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Final: Washington Commanders 20, Dallas Cowboys 37
Called before kickoff: 2. Won 1, lost 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.
25 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
FRyan Flournoy WR · DAL 31+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceRyan FlournoyWR · DALReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 30.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BJohn Bates TE · WAS 14+ receiving yards-111consensus market priceJohn BatesTE · WASReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 13.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FJake Ferguson TE · DAL 27+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJake FergusonTE · DALReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 43 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 26.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PGeorge Pickens WR · DAL 66+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceGeorge PickensWR · DALReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 40 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 65.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MTerry McLaurin WR · WAS 54+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceTerry McLaurinWR · WASReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 50 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 53.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DStefon Diggs WR · WAS 49+ receiving yards-117consensus market priceStefon DiggsWR · WASReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 47 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 48.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJavonte Williams RB · DAL 14+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 13.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LCeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 76+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceCeeDee LambWR · DALReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 153 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 75.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBen Sinnott TE · WAS 14+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shownBen SinnottTE · WASReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 59%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FRyan Flournoy WR · DAL 3+ receptions-129consensus market priceRyan FlournoyWR · DALReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 2.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
FJake Ferguson TE · DAL 4+ receptions+104consensus market priceJake FergusonTE · DALReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 3.5: -134consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PGeorge Pickens WR · DAL 5+ receptions-114consensus market priceGeorge PickensWR · DALReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 4.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BJohn Bates TE · WAS 2+ receptions-160consensus market priceJohn BatesTE · WASReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 1.5: +121consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MTerry McLaurin WR · WAS 5+ receptions+119consensus market priceTerry McLaurinWR · WASReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 4.5: -150consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DStefon Diggs WR · WAS 5+ receptions-120consensus market priceStefon DiggsWR · WASReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 4.5: -107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJavonte Williams RB · DAL 3+ receptions-107consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 2.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LCeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 6+ receptions-137consensus market priceCeeDee LambWR · DALReceptions
How it ended: Won, 8 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 25% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 5.5: +105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SBen Sinnott TE · WAS 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shownBen SinnottTE · WASReceptions
How it ended: Ungradeable, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJavonte Williams RB · DAL 76+ rushing yardsLost30 yds-115consensus market priceJavonte WilliamsRB · DALRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 30 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 68% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 75.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJayden Daniels QB · WAS 37+ rushing yardsWon69 yds-113consensus market priceJayden DanielsQB · WASRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 69 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 67% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 36.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DEmari Demercado RB · DAL 11+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceEmari DemercadoRB · DALRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 73% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
Under 10.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
PDak Prescott QB · DAL 9+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceDak PrescottQB · DALRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 26 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 8.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LCeeDee Lamb WR · DAL 1+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shownCeeDee LambWR · DALRushing yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 6%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PDak Prescott QB · DAL 267+ passing yards-113consensus market priceDak PrescottQB · DALPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 279 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 266.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJayden Daniels QB · WAS 222+ passing yards-113consensus market priceJayden DanielsQB · WASPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 96 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 221.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
