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2 of the 26 rows we price on this game clear our bar tonight, and they split evenly between the two sides.
Strongest of themJavonte WilliamsRB · DAL59+ rushing yards-108consensus market pricePrices taken Thu 24 Sept, 09:34 UK. 2 rows on this game carry a doubtful man, marked on the row and with the reason behind its tap.
Called before kickoff: 2. Pending 2.
26 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 7+ receiving yards-108consensus market priceDerrick HenryRB · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 53% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 6.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PGeorge Pickens WR · DAL 60+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceGeorge PickensWR · DALReceiving yards
DataPitch 51% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 59.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FJake Ferguson TE · DAL 29+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceJake FergusonTE · DALReceiving yards
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 28.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FDoubtfulZay Flowers WR · BAL 72+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceZay FlowersWR · BALReceiving yards
Doubtful: Questionable: Hamstring - Questionable for Week 3 at Dallas
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 71.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJavonte Williams RB · DAL 17+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALReceiving yards
DataPitch 27% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 16.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LCeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 85+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceCeeDee LambWR · DALReceiving yards
DataPitch 24% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 84.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AMark Andrews TE · BAL 51+ receiving yards-108consensus market priceMark AndrewsTE · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 19% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 50.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FRyan Flournoy WR · DAL 30+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownRyan FlournoyWR · DALReceiving yards
DataPitch 69%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BRashod Bateman WR · BAL 46+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownRashod BatemanWR · BALReceiving yards
DataPitch 19%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FRyan Flournoy WR · DAL 4+ receptions+120consensus market priceRyan FlournoyWR · DALReceptions
DataPitch 51% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FDoubtfulZay Flowers WR · BAL 6+ receptions+120consensus market priceZay FlowersWR · BALReceptions
Doubtful: Questionable: Hamstring - Questionable for Week 3 at Dallas
DataPitch 34% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 5.5: -159consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FJake Ferguson TE · DAL 4+ receptions-121consensus market priceJake FergusonTE · DALReceptions
DataPitch 42% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 3.5: -108consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PGeorge Pickens WR · DAL 6+ receptions+112consensus market priceGeorge PickensWR · DALReceptions
DataPitch 30% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 5.5: -155consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AMark Andrews TE · BAL 5+ receptions-112consensus market priceMark AndrewsTE · BALReceptions
DataPitch 23% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 4.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJavonte Williams RB · DAL 3+ receptions-155consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALReceptions
DataPitch 24% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 2.5: +116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LCeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 7+ receptions-125consensus market priceCeeDee LambWR · DALReceptions
DataPitch 17% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 6.5: -105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BRashod Bateman WR · BAL 3+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownRashod BatemanWR · BALReceptions
DataPitch 28%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 3+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownDerrick HenryRB · BALReceptions
DataPitch 17%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJavonte Williams RB · DAL 59+ rushing yards-108consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALRushing yards
DataPitch 72% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
Under 58.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HDerrick Henry RB · BAL 90+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceDerrick HenryRB · BALRushing yards
DataPitch 68% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
Under 89.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JLamar Jackson QB · BAL 39+ rushing yards-112consensus market priceLamar JacksonQB · BALRushing yards
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 38.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PDak Prescott QB · DAL 13+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceDak PrescottQB · DALRushing yards
DataPitch 29% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 12.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LCeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 10+ rushing yards+100consensus market priceCeeDee LambWR · DALRushing yards
DataPitch 2% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -48pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HJustice Hill RB · BAL 11+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-24 capture; an older price is not shownJustice HillRB · BALRushing yards
DataPitch 33%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PDak Prescott QB · DAL 264+ passing yards-114consensus market priceDak PrescottQB · DALPassing yards
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 263.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JLamar Jackson QB · BAL 238+ passing yards-115consensus market priceLamar JacksonQB · BALPassing yards
DataPitch 41% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 237.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
