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5 of the 24 rows we price on this game clear our bar tonight, and 4 of them are New England Patriots players.
Strongest of themRhamondre StevensonRB · NE15+ receiving yards-114consensus market pricePrices taken Thu 24 Sept, 09:34 UK.
Called before kickoff: 5. Pending 5.
24 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 15+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceiving yards
DataPitch 84% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +31pp
Under 14.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 42+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceHunter HenryTE · NEReceiving yards
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 41.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HMack Hollins WR · NE 34+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceMack HollinsWR · NEReceiving yards
DataPitch 88% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +35pp
Under 33.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 35+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 57% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 34.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRomeo Doubs WR · NE 43+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceRomeo DoubsWR · NEReceiving yards
DataPitch 56% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 42.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 28+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 27.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 62+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceParker WashingtonWR · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 38% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 61.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 38+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceiving yards
DataPitch 29% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 37.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 3+ receptions+100consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NEReceptions
DataPitch 80% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +30pp
Under 2.5: -132consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HMack Hollins WR · NE 3+ receptions-163consensus market priceMack HollinsWR · NEReceptions
DataPitch 90% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap +28pp
Under 2.5: +124consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DRomeo Doubs WR · NE 4+ receptions+120consensus market priceRomeo DoubsWR · NEReceptions
DataPitch 49% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 3.5: -156consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HHunter Henry TE · NE 4+ receptions-157consensus market priceHunter HenryTE · NEReceptions
DataPitch 61% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 3.5: +119consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MJakobi Meyers WR · JAX 4+ receptions+101consensus market priceJakobi MeyersWR · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 47% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 3.5: -133consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBrenton Strange TE · JAX 3+ receptions-180consensus market priceBrenton StrangeTE · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 56% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 2.5: +135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JBrian Thomas Jr. WR · JAX 4+ receptions+132consensus market priceBrian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 16% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 3.5: -190consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WParker Washington WR · JAX 5+ receptions-150consensus market priceParker WashingtonWR · JAXReceptions
DataPitch 33% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 4.5: +115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX 21+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceChris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAXRushing yards
DataPitch 66% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 20.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 17+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXRushing yards
DataPitch 44% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 16.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SRhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 38+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceRhamondre StevensonRB · NERushing yards
DataPitch 27% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 37.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 26+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NERushing yards
DataPitch 20% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 25.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TBhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 53+ rushing yards-109consensus market priceBhayshul TutenRB · JAXRushing yards
DataPitch 10% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Under 52.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTreVeyon Henderson RB · NE 40+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownTreVeyon HendersonRB · NERushing yards
DataPitch 22%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
MDrake Maye QB · NE 217+ passing yards-114consensus market priceDrake MayeQB · NEPassing yards
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 216.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LTrevor Lawrence QB · JAX 224+ passing yards-114consensus market priceTrevor LawrenceQB · JAXPassing yards
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 223.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
