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6 of the 10 rows we price on this game clear our bar tonight, and they split evenly between the two sides.
Strongest of themJalen HurtsQB · PHI205+ passing yards-114consensus market pricePrices taken Wed 30 Sept, 14:12 UK.
Called before kickoff: 6. Pending 6.
10 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
DeVonta SmithWR · PHIReceiving yards
DataPitch 77% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +24pp
Under 68.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Davante AdamsWR · LAReceiving yards
DataPitch 30% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 74.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DeVonta SmithWR · PHIReceptions
DataPitch 77% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 5.5: +112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Davante AdamsWR · LAReceptions
DataPitch 20% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 5.5: -151consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kyren WilliamsRB · LARushing yards
DataPitch 68% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 57.5: -117consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Blake CorumRB · LARushing yards
DataPitch 61% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 41.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIRushing yards
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 78.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jalen HurtsQB · PHIRushing yards
DataPitch 27% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 24.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jalen HurtsQB · PHIPassing yards
DataPitch 80% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +27pp
Under 204.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Matthew StaffordQB · LAPassing yards
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 252.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.