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Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

Week 2 · Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET · Market line ARI +3.5 · total 40.5

How our calls did

Final: Seattle Seahawks 31, Arizona Cardinals 7

Called before kickoff: 4. Won 1, lost 3.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.

Every market we price

21 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards28
Michael Wilson WR · ARI 47+ receiving yardsLost18 yds-108consensus market price

Michael WilsonWR · ARIReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 18 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 65% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +13pp

Under 46.5: -108consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 66.5, median 61
The line
46.5

His last 5, receiving yards

56v LAC2026 week 1
99v LA2025 week 18
89v CIN2025 week 17
52v ATL2025 week 16
54v HOU2025 week 15
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA 82+ receiving yardsWon155 yds-114consensus market price

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 155 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 60% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +7pp

Under 81.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 101, median 95
The line
81.5

His last 5, receiving yards

122v NE2026 week 1
27v NE2025 week 22
153v LA2025 week 21
19v SF2025 week 20
84v SF2025 week 18
More players (6)
Cooper Kupp WR · SEA 24+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Cooper KuppWR · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 20 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 73% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +20pp

Under 23.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 46.9, median 41
The line
23.5

His last 5, receiving yards

35v NE2026 week 1
61v NE2025 week 22
36v LA2025 week 21
60v SF2025 week 20
29v SF2025 week 18
Kendrick Bourne WR · ARI 25+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Kendrick BourneWR · ARIReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 64% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +11pp

Under 24.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 42.1, median 35
The line
24.5

His last 5, receiving yards

75v LAC2026 week 1
0v SEA2025 week 20
0v SEA2025 week 18
25v CHI2025 week 17
27v IND2025 week 16
Rashid Shaheed WR · SEA 25+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Rashid ShaheedWR · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 35 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 45% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -8pp

Under 24.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 27.5, median 22
The line
24.5

His last 5, receiving yards

4v NE2026 week 1
27v NE2025 week 22
51v LA2025 week 21
0v SF2025 week 20
2v SF2025 week 18
AJ Barner TE · SEA 23+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

AJ BarnerTE · SEAReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 44% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 22.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 24.1, median 19
The line
22.5

His last 5, receiving yards

13v NE2026 week 1
54v NE2025 week 22
13v LA2025 week 21
0v SF2025 week 20
14v SF2025 week 18
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · ARI 35+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARIReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 44% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 34.5: -103consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 36.6, median 30
The line
34.5

His last 5, receiving yards

33v LAC2026 week 1
0v CIN2025 week 17
14v ATL2025 week 16
69v TB2025 week 13
33v SEA2025 week 10
Trey McBride TE · ARI 61+ receiving yards-115consensus market price

Trey McBrideTE · ARIReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 41 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 42% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -12pp

Under 60.5: -107consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 58.4, median 54
The line
60.5

His last 5, receiving yards

95v LAC2026 week 1
65v LA2025 week 18
76v CIN2025 week 17
27v ATL2025 week 16
134v HOU2025 week 15
Receptions18
Michael Wilson WR · ARI 5+ receptionsLost2 receptions+122consensus market price

Michael WilsonWR · ARIReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 52% · Market 45%

Against this price: Gap +7pp

Under 4.5: -152consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.9, median 5
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

5v LAC2026 week 1
5v LA2025 week 18
5v CIN2025 week 17
2v ATL2025 week 16
5v HOU2025 week 15
Cooper Kupp WR · SEA 3+ receptions+125consensus market price

Cooper KuppWR · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 75% · Market 44%

Against this price: Gap +31pp

Under 2.5: -161consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.3, median 4
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v NE2026 week 1
6v NE2025 week 22
4v LA2025 week 21
5v SF2025 week 20
2v SF2025 week 18
More players (6)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA 7+ receptions+100consensus market price

Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Won, 9 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 52% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap +2pp

Under 6.5: -128consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 7, median 7
The line
6.5

