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1 of the 14 rows we price on this game clears our bar tonight.
Strongest of themJalen HurtsQB · PHI196+ passing yards-114consensus market pricePrices taken Tue 6 Oct, 15:43 UK.
Called before kickoff: 1. Pending 1.
14 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 24+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 55% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 23.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 44+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 52% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 43.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 61+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceParker WashingtonWR · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 48% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 60.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 36+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 46% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 35.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 4+ receptions-138consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 53% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 3.5: +104consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 3+ receptions+142consensus market priceBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 36% · Market 41%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 2.5: -194consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 4+ receptions-109consensus market priceBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 43% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 3.5: -119consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 5+ receptions-129consensus market priceParker WashingtonWR · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 39% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 4.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 14+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXRushing yards
DataPitch 100% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +47pp
Under 13.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TBhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 59+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceBhayshul TutenRB · JAXRushing yards
DataPitch 43% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 58.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HJalen Hurts QB · PHI 27+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceJalen HurtsQB · PHIRushing yards
DataPitch 29% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 26.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX 26+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-06 capture; an older price is not shownChris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAXRushing yards
DataPitch 94%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HJalen Hurts QB · PHI 196+ passing yards-114consensus market priceJalen HurtsQB · PHIPassing yards
DataPitch 75% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +22pp
Under 195.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 230+ passing yards-114consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXPassing yards
DataPitch 55% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 229.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
