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Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 22, Cincinnati Bengals 17
Called before kickoff: 5. Won 2, lost 3.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
27 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 41+ receiving yardsLost33 yds-115consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 33 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 40.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 20+ receiving yardsWon71 yds-114consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 71 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 19.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDrew Sample TE · CIN 8+ receiving yardsLost0 yds-110consensus market priceDrew SampleTE · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 7.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTravis Hunter WR · JAX 5+ receiving yards+148consensus market priceTravis HunterWR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 90% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap +50pp
Under 4.5: -200consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 27+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 26.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 37+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 95 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 36.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 83+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 27 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 82.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 76+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceParker WashingtonWR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 75.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTee Higgins WR · CIN 63+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceTee HigginsWR · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 157 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 62.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 4+ receptionsWon11 receptions+115consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINReceptions
How it ended: Won, 11 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 3.5: -149consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDrew Sample TE · CIN 2+ receptions+130consensus market priceDrew SampleTE · CINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 1.5: -170consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 4+ receptions-128consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 3.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 4+ receptions+100consensus market priceBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 3.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 3+ receptions+120consensus market priceBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 2.5: -159consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 8+ receptions+112consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 7.5: -150consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 6+ receptions+105consensus market priceParker WashingtonWR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 5.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTee Higgins WR · CIN 5+ receptions-110consensus market priceTee HigginsWR · CINReceptions
How it ended: Won, 11 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 4.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTravis Hunter WR · JAX 1+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-04 capture; an older price is not shownTravis HunterWR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Ungradeable, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 93%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PSamaje Perine RB · CIN 15+ rushing yardsLost7 yds-111consensus market priceSamaje PerineRB · CINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 14.5: -118consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 15+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 100% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +47pp
Under 14.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX 21+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceChris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAXRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 35 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 97% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +44pp
Under 20.5: -118consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BTahj Brooks RB · CIN 6+ rushing yards+215consensus market priceTahj BrooksRB · CINRushing yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 32%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 5.5: -330consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TBhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 56+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceBhayshul TutenRB · JAXRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 73 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 55.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 61+ rushing yards-110consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 60.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BJoe Burrow QB · CIN 9+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceJoe BurrowQB · CINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
Under 8.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 261+ passing yards-114consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 227 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 260.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BJoe Burrow QB · CIN 269+ passing yards-114consensus market priceJoe BurrowQB · CINPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 428 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
Under 268.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
