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Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams

Week 6 · Sun Oct 18, 4:05 PM ET · Market line LA -13.5 · total 52.5

Our read on this game

4 of the 20 rows we price on this game are strong tonight, and all of them are Los Angeles Rams players.

Strongest of themColby ParkinsonTE · LA16+ receiving yards-108consensus market price

Prices taken Wed 14 Oct, 10:17 UK.

Every market we price

Called before kickoff: 4. Pending 4.

20 rows on 3 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards28
Colby Parkinson TE · LA 16+ receiving yards-108consensus market price

Colby ParkinsonTE · LAReceiving yards

DataPitch 76% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +24pp

Under 15.5: -108consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 37.7, median 33
The line
15.5

His last 5, receiving yards

3v BUF2026 week 5
0v DEN2026 week 3
15v NYG2026 week 2
6v SF2026 week 1
62v SEA2025 week 21
Puka Nacua WR · LA 94+ receiving yards-115consensus market price

Puka NacuaWR · LAReceiving yards

DataPitch 65% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +11pp

Under 93.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 120, median 114
The line
93.5

His last 5, receiving yards

138v BUF2026 week 5
125v PHI2026 week 4
74v SF2026 week 1
165v SEA2025 week 21
56v CHI2025 week 20
More players (6)
Davis Allen TE · LA 8+ receiving yards-110consensus market price

Davis AllenTE · LAReceiving yards

DataPitch 65% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +13pp

Under 7.5: -105consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 19.2, median 14
The line
7.5

His last 5, receiving yards

24v BUF2026 week 5
0v PHI2026 week 4
19v DEN2026 week 3
7v NYG2026 week 2
13v SF2026 week 1
Davante Adams WR · LA 59+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Davante AdamsWR · LAReceiving yards

DataPitch 54% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 58.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 69, median 62
The line
58.5

His last 5, receiving yards

51v BUF2026 week 5
32v PHI2026 week 4
137v DEN2026 week 3
195v NYG2026 week 2
26v SF2026 week 1
Michael Wilson WR · ARI 60+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Michael WilsonWR · ARIReceiving yards

DataPitch 51% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -2pp

Under 59.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 66.5, median 61
The line
59.5

His last 5, receiving yards

30v DET2026 week 5
95v NYG2026 week 4
89v SF2026 week 3
18v SEA2026 week 2
56v LAC2026 week 1
Kendrick Bourne WR · ARI 37+ receiving yards-120consensus market price

Kendrick BourneWR · ARIReceiving yards

DataPitch 49% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 36.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 42, median 36
The line
36.5

His last 5, receiving yards

70v DET2026 week 5
22v SF2026 week 3
11v SEA2026 week 2
75v LAC2026 week 1
0v SEA2025 week 20
Trey McBride TE · ARI 67+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Trey McBrideTE · ARIReceiving yards

DataPitch 36% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -17pp

Under 66.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 59.3, median 55
The line
66.5

His last 5, receiving yards

66v DET2026 week 5
31v NYG2026 week 4
75v SF2026 week 3
41v SEA2026 week 2
95v LAC2026 week 1
Kyren Williams RB · LA 23+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceiving yards

DataPitch 32% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -21pp

Under 22.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 18.2, median 14
The line
22.5

His last 5, receiving yards

27v BUF2026 week 5
67v PHI2026 week 4
70v DEN2026 week 3
12v NYG2026 week 2
24v SF2026 week 1
Receptions18
Colby Parkinson TE · LA 2+ receptions-152consensus market price

Colby ParkinsonTE · LAReceptions

DataPitch 82% · Market 60%

Against this price: Gap +22pp

Under 1.5: +120consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.6, median 3
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v BUF2026 week 5
0v DEN2026 week 3
2v NYG2026 week 2
1v SF2026 week 1
3v SEA2025 week 21
Davis Allen TE · LA 2+ receptions+170consensus market price

