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Final: Los Angeles Chargers 16, Buffalo Bills 24
Called before kickoff: 7. Won 1, lost 6.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 27 Sept, 17:00 UK.
28 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
Omarion HamptonRB · LACReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 71% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 11.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Quentin JohnstonWR · LACReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 40 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 36.5: -117consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Dawson KnoxTE · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 66% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 9.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Khalil ShakirWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 42.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jackson HawesTE · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 12%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Tre' HarrisWR · LACReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 76 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 31.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Oronde GadsdenTE · LACReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 37.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
James Cook IIIRB · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 11.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Ladd McConkeyWR · LACReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 66 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 59.5: -107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJ MooreWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 67 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Shoulder - AC Joint - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 vs. L.A. Chargers
DataPitch 20% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 49.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Omarion HamptonRB · LACReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 77% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap +18pp
Under 1.5: +112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Quentin JohnstonWR · LACReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 3.5: -179consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Dawson KnoxTE · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 1.5: -174consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Tre' HarrisWR · LACReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 2.5: +101consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Joshua PalmerWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 1.5: -140consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Khalil ShakirWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 3.5: +122consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Keon ColemanWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Ankle - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 vs. L.A. Chargers
DataPitch 49% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 1.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Oronde GadsdenTE · LACReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 3.5: -138consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
James Cook IIIRB · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 1.5: +118consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Ladd McConkeyWR · LACReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 4.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJ MooreWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Shoulder - AC Joint - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 vs. L.A. Chargers
DataPitch 20% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
Under 3.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
James Cook IIIRB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 154 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 57% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 80.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Josh AllenQB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 22 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 34.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Keaton MitchellRB · LACRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 52 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 14.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Justin HerbertQB · LACRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 20% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 19.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Omarion HamptonRB · LACRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 56 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 12% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
Under 58.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Justin HerbertQB · LACPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 226 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 224.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Josh AllenQB · BUFPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 204 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
Under 239.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.