BarnerTE · SEAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 28.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 56 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 52.5: -111DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 18.5: -116DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colston LovelandTE · CHI | ||||
| Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | ||||
| Cooper KuppWR · SEA | ||||
| Tory HortonWR · SEA | ||||
| Eric SaubertTE · SEA | · | · | ||
| Rome OdunzeWR · CHI | ||||
| AJ BarnerTE · SEA | ||||
| Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI | ||||
| D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
Under 1.5: -182Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Colston LovelandTE · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 4.5: -147Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Cooper KuppWR · SEAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 92% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap +33pp
Under 2.5: +111DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Tory HortonWR · SEAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 79% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 1.5: +126DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Eric SaubertTE · SEAReceptions
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
AJ BarnerTE · SEAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 3.5: -156Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Rome OdunzeWR · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 3.5: -175DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 4.5: -147Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 7% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
Under 3.5: -172Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | ||||
| Colston LovelandTE · CHI | ||||
| Cooper KuppWR · SEA | ||||
| Tory HortonWR · SEA | ||||
| AJ BarnerTE · SEA | ||||
| Rome OdunzeWR · CHI | ||||
| Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI | ||||
| D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Emanuel WilsonRB · SEARushing yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 82% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +28pp
Under 20.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Zach CharbonnetRB · SEARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 32.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
D'Andre SwiftRB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 69 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 59.5: -120Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Roschon JohnsonRB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 12.5: -116Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Sam DarnoldQB · SEARushing yards
How it ended: Won, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 4.5: -110DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Caleb WilliamsQB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 16% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 24.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Luther Burden IIIWR · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 9% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
Under 3.5: -109DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
AJ BarnerTE · SEARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 5% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
George HolaniRB · SEARushing yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 58%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
| Player | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel WilsonRB · SEA | ||||
| Zach CharbonnetRB · SEA | ||||
| D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI | · | |||
| Roschon JohnsonRB · CHI | ||||
| Sam DarnoldQB · SEA | ||||
| Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI | ||||
| Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Caleb WilliamsQB · CHIPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 247 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 227.5: -120Bet365
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Sam DarnoldQB · SEAPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 188 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 237.5: -112DraftKings
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 220+ | 230+ | 240+ | 250+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI | ||||
| Sam DarnoldQB · SEA |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.