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New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens

Week 2 · Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET · Market line BAL -8.5 · total 46.5

Our read on this game

Nothing on this game clears our bar tonight. Every market we price is below anyway, each row with the market's own price and what our read rests on.

Capture time not held for these prices.

Every market we price

8 rows on 3 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards2
Chris Olave WR · NO 75+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Chris OlaveWR · NOReceiving yards

DataPitch 54%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 84.6, median 79
The line
74.5

His last 5, receiving yards

119v TEN2025 week 17
148v NYJ2025 week 16
85v CAR2025 week 15
30v TB2025 week 14
47v MIA2025 week 13
Devaughn Vele WR · NO 43+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Devaughn VeleWR · NOReceiving yards

DataPitch 48%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 47.5, median 41
The line
42.5

His last 5, receiving yards

69v CAR2025 week 15
40v TB2025 week 14
93v MIA2025 week 13
37v ATL2025 week 12
15v CAR2025 week 10
Rushing yards4
Derrick Henry RB · BAL 84+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Derrick HenryRB · BALRushing yards

DataPitch 67%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 110.7, median 105
The line
83.5

His last 5, rushing yards

126v PIT2025 week 18
216v GB2025 week 17
128v NE2025 week 16
100v CIN2025 week 15
94v PIT2025 week 14
Tyler Shough QB · NO 20+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Tyler ShoughQB · NORushing yards

DataPitch 30%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 16.2, median 10
The line
19.5

His last 5, rushing yards

34v ATL2025 week 18
6v TEN2025 week 17
8v NYJ2025 week 16
32v CAR2025 week 15
55v TB2025 week 14
More players (2)
Lamar Jackson QB · BAL 40+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Lamar JacksonQB · BALRushing yards

DataPitch 29%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 29.7, median 19
The line
39.5

His last 5, rushing yards

9v PIT2025 week 18
7v NE2025 week 16
26v CIN2025 week 15
43v PIT2025 week 14
27v CIN2025 week 13
Travis Etienne Jr. RB · NO 53+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Travis Etienne Jr.RB · NORushing yards

DataPitch 26%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 38.6, median 32
The line
52.5

His last 5, rushing yards

67v BUF2025 week 19
32v TEN2025 week 18
76v IND2025 week 17
50v DEN2025 week 16
32v NYJ2025 week 15
Passing yards2
Tyler Shough QB · NO 244+ passing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Tyler ShoughQB · NOPassing yards

DataPitch 50%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 248.2, median 244
The line
243.5

His last 5, passing yards

232v ATL2025 week 18
320v TEN2025 week 17
290v NYJ2025 week 16
256v CAR2025 week 15
121v TB2025 week 14
Lamar Jackson QB · BAL 223+ passing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shown

Lamar JacksonQB · BALPassing yards

DataPitch 36%

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 202.1, median 196
The line
222.5

His last 5, passing yards

222v PIT2025 week 18
101v NE2025 week 16
128v CIN2025 week 15
203v PIT2025 week 14
223v CIN2025 week 13

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

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