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1 of the 24 rows we price on this game clears our bar tonight.
Strongest of themJakobi MeyersWR · JAX41+ receiving yards-114consensus market pricePrices taken Wed 30 Sept, 14:12 UK.
Called before kickoff: 1. Pending 1.
24 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 41+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 58% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 40.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 79+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceiving yards
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 78.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 73+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceParker WashingtonWR · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 43% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 72.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTee Higgins WR · CIN 61+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceTee HigginsWR · CINReceiving yards
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 60.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 21+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownChase BrownRB · CINReceiving yards
DataPitch 58%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 32+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 55%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 29+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 51%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDrew Sample TE · CIN 10+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownDrew SampleTE · CINReceiving yards
DataPitch 50%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDrew Sample TE · CIN 2+ receptions+115consensus market priceDrew SampleTE · CINReceptions
DataPitch 45% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 1.5: -156consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 4+ receptions+122consensus market priceBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 42% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 3.5: -147consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 7+ receptions-132consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceptions
DataPitch 52% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 6.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 4+ receptions-148consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 51% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 3.5: +112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTee Higgins WR · CIN 5+ receptions+104consensus market priceTee HigginsWR · CINReceptions
DataPitch 32% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 4.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 6+ receptions+105consensus market priceParker WashingtonWR · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 26% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 5.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 3+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownChase BrownRB · CINReceptions
DataPitch 69%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 60%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 65+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINRushing yards
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 64.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TBhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 55+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceBhayshul TutenRB · JAXRushing yards
DataPitch 13% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
Under 54.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX 18+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownChris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAXRushing yards
DataPitch 76%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PSamaje Perine RB · CIN 14+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownSamaje PerineRB · CINRushing yards
DataPitch 63%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 15+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXRushing yards
DataPitch 55%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BJoe Burrow QB · CIN 7+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-30 capture; an older price is not shownJoe BurrowQB · CINRushing yards
DataPitch 21%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 266+ passing yards-112consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXPassing yards
DataPitch 54% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 265.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BJoe Burrow QB · CIN 268+ passing yards-114consensus market priceJoe BurrowQB · CINPassing yards
DataPitch 19% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 267.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
