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Final: Atlanta Falcons 45, New Orleans Saints 24
Called before kickoff: 3. Won 2, lost 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 4 Oct, 13:30 UK.
29 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SKyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL 29+ receiving yardsWon47 yds-114consensus market priceKyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 47 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 67% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 28.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDoubtfulAustin Hooper TE · ATL 11+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceAustin HooperTE · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his receiving yards line fell 14.5 to 10.5 between the open and the close, 28% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 72% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +19pp
Under 10.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ZOlamide Zaccheaus WR · ATL 8+ receiving yards-120consensus market priceOlamide ZaccheausWR · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 7.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KAlvin Kamara RB · NO 16+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceAlvin KamaraRB · NOReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 35 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 15.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJahan Dotson WR · ATL 19+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJahan DotsonWR · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 54 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 18.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJuwan Johnson TE · NO 41+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJuwan JohnsonTE · NOReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 59 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 40.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
VDevaughn Vele WR · NO 45+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceDevaughn VeleWR · NOReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 54 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 44.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OChris Olave WR · NO 86+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceChris OlaveWR · NOReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 116 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 85.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RBijan Robinson RB · ATL 40+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceBijan RobinsonRB · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 39.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LDrake London WR · ATL 79+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceDrake LondonWR · ATLReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 96 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 78.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SKyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL 3+ receptionsWon3 receptions-135consensus market priceKyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 75% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 2.5: +105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDoubtfulAustin Hooper TE · ATL 2+ receptions+141consensus market priceAustin HooperTE · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his receiving yards line fell 14.5 to 10.5 between the open and the close, 28% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 63% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap +21pp
Under 1.5: -186consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ZOlamide Zaccheaus WR · ATL 2+ receptions+150consensus market priceOlamide ZaccheausWR · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap +19pp
Under 1.5: -200consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJuwan Johnson TE · NO 4+ receptions-115consensus market priceJuwan JohnsonTE · NOReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 3.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KAlvin Kamara RB · NO 4+ receptions+128consensus market priceAlvin KamaraRB · NOReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 3.5: -170consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJahan Dotson WR · ATL 2+ receptions-141consensus market priceJahan DotsonWR · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 1.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OChris Olave WR · NO 7+ receptions-140consensus market priceChris OlaveWR · NOReceptions
How it ended: Won, 8 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 6.5: +105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RBijan Robinson RB · ATL 5+ receptions-110consensus market priceBijan RobinsonRB · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 4.5: -118consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
VDevaughn Vele WR · NO 4+ receptions-169consensus market priceDevaughn VeleWR · NOReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 63%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 3.5: +130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LDrake London WR · ATL 6+ receptions-135consensus market priceDrake LondonWR · ATLReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 5.5: +107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KAlvin Kamara RB · NO 38+ rushing yardsLost23 yds-112consensus market priceAlvin KamaraRB · NORushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 86% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +33pp
Under 37.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKendre Miller RB · NO 26+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceKendre MillerRB · NORushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 25.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
STyler Shough QB · NO 17+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceTyler ShoughQB · NORushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 16.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RBijan Robinson RB · ATL 86+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceBijan RobinsonRB · ATLRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 145 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 85.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JMichael Penix Jr. QB · ATL 6+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceMichael Penix Jr.QB · ATLRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, -2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 5.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RBrian Robinson RB · ATL 30+ rushing yards-110consensus market priceBrian RobinsonRB · ATLRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 62 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 29.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JMichael Penix Jr. QB · ATL 225+ passing yards-112consensus market priceMichael Penix Jr.QB · ATLPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 223 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 224.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
STyler Shough QB · NO 255+ passing yards-114consensus market priceTyler ShoughQB · NOPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 286 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 254.5: -109consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RCooper Rush QB · ATL 185+ passing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-10-04 capture; an older price is not shownCooper RushQB · ATLPassing yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
