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Final: Los Angeles Rams 24, Philadelphia Eagles 20
Called before kickoff: 7. Won 4, lost 3.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
15 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
Puka NacuaWR · LAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 125 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 82% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +29pp
Under 71.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 100% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +48pp
Under 15.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 67 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 13.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Davante AdamsWR · LAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 32 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 66.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Puka NacuaWR · LAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 9 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 72% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
Under 6.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 100% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +56pp
Under 2.5: -160consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 10 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 2.5: -163consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Davante AdamsWR · LAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 4.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kyren WilliamsRB · LARushing yards
How it ended: Won, 80 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 67% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 57.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Blake CorumRB · LARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 14 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 64% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 39.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 69.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Matthew StaffordQB · LARushing yards
How it ended: Won, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 0.5: -125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jalen HurtsQB · PHIRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 18 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 26.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jalen HurtsQB · PHIPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 93 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 87% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +35pp
Under 187.5: -109consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Matthew StaffordQB · LAPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 317 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 249.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.