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Final: Dallas Cowboys 34, Houston Texans 30
Called before kickoff: 5. Won 4, lost 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
24 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
HXavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 28+ receiving yardsWon46 yds-114consensus market priceXavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 46 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 66% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 27.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BKayshon Boutte WR · HOU 24+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceKayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 36 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 77% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +24pp
Under 23.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FRyan Flournoy WR · DAL 34+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceRyan FlournoyWR · DALReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 37 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 67% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 33.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FJake Ferguson TE · DAL 25+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJake FergusonTE · DALReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 24.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CNico Collins WR · HOU 73+ receiving yards-110consensus market priceNico CollinsWR · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 118 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 72.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PGeorge Pickens WR · DAL 69+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceGeorge PickensWR · DALReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 75 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 68.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MWoody Marks RB · HOU 10+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceWoody MarksRB · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 9.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDalton Schultz TE · HOU 41+ receiving yards-110consensus market priceDalton SchultzTE · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 40.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJavonte Williams RB · DAL 14+ receiving yards-110consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 21 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 13.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LCeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 77+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceCeeDee LambWR · DALReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 189 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 76.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HXavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 3+ receptionsWon3 receptions-122consensus market priceXavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 2.5: -106consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BKayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3+ receptions+144consensus market priceKayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 41%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 2.5: -186consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FRyan Flournoy WR · DAL 4+ receptions+100consensus market priceRyan FlournoyWR · DALReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 3.5: -129consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FJake Ferguson TE · DAL 4+ receptions+100consensus market priceJake FergusonTE · DALReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 3.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PGeorge Pickens WR · DAL 5+ receptions-143consensus market priceGeorge PickensWR · DALReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 4.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDalton Schultz TE · HOU 5+ receptions+100consensus market priceDalton SchultzTE · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 4.5: -125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CNico Collins WR · HOU 6+ receptions+100consensus market priceNico CollinsWR · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 5.5: -127consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MWoody Marks RB · HOU 2+ receptions-138consensus market priceWoody MarksRB · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 1.5: +107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LCeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 6+ receptions-136consensus market priceCeeDee LambWR · DALReceptions
How it ended: Won, 17 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 5.5: +107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJavonte Williams RB · DAL 3+ receptions-124consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 2.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJavonte Williams RB · DAL 60+ rushing yardsWon62 yds-110consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 62 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 73% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +21pp
Under 59.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MWoody Marks RB · HOU 34+ rushing yardsLost22 yds-114consensus market priceWoody MarksRB · HOURushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 22 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 33.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SC.J. Stroud QB · HOU 12+ rushing yards-112consensus market priceC.J. StroudQB · HOURushing yards
How it ended: Won, 12 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
Under 11.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SC.J. Stroud QB · HOU 245+ passing yardsWon347 yds-116consensus market priceC.J. StroudQB · HOUPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 347 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 244.5: -103consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
