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1 of the 26 rows we price on this game clears our bar tonight.
Strongest of themWoody MarksRB · HOU28+ rushing yards-114consensus market pricePrices taken Thu 24 Sept, 09:34 UK.
Called before kickoff: 1. Pending 1.
26 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
BKayshon Boutte WR · HOU 36+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceKayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceiving yards
DataPitch 58% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 35.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HXavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 41+ receiving yards-110consensus market priceXavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceiving yards
DataPitch 46% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 40.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AKeenan Allen WR · IND 34+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceKeenan AllenWR · INDReceiving yards
DataPitch 41% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 33.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 20+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJonathan TaylorRB · INDReceiving yards
DataPitch 39% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 19.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WTyler Warren TE · IND 45+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceTyler WarrenTE · INDReceiving yards
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 44.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDalton Schultz TE · HOU 49+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceDalton SchultzTE · HOUReceiving yards
DataPitch 30% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 48.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 52+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJosh DownsWR · INDReceiving yards
DataPitch 17% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
Under 51.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJared Wayne WR · HOU 15+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownJared WayneWR · HOUReceiving yards
DataPitch 57%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MWoody Marks RB · HOU 11+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownWoody MarksRB · HOUReceiving yards
DataPitch 42%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJared Wayne WR · HOU 2+ receptions+140consensus market priceJared WayneWR · HOUReceptions
DataPitch 51% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BKayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3+ receptions-120consensus market priceKayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceptions
DataPitch 49% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 2.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HXavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 4+ receptions+109consensus market priceXavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceptions
DataPitch 38% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 3.5: -140consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MWoody Marks RB · HOU 3+ receptions+160consensus market priceWoody MarksRB · HOUReceptions
DataPitch 21% · Market 39%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 2.5: -172consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AKeenan Allen WR · IND 4+ receptions-113consensus market priceKeenan AllenWR · INDReceptions
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 3.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDalton Schultz TE · HOU 6+ receptions+115consensus market priceDalton SchultzTE · HOUReceptions
DataPitch 25% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 5.5: -152consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 3+ receptions-160consensus market priceJonathan TaylorRB · INDReceptions
DataPitch 40% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 2.5: +116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WTyler Warren TE · IND 5+ receptions-147consensus market priceTyler WarrenTE · INDReceptions
DataPitch 30% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 4.5: +112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 5+ receptions-140consensus market priceJosh DownsWR · INDReceptions
DataPitch 25% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 4.5: +104consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MWoody Marks RB · HOU 28+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceWoody MarksRB · HOURushing yards
DataPitch 58% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 27.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 1+ rushing yards+550consensus market priceJosh DownsWR · INDRushing yards
DataPitch 18% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 0.5: -909consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 81+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceJonathan TaylorRB · INDRushing yards
DataPitch 46% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 80.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JDaniel Jones QB · IND 10+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceDaniel JonesQB · INDRushing yards
DataPitch 39% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 9.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SC.J. Stroud QB · HOU 10+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceC.J. StroudQB · HOURushing yards
DataPitch 21% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
Under 9.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDavid Montgomery RB · HOU 49+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceDavid MontgomeryRB · HOURushing yards
DataPitch 11% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Under 48.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SC.J. Stroud QB · HOU 238+ passing yards-114consensus market priceC.J. StroudQB · HOUPassing yards
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 237.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JDaniel Jones QB · IND 221+ passing yards-114consensus market priceDaniel JonesQB · INDPassing yards
DataPitch 38% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 220.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
