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4 of the 32 rows we price on this game clear our bar tonight, and 3 of them are Tampa Bay Buccaneers players.
Strongest of themBucky IrvingRB · TB58+ rushing yards-114consensus market pricePrices taken Thu 24 Sept, 09:34 UK. 2 rows on this game carry a doubtful man, marked on the row and with the reason behind its tap.
Called before kickoff: 4. Pending 4.
32 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
OCade Otton TE · TB 28+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceCade OttonTE · TBReceiving yards
DataPitch 65% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 27.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 36+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceChris Godwin Jr.WR · TBReceiving yards
DataPitch 44% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 35.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HT.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 31+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceT.J. HockensonTE · MINReceiving yards
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 30.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
EEmeka Egbuka WR · TB 49+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceEmeka EgbukaWR · TBReceiving yards
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 48.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJordan Addison WR · MIN 37+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJordan AddisonWR · MINReceiving yards
DataPitch 37% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 36.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJustin Jefferson WR · MIN 69+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJustin JeffersonWR · MINReceiving yards
DataPitch 24% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 68.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JDoubtfulJauan Jennings WR · MIN 13+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownJauan JenningsWR · MINReceiving yards
Doubtful: Questionable: Personal - Questionable for Week 3 at Tampa Bay
DataPitch 72%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OJosh Oliver TE · MIN 10+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownJosh OliverTE · MINReceiving yards
DataPitch 66%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 14+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownKenny GainwellRB · TBReceiving yards
DataPitch 53%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 19+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceiving yards
DataPitch 47%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 18+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownBucky IrvingRB · TBReceiving yards
DataPitch 45%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OCade Otton TE · TB 4+ receptions+134consensus market priceCade OttonTE · TBReceptions
DataPitch 60% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 3.5: -176consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JChris Godwin Jr. WR · TB 4+ receptions+119consensus market priceChris Godwin Jr.WR · TBReceptions
DataPitch 49% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 3.5: -157consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 3+ receptions+135consensus market priceKenny GainwellRB · TBReceptions
DataPitch 42% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HT.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 4+ receptions-110consensus market priceT.J. HockensonTE · MINReceptions
DataPitch 38% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 3.5: -119consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
EEmeka Egbuka WR · TB 5+ receptions+122consensus market priceEmeka EgbukaWR · TBReceptions
DataPitch 24% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 4.5: -159consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJordan Addison WR · MIN 4+ receptions+132consensus market priceJordan AddisonWR · MINReceptions
DataPitch 18% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 3.5: -172consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJustin Jefferson WR · MIN 6+ receptions-130consensus market priceJustin JeffersonWR · MINReceptions
DataPitch 16% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
Under 5.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OJosh Oliver TE · MIN 1+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownJosh OliverTE · MINReceptions
DataPitch 83%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JDoubtfulJauan Jennings WR · MIN 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownJauan JenningsWR · MINReceptions
Doubtful: Questionable: Personal - Questionable for Week 3 at Tampa Bay
DataPitch 62%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 4+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceptions
DataPitch 27%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 4+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownBucky IrvingRB · TBReceptions
DataPitch 24%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IBucky Irving RB · TB 58+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceBucky IrvingRB · TBRushing yards
DataPitch 90% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +37pp
Under 57.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyler Murray QB · MIN 21+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceKyler MurrayQB · MINRushing yards
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 20.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MBaker Mayfield QB · TB 17+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceBaker MayfieldQB · TBRushing yards
DataPitch 39% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 16.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJustin Jefferson WR · MIN 10+ rushing yards+100consensus market priceJustin JeffersonWR · MINRushing yards
DataPitch 10% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJordan Addison WR · MIN 10+ rushing yards+100consensus market priceJordan AddisonWR · MINRushing yards
DataPitch 9% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 66+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINRushing yards
DataPitch 87%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GKenny Gainwell RB · TB 14+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownKenny GainwellRB · TBRushing yards
DataPitch 74%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MBaker Mayfield QB · TB 217+ passing yards-114consensus market priceBaker MayfieldQB · TBPassing yards
DataPitch 40% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 216.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyler Murray QB · MIN 210+ passing yards-114consensus market priceKyler MurrayQB · MINPassing yards
DataPitch 29% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 209.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCarson Wentz QB · MIN 206+ passing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownCarson WentzQB · MINPassing yards
DataPitch 34%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
