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Final: Houston Texans 17, Indianapolis Colts 19
Called before kickoff: 3. Won 1, lost 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 27 Sept, 17:00 UK.
23 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
HXavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 39+ receiving yardsWon51 yds-113consensus market priceXavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 51 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 69% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 38.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJared Wayne WR · HOU 16+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceJared WayneWR · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 70% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
Under 15.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AKeenan Allen WR · IND 33+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceKeenan AllenWR · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 63 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
Under 32.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BKayshon Boutte WR · HOU 37+ receiving yards-111consensus market priceKayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 21 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 36.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDalton Schultz TE · HOU 50+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceDalton SchultzTE · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 30 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 49.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 22+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceJonathan TaylorRB · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 4 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 21.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WTyler Warren TE · IND 47+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceTyler WarrenTE · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 55 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 46.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 51+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJosh DownsWR · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 77 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 50.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HXavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 4+ receptionsLost3 receptions+110consensus market priceXavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 3.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDalton Schultz TE · HOU 6+ receptionsLost3 receptions+115consensus market priceDalton SchultzTE · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 5.5: -148consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJared Wayne WR · HOU 2+ receptions+101consensus market priceJared WayneWR · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 66% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +16pp
Under 1.5: -128consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BKayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3+ receptions-122consensus market priceKayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 70% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 2.5: -103consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AKeenan Allen WR · IND 4+ receptions-109consensus market priceKeenan AllenWR · INDReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 3.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 3+ receptions-167consensus market priceJonathan TaylorRB · INDReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 63%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 2.5: +128consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WTyler Warren TE · IND 5+ receptions-136consensus market priceTyler WarrenTE · INDReceptions
How it ended: Won, 9 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
Under 4.5: +104consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 5+ receptions-136consensus market priceJosh DownsWR · INDReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 4.5: +110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 1+ rushing yards+480consensus market priceJosh DownsWR · INDRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 0.5: -1290consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 82+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceJonathan TaylorRB · INDRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 68 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 81.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JDaniel Jones QB · IND 10+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceDaniel JonesQB · INDRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 9.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SC.J. Stroud QB · HOU 11+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceC.J. StroudQB · HOURushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 10.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDavid Montgomery RB · HOU 51+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceDavid MontgomeryRB · HOURushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 33 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
Under 50.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SC.J. Stroud QB · HOU 240+ passing yards-113consensus market priceC.J. StroudQB · HOUPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 167 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 239.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JDaniel Jones QB · IND 211+ passing yards-114consensus market priceDaniel JonesQB · INDPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 235 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 210.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
