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Final: Seattle Seahawks 31, Washington Commanders 33
Called before kickoff: 6. Won 4, lost 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 27 Sept, 17:00 UK.
20 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SJaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA 91+ receiving yardsWon128 yds-113consensus market priceJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 128 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 90.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DStefon Diggs WR · WAS 36+ receiving yardsLost33 yds-114consensus market priceStefon DiggsWR · WASReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 33 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 35.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KCooper Kupp WR · SEA 20+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceCooper KuppWR · SEAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 46 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 85% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +32pp
Under 19.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BAJ Barner TE · SEA 21+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceAJ BarnerTE · SEAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 69 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 20.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MTerry McLaurin WR · WAS 43+ receiving yards-111consensus market priceTerry McLaurinWR · WASReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 77 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 42.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRashid Shaheed WR · SEA 29+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceRashid ShaheedWR · SEAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 14 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 28.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WRachaad White RB · WAS 16+ receiving yards-117consensus market priceRachaad WhiteRB · WASReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 15.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SJaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA 7+ receptionsWon10 receptions-119consensus market priceJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 10 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 6.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KCooper Kupp WR · SEA 3+ receptions+140consensus market priceCooper KuppWR · SEAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 80% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap +38pp
Under 2.5: -182consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MTerry McLaurin WR · WAS 4+ receptions+100consensus market priceTerry McLaurinWR · WASReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 3.5: -127consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BAJ Barner TE · SEA 3+ receptions-110consensus market priceAJ BarnerTE · SEAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 2.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DStefon Diggs WR · WAS 4+ receptions-153consensus market priceStefon DiggsWR · WASReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 3.5: +115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRashid Shaheed WR · SEA 3+ receptions-102consensus market priceRashid ShaheedWR · SEAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 2.5: -125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WRachaad White RB · WAS 3+ receptions-111consensus market priceRachaad WhiteRB · WASReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 2.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MMarcus Mariota QB · WAS 24+ rushing yardsLost11 yds-113consensus market priceMarcus MariotaQB · WASRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 74% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +21pp
Under 23.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WRachaad White RB · WAS 20+ rushing yardsWon35 yds-112consensus market priceRachaad WhiteRB · WASRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 35 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 19.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DSam Darnold QB · SEA 7+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceSam DarnoldQB · SEARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 6.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HGeorge Holani RB · SEA 15+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-27 capture; an older price is not shownGeorge HolaniRB · SEARushing yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MMarcus Mariota QB · WAS 172+ passing yardsWon183 yds-111consensus market priceMarcus MariotaQB · WASPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 183 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 171.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DSam Darnold QB · SEA 220+ passing yards-114consensus market priceSam DarnoldQB · SEAPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 379 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 219.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
