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Final: Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16
Called before kickoff: 10. Won 3, lost 7.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 27 Sept, 17:00 UK.
23 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 13+ receiving yardsWon34 yds-113consensus market priceAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 34 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 85% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +32pp
Under 12.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OJosh Oliver TE · MIN 11+ receiving yardsLost0 yds-115consensus market priceJosh OliverTE · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 85% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +31pp
Under 10.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HT.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 31+ receiving yardsLost11 yds-114consensus market priceT.J. HockensonTE · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 75% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +22pp
Under 30.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OCade Otton TE · TB 28+ receiving yardsWon56 yds-115consensus market priceCade OttonTE · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 56 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 72% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 27.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJauan Jennings WR · MIN 15+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJauan JenningsWR · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 87% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +33pp
Under 14.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 16+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceBucky IrvingRB · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 12 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 15.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
EEmeka Egbuka WR · TB 50+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceEmeka EgbukaWR · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 62 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 49.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 36+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceChris Godwin Jr.WR · TBReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 25 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 35.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OJosh Oliver TE · MIN 2+ receptionsLost0 receptions+118consensus market priceJosh OliverTE · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 84% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +38pp
Under 1.5: -151consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 2+ receptionsWon5 receptions-175consensus market priceAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 90% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap +26pp
Under 1.5: +135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OCade Otton TE · TB 4+ receptionsLost3 receptions+134consensus market priceCade OttonTE · TBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 68% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap +25pp
Under 3.5: -180consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HT.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 4+ receptionsLost2 receptions-109consensus market priceT.J. HockensonTE · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 76% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +24pp
Under 3.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJauan Jennings WR · MIN 2+ receptions+100consensus market priceJauan JenningsWR · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 83% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +33pp
Under 1.5: -129consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 4+ receptions+117consensus market priceChris Godwin Jr.WR · TBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 3.5: -151consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 3+ receptions-135consensus market priceBucky IrvingRB · TBReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 2.5: +105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
EEmeka Egbuka WR · TB 5+ receptions+121consensus market priceEmeka EgbukaWR · TBReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 4.5: -158consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 58+ rushing yardsLost46 yds-113consensus market priceBucky IrvingRB · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 46 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 90% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +37pp
Under 57.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyler Murray QB · MIN 21+ rushing yardsLost17 yds-117consensus market priceKyler MurrayQB · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 17 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 20.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 53+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 58 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 94% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +41pp
Under 52.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MBaker Mayfield QB · TB 19+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceBaker MayfieldQB · TBRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 18.5: -109consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MBaker Mayfield QB · TB 217+ passing yards-109consensus market priceBaker MayfieldQB · TBPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 217 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 216.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyler Murray QB · MIN 212+ passing yards-124consensus market priceKyler MurrayQB · MINPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 168 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 211.5: -117consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCarson Wentz QB · MIN 206+ passing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-27 capture; an older price is not shownCarson WentzQB · MINPassing yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
