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Final: Kansas City Chiefs 30, Las Vegas Raiders 27
Called before kickoff: 3. Won 2, lost 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
29 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
GNoah Gray TE · KC 9+ receiving yardsWon17 yds-115consensus market priceNoah GrayTE · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 17 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 8.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCody White WR · LV 10+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceCody WhiteWR · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 36 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 74% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +21pp
Under 9.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
NJalen Nailor WR · LV 20+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJalen NailorWR · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 19.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MMichael Mayer TE · LV 24+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceMichael MayerTE · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 82 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 23.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 56+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceRashee RiceWR · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 55.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTravis Kelce TE · KC 48+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceTravis KelceTE · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 15 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 47.5: -109consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TTre Tucker WR · LV 39+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceTre TuckerWR · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 44 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 38.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JAshton Jeanty RB · LV 20+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceAshton JeantyRB · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 68 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 19.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 21+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 20.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 34+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceXavier WorthyWR · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 70 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 33.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BBrock Bowers TE · LV 73+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceBrock BowersTE · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 86 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 8% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
Under 72.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GNoah Gray TE · KC 2+ receptionsWon2 receptions+155consensus market priceNoah GrayTE · KCReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 39%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 1.5: -201consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCody White WR · LV 2+ receptions+155consensus market priceCody WhiteWR · LVReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 39%
Against this price: Gap +22pp
Under 1.5: -211consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 5+ receptions-131consensus market priceRashee RiceWR · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 4.5: +102consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
NJalen Nailor WR · LV 2+ receptions-165consensus market priceJalen NailorWR · LVReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 1.5: +125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTravis Kelce TE · KC 5+ receptions+105consensus market priceTravis KelceTE · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 4.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MMichael Mayer TE · LV 3+ receptions-132consensus market priceMichael MayerTE · LVReceptions
How it ended: Won, 8 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 2.5: +102consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TTre Tucker WR · LV 4+ receptions+120consensus market priceTre TuckerWR · LVReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 26% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 3.5: -159consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 4+ receptions+135consensus market priceXavier WorthyWR · KCReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 20% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 3.5: -170consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JAshton Jeanty RB · LV 4+ receptions+117consensus market priceAshton JeantyRB · LVReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 3.5: -152consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 3+ receptions-158consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 2.5: +125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BBrock Bowers TE · LV 7+ receptions-138consensus market priceBrock BowersTE · LVReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 7% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -51pp
Under 6.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JAshton Jeanty RB · LV 58+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceAshton JeantyRB · LVRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 58 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 57.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CKirk Cousins QB · LV 1+ rushing yards-105consensus market priceKirk CousinsQB · LVRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 0.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TTre Tucker WR · LV 1+ rushing yards+125consensus market priceTre TuckerWR · LVRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 0.5: -161consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MPatrick Mahomes QB · KC 16+ rushing yards-115consensus market pricePatrick MahomesQB · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 23% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 15.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 87+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 177 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 4% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -49pp
Under 86.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MPatrick Mahomes QB · KC 239+ passing yardsLost225 yds-115consensus market pricePatrick MahomesQB · KCPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 225 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 64% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 238.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CKirk Cousins QB · LV 224+ passing yards-111consensus market priceKirk CousinsQB · LVPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 365 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 223.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