His last 5, receptions

8v NE2026 week 1
4v NE2025 week 22
10v LA2025 week 21
3v SF2025 week 20
6v SF2025 week 18
Kendrick Bourne WR · ARI 3+ receptions-125consensus market price

Kendrick BourneWR · ARIReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 53% · Market 56%

Against this price: Gap -3pp

Under 2.5: -102consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.1, median 3
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

8v LAC2026 week 1
0v SEA2025 week 20
0v SEA2025 week 18
1v CHI2025 week 17
3v IND2025 week 16
Rashid Shaheed WR · SEA 3+ receptions+155consensus market price

Rashid ShaheedWR · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 33% · Market 39%

Against this price: Gap -6pp

Under 2.5: -197consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

1v NE2026 week 1
2v NE2025 week 22
1v LA2025 week 21
0v SF2025 week 20
1v SF2025 week 18
Trey McBride TE · ARI 7+ receptions+102consensus market price

Trey McBrideTE · ARIReceptions

How it ended: Won, 8 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 42% · Market 50%

Against this price: Gap -8pp

Under 6.5: -133consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 6.1, median 6
The line
6.5

His last 5, receptions

9v LAC2026 week 1
7v LA2025 week 18
10v CIN2025 week 17
4v ATL2025 week 16
12v HOU2025 week 15
AJ Barner TE · SEA 3+ receptions-113consensus market price

AJ BarnerTE · SEAReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 43% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -10pp

Under 2.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.5, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v NE2026 week 1
4v NE2025 week 22
2v LA2025 week 21
0v SF2025 week 20
2v SF2025 week 18
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · ARI 4+ receptions+122consensus market price

Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARIReceptions

How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 27% · Market 45%

Against this price: Gap -18pp

Under 3.5: -155consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.5, median 2
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

1v LAC2026 week 1
0v CIN2025 week 17
1v ATL2025 week 16
6v TB2025 week 13
3v SEA2025 week 10
Rushing yards14
Jacoby Brissett QB · ARI 10+ rushing yardsLost7 yds-112consensus market price

Jacoby BrissettQB · ARIRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 57% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +4pp

Under 9.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 17.2, median 12
The line
9.5

His last 5, rushing yards

14v LAC2026 week 1
19v LA2025 week 18
0v CIN2025 week 17
5v ATL2025 week 16
6v HOU2025 week 15
Drew Lock QB · SEA 8+ rushing yards-114consensus market price

Drew LockQB · SEARushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 57% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +4pp

Under 7.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 17.7, median 11
The line
7.5

His last 5, rushing yards

13v NE2026 week 1
0v ATL2025 week 14
-4v ARI2025 week 10
-1v NO2025 week 3
3v PHI2024 week 18
More players (2)
Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 35+ rushing yards-120consensus market price

Tyler AllgeierRB · ARIRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 38% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -17pp

Under 34.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 33.1, median 27
The line
34.5

His last 5, rushing yards

61v LAC2026 week 1
16v NO2025 week 18
23v LA2025 week 17
79v ARI2025 week 16
18v TB2025 week 15
George Holani RB · SEA 30+ rushing yards-112consensus market price

George HolaniRB · SEARushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 13 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 16% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -37pp

Under 29.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 14.2, median 7
The line
29.5

His last 5, rushing yards

29v NE2026 week 1
6v NE2025 week 22
4v LA2025 week 21
6v LA2025 week 11
31v ARI2025 week 10
Passing yards1
Jacoby Brissett QB · ARI 217+ passing yards-115consensus market price

Jacoby BrissettQB · ARIPassing yards

How it ended: Lost, 95 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 46% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -8pp

Under 216.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 213.4, median 209
The line
216.5

His last 5, passing yards

277v LAC2026 week 1
210v LA2025 week 18
191v CIN2025 week 17
188v ATL2025 week 16
235v HOU2025 week 15

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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