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Final: New England Patriots 6, Jacksonville Jaguars 35
Called before kickoff: 3. Won 2, lost 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 27 Sept, 17:00 UK.
25 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 15+ receiving yardsWon16 yds-113consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 16 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 79% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +26pp
Under 14.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTravis Hunter WR · JAX 1+ receiving yards-127consensus market priceTravis HunterWR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 91% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +35pp
Under 0.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 35+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 64 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 34.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 42+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceHunter HenryTE · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 41.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 31+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 32 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 30.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRomeo Doubs WR · NE 43+ receiving yards-116consensus market priceRomeo DoubsWR · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 49 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 42.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 70+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceParker WashingtonWR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 40 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 69.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 34+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 33.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HMack Hollins WR · NE 35+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-27 capture; an older price is not shownMack HollinsWR · NEReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 87 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 83%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 3+ receptionsWon3 receptions+104consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 74% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap +25pp
Under 2.5: -132consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HMack Hollins WR · NE 3+ receptions-165consensus market priceMack HollinsWR · NEReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 86% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap +24pp
Under 2.5: +124consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 4+ receptions+100consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 3.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 3+ receptions-178consensus market priceBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 2.5: +139consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRomeo Doubs WR · NE 4+ receptions+120consensus market priceRomeo DoubsWR · NEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 3.5: -155consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 4+ receptions-144consensus market priceHunter HenryTE · NEReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 3.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 3+ receptions-152consensus market priceBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 2.5: +114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 6+ receptions+111consensus market priceParker WashingtonWR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 5.5: -143consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTravis Hunter WR · JAX 1+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-27 capture; an older price is not shownTravis HunterWR · JAXReceptions
How it ended: Ungradeable, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 91%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 17+ rushing yards-112consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 25 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 16.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 35+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 22 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 34.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 27+ rushing yards-111consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 18 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 26.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TBhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 52+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceBhayshul TutenRB · JAXRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 73 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 10% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
Under 51.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTreVeyon Henderson RB · NE 43+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-27 capture; an older price is not shownTreVeyon HendersonRB · NERushing yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 223+ passing yardsLost199 yds-114consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NEPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 199 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 66% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 222.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 229+ passing yards-113consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 182 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 228.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