Davis AllenTE · LAReceptions

DataPitch 54% · Market 37%

Against this price: Gap +17pp

Under 1.5: -222consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

2v BUF2026 week 5
0v PHI2026 week 4
2v DEN2026 week 3
1v NYG2026 week 2
1v SF2026 week 1
More players (6)
Puka Nacua WR · LA 8+ receptions-129consensus market price

Puka NacuaWR · LAReceptions

DataPitch 58% · Market 56%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 7.5: -102consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 8.4, median 8
The line
7.5

His last 5, receptions

17v BUF2026 week 5
9v PHI2026 week 4
5v SF2026 week 1
9v SEA2025 week 21
5v CHI2025 week 20
Davante Adams WR · LA 5+ receptions+103consensus market price

Davante AdamsWR · LAReceptions

DataPitch 42% · Market 49%

Against this price: Gap -7pp

Under 4.5: -136consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.3, median 4
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

5v BUF2026 week 5
4v PHI2026 week 4
7v DEN2026 week 3
8v NYG2026 week 2
3v SF2026 week 1
Michael Wilson WR · ARI 6+ receptions+110consensus market price

Michael WilsonWR · ARIReceptions

DataPitch 37% · Market 48%

Against this price: Gap -11pp

Under 5.5: -145consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.9, median 5
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

4v DET2026 week 5
7v NYG2026 week 4
11v SF2026 week 3
2v SEA2026 week 2
5v LAC2026 week 1
Kendrick Bourne WR · ARI 4+ receptions+100consensus market price

Kendrick BourneWR · ARIReceptions

DataPitch 36% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap -14pp

Under 3.5: -134consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

5v DET2026 week 5
2v SF2026 week 3
2v SEA2026 week 2
8v LAC2026 week 1
0v SEA2025 week 20
Trey McBride TE · ARI 8+ receptions+101consensus market price

Trey McBrideTE · ARIReceptions

DataPitch 30% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap -20pp

Under 7.5: -140consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 6.2, median 6
The line
7.5

His last 5, receptions

9v DET2026 week 5
7v NYG2026 week 4
9v SF2026 week 3
8v SEA2026 week 2
9v LAC2026 week 1
Kyren Williams RB · LA 4+ receptions+131consensus market price

Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceptions

DataPitch 22% · Market 43%

Against this price: Gap -21pp

Under 3.5: -180consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.2, median 2
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

6v BUF2026 week 5
10v PHI2026 week 4
6v DEN2026 week 3
2v NYG2026 week 2
3v SF2026 week 1
Rushing yards14
Kyren Williams RB · LA 70+ rushing yards-114consensus market price

Kyren WilliamsRB · LARushing yards

DataPitch 66% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +13pp

Under 69.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 94.5, median 88
The line
69.5

His last 5, rushing yards

49v BUF2026 week 5
80v PHI2026 week 4
88v DEN2026 week 3
85v NYG2026 week 2
41v SF2026 week 1
Blake Corum RB · LA 44+ rushing yards-114consensus market price

Blake CorumRB · LARushing yards

DataPitch 68% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +15pp

Under 43.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 68.6, median 61
The line
43.5

His last 5, rushing yards

19v BUF2026 week 5
14v PHI2026 week 4
15v DEN2026 week 3
79v NYG2026 week 2
54v SF2026 week 1
More players (2)
Bam Knight RB · ARI 21+ rushing yards-107consensus market price

Bam KnightRB · ARIRushing yards

DataPitch 55% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +3pp

Under 20.5: -107consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 28.7, median 24
The line
20.5

His last 5, rushing yards

8v DET2026 week 5
24v SEA2026 week 2
-2v HOU2025 week 15
16v LA2025 week 14
62v TB2025 week 13
Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 22+ rushing yards-113consensus market price

Tyler AllgeierRB · ARIRushing yards

DataPitch 31% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -22pp

Under 21.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 17.8, median 12
The line
21.5

His last 5, rushing yards

7v DET2026 week 5
42v NYG2026 week 4
-1v SF2026 week 3
10v SEA2026 week 2
61v LAC2026 week 1

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we like him to go over well beyond what the price says, red means the price likes him more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

Around this game

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