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2 of the 25 rows we price on this game clear our bar tonight, and all of them are Kansas City Chiefs players.
Strongest of themPatrick MahomesQB · KC237+ passing yards-114consensus market pricePrices taken Wed 30 Sept, 14:12 UK.
Called before kickoff: 2. Pending 2.
25 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
GNoah Gray TE · KC 7+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownNoah GrayTE · KCReceiving yards
DataPitch 65%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MMichael Mayer TE · LV 26+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownMichael MayerTE · LVReceiving yards
DataPitch 43%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TTre Tucker WR · LV 40+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownTre TuckerWR · LVReceiving yards
DataPitch 41%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 58+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownRashee RiceWR · KCReceiving yards
DataPitch 36%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 23+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownKenneth WalkerRB · KCReceiving yards
DataPitch 32%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 36+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownXavier WorthyWR · KCReceiving yards
DataPitch 30%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTravis Kelce TE · KC 53+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownTravis KelceTE · KCReceiving yards
DataPitch 29%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JAshton Jeanty RB · LV 27+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownAshton JeantyRB · LVReceiving yards
DataPitch 28%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BBrock Bowers TE · LV 70+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownBrock BowersTE · LVReceiving yards
DataPitch 11%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GNoah Gray TE · KC 1+ receptions-227consensus market priceNoah GrayTE · KCReceptions
DataPitch 76% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 0.5: +172consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MMichael Mayer TE · LV 3+ receptions-135consensus market priceMichael MayerTE · LVReceptions
DataPitch 47% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 2.5: +105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TTre Tucker WR · LV 4+ receptions+115consensus market priceTre TuckerWR · LVReceptions
DataPitch 32% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 3.5: -147consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 3+ receptions-147consensus market priceXavier WorthyWR · KCReceptions
DataPitch 36% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 2.5: +115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 4+ receptions-102consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCReceptions
DataPitch 19% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
Under 3.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JAshton Jeanty RB · LV 4+ receptions-156consensus market priceAshton JeantyRB · LVReceptions
DataPitch 27% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 3.5: +122consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BBrock Bowers TE · LV 6+ receptions-152consensus market priceBrock BowersTE · LVReceptions
DataPitch 17% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
Under 5.5: +120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 5+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownRashee RiceWR · KCReceptions
DataPitch 56%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTravis Kelce TE · KC 5+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownTravis KelceTE · KCReceptions
DataPitch 38%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TTre Tucker WR · LV 1+ rushing yards+225consensus market priceTre TuckerWR · LVRushing yards
DataPitch 18% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 0.5: -303consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JAshton Jeanty RB · LV 61+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceAshton JeantyRB · LVRushing yards
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 60.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 88+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCRushing yards
DataPitch 4% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -50pp
Under 87.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CKirk Cousins QB · LV 2+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownKirk CousinsQB · LVRushing yards
DataPitch 29%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MPatrick Mahomes QB · KC 14+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownPatrick MahomesQB · KCRushing yards
DataPitch 28%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MPatrick Mahomes QB · KC 237+ passing yards-114consensus market pricePatrick MahomesQB · KCPassing yards
DataPitch 65% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 236.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CKirk Cousins QB · LV 226+ passing yards-113consensus market priceKirk CousinsQB · LVPassing yards
DataPitch 37% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 225.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
