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Final: Los Angeles Rams 26, Denver Broncos 30
Called before kickoff: 4. Won 2, lost 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 27 Sept, 17:00 UK.
19 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
Courtland SuttonWR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 46 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 76% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +23pp
Under 36.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RJ HarveyRB · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 41 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his receptions line fell 3.5 to 2.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 74% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
Under 17.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Knee - Did Not Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 at Denver
DataPitch 68% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 18.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 70 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 12.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Davante AdamsWR · LAReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 137 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 71.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Terrance FergusonTE · LAReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 13% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 50.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Troy FranklinWR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 21 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 96%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Courtland SuttonWR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 68% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 3.5: -130consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Troy FranklinWR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 84% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +40pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RJ HarveyRB · DENReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his receptions line fell 3.5 to 2.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 75% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 2.5: +106consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Knee - Did Not Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 at Denver
DataPitch 62% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 2.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kyren WilliamsRB · LAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 2.5: -169consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Davante AdamsWR · LAReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 5.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Terrance FergusonTE · LAReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 8% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -56pp
Under 3.5: +129consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kyren WilliamsRB · LARushing yards
How it ended: Won, 88 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 54.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RJ HarveyRB · DENRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his receptions line fell 3.5 to 2.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 80% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +26pp
Under 19.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Blake CorumRB · LARushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 15 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 46.5: -109consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Bo NixQB · DENRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 16.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Bo NixQB · DENPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 186 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 211.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.