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Final: New England Patriots 29, Buffalo Bills 26
Called before kickoff: 7. Won 7.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
27 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 31+ receiving yardsWon62 yds-114consensus market priceHunter HenryTE · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 62 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 92% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +39pp
Under 30.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRomeo Doubs WR · NE 40+ receiving yardsWon58 yds-115consensus market priceRomeo DoubsWR · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 58 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 81% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +27pp
Under 39.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KDawson Knox TE · BUF 10+ receiving yardsWon13 yds-114consensus market priceDawson KnoxTE · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 13 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 9.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HMack Hollins WR · NE 44+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceMack HollinsWR · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 53 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 97% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +43pp
Under 43.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 18+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 27 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 94% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +40pp
Under 17.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CKeon Coleman WR · BUF 14+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceKeon ColemanWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 116 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 13.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IJames Cook III RB · BUF 9+ receiving yards-118consensus market priceJames Cook IIIRB · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 8.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SKhalil Shakir WR · BUF 39+ receiving yards-108consensus market priceKhalil ShakirWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 82 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 38.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDJ Moore WR · BUF 50+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceDJ MooreWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 16% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
Under 49.5: -102consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PJoshua Palmer WR · BUF 7+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-04 capture; an older price is not shownJoshua PalmerWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 3 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 72%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 4+ receptionsWon5 receptions+110consensus market priceHunter HenryTE · NEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 86% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap +38pp
Under 3.5: -144consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRomeo Doubs WR · NE 4+ receptionsWon6 receptions+115consensus market priceRomeo DoubsWR · NEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 73% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap +26pp
Under 3.5: -148consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KDawson Knox TE · BUF 2+ receptionsWon2 receptions+146consensus market priceDawson KnoxTE · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 41%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 1.5: -185consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 3+ receptions-112consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 94% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +41pp
Under 2.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HMack Hollins WR · NE 4+ receptions-122consensus market priceMack HollinsWR · NEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 96% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +41pp
Under 3.5: -106consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PJoshua Palmer WR · BUF 2+ receptions+133consensus market priceJoshua PalmerWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 1.5: -265consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CKeon Coleman WR · BUF 2+ receptions+104consensus market priceKeon ColemanWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 1.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SKhalil Shakir WR · BUF 4+ receptions-145consensus market priceKhalil ShakirWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 3.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IJames Cook III RB · BUF 2+ receptions-108consensus market priceJames Cook IIIRB · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 1.5: -117consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDJ Moore WR · BUF 4+ receptions-157consensus market priceDJ MooreWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 16% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
Under 3.5: +121consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IJames Cook III RB · BUF 86+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceJames Cook IIIRB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 75 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 85.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJosh Allen QB · BUF 32+ rushing yards-117consensus market priceJosh AllenQB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 4 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 31.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 33+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Won, 47 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 32.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTreVeyon Henderson RB · NE 40+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceTreVeyon HendersonRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Won, 42 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 39.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 27+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Won, 54 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
Under 26.5: -106consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 232+ passing yardsWon269 yds-113consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NEPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 269 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 73% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
Under 231.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJosh Allen QB · BUF 243+ passing yards-113consensus market priceJosh AllenQB · BUFPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 253 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 16% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 242.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
