← Props Picker, this week's games
at

New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens

Week 2 · Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET · Market line BAL -8.5 · total 45.5

How our calls did

Final: New Orleans Saints 24, Baltimore Ravens 17

Called before kickoff: 7. Won 4, lost 3.

Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.

Every market we price

25 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.

Receiving yards28
Alvin Kamara RB · NO 11+ receiving yardsLost7 yds-115consensus market price

Alvin KamaraRB · NOReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 69% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +15pp

Under 10.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 24.8, median 19
The line
10.5

His last 5, receiving yards

4v ATL2025 week 12
32v CAR2025 week 10
3v LA2025 week 9
24v TB2025 week 8
1v CHI2025 week 7
Derrick Henry RB · BAL 7+ receiving yardsWon19 yds-112consensus market price

Derrick HenryRB · BALReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 19 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 61% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +8pp

Under 6.5: -114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 14.9, median 10
The line
6.5

His last 5, receiving yards

19v IND2026 week 1
0v PIT2025 week 18
0v GB2025 week 17
0v NE2025 week 16
0v CIN2025 week 15
More players (6)
Juwan Johnson TE · NO 39+ receiving yards-114consensus market price

Juwan JohnsonTE · NOReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 66 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 54% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +1pp

Under 38.5: -106consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 47.6, median 41
The line
38.5

His last 5, receiving yards

54v DET2026 week 1
61v ATL2025 week 18
95v TEN2025 week 17
89v NYJ2025 week 16
30v CAR2025 week 15
Travis Etienne Jr. RB · NO 12+ receiving yards-112consensus market price

Travis Etienne Jr.RB · NOReceiving yards

How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 52% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -1pp

Under 11.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 17.8, median 12
The line
11.5

His last 5, receiving yards

32v DET2026 week 1
49v BUF2025 week 19
6v TEN2025 week 18
16v IND2025 week 17
16v DEN2025 week 16
DoubtfulChris Olave WR · NO 70+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Chris OlaveWR · NOReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 86 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Hamstring - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 2 at Baltimore

DataPitch 51% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -2pp

Under 69.5: -115consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 76.6, median 71
The line
69.5

His last 5, receiving yards

182v DET2026 week 1
119v TEN2025 week 17
148v NYJ2025 week 16
85v CAR2025 week 15
30v TB2025 week 14
Devaughn Vele WR · NO 40+ receiving yards-121consensus market price

Devaughn VeleWR · NOReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 64 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 47% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -8pp

Under 39.5: -107consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 42.6, median 37
The line
39.5

His last 5, receiving yards

69v DET2026 week 1
69v CAR2025 week 15
40v TB2025 week 14
93v MIA2025 week 13
37v ATL2025 week 12
Mark Andrews TE · BAL 49+ receiving yards-109consensus market price

Mark AndrewsTE · BALReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 49 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 29% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap -23pp

Under 48.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 37.7, median 32
The line
48.5

His last 5, receiving yards

49v IND2026 week 1
14v PIT2025 week 18
28v GB2025 week 17
21v NE2025 week 16
18v CIN2025 week 15
Rashod Bateman WR · BAL 39+ receiving yards-113consensus market price

Rashod BatemanWR · BALReceiving yards

How it ended: Won, 88 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 29% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -24pp

Under 38.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receiving yards
average 29.1, median 23
The line
38.5

His last 5, receiving yards

0v IND2026 week 1
7v GB2025 week 17
0v NE2025 week 16
23v PIT2025 week 14
0v CIN2025 week 13
Receptions28
Alvin Kamara RB · NO 3+ receptionsWon5 receptions+142consensus market price

Alvin KamaraRB · NOReceptions

How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 53% · Market 41%

Against this price: Gap +12pp

Under 2.5: -195consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.1, median 3
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

2v ATL2025 week 12
3v CAR2025 week 10
1v LA2025 week 9
2v TB2025 week 8
3v CHI2025 week 7
Derrick Henry RB · BAL 2+ receptionsWon3 receptions+171consensus market price

Derrick HenryRB · BALReceptions

How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 48% · Market 37%

Against this price: Gap +11pp

Under 1.5: -222consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 1.8, median 1
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

1v IND2026 week 1
0v PIT2025 week 18
0v GB2025 week 17
0v NE2025 week 16
0v CIN2025 week 15
More players (6)
Juwan Johnson TE · NO 4+ receptions-136consensus market price

Juwan JohnsonTE · NOReceptions

How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 58% · Market 58%

Against this price: Gap +0pp

Under 3.5: +104consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.3, median 4
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

3v DET2026 week 1
3v ATL2025 week 18
4v TEN2025 week 17
8v NYJ2025 week 16
4v CAR2025 week 15
DoubtfulChris Olave WR · NO 6+ receptions-120consensus market price

Chris OlaveWR · NOReceptions

How it ended: Won, 8 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

Doubtful: Questionable: Hamstring - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 2 at Baltimore

DataPitch 53% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -2pp

Under 5.5: -110consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 6, median 6
The line
5.5

His last 5, receptions

10v DET2026 week 1
8v TEN2025 week 17
10v NYJ2025 week 16
6v CAR2025 week 15
3v TB2025 week 14
Mark Andrews TE · BAL 5+ receptions+115consensus market price

Mark AndrewsTE · BALReceptions

How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 38% · Market 47%

Against this price: Gap -9pp

Under 4.5: -150consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 4.1, median 4
The line
4.5

His last 5, receptions

4v IND2026 week 1
2v PIT2025 week 18
4v GB2025 week 17
2v NE2025 week 16
2v CIN2025 week 15
Travis Etienne Jr. RB · NO 2+ receptions-184consensus market price

Travis Etienne Jr.RB · NOReceptions

How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 54% · Market 65%

Against this price: Gap -11pp

Under 1.5: +140consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.1, median 2
The line
1.5

His last 5, receptions

7v DET2026 week 1
5v BUF2025 week 19
1v TEN2025 week 18
2v IND2025 week 17
4v DEN2025 week 16
Devaughn Vele WR · NO 4+ receptions-138consensus market price

Devaughn VeleWR · NOReceptions

How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 39% · Market 58%

Against this price: Gap -19pp

Under 3.5: +109consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 3.2, median 3
The line
3.5

His last 5, receptions

7v DET2026 week 1
5v CAR2025 week 15
3v TB2025 week 14
8v MIA2025 week 13
3v ATL2025 week 12
Rashod Bateman WR · BAL 3+ receptions-142consensus market price

Rashod BatemanWR · BALReceptions

How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 35% · Market 59%

Against this price: Gap -24pp

Under 2.5: +114consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated receptions
average 2.2, median 2
The line
2.5

His last 5, receptions

0v IND2026 week 1
1v GB2025 week 17
0v NE2025 week 16
2v PIT2025 week 14
0v CIN2025 week 13
Rushing yards27
Alvin Kamara RB · NO 16+ rushing yardsLost15 yds-112consensus market price

Alvin KamaraRB · NORushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 15 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 86% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap +33pp

Under 15.5: -117consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 47.1, median 41
The line
15.5

His last 5, rushing yards

11v ATL2025 week 12
83v CAR2025 week 10
14v LA2025 week 9
21v TB2025 week 8
28v CHI2025 week 7
Derrick Henry RB · BAL 95+ rushing yardsLost68 yds-115consensus market price

Derrick HenryRB · BALRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 68 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 58% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap +4pp

Under 94.5: -111consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 111.2, median 105
The line
94.5

His last 5, rushing yards

144v IND2026 week 1
126v PIT2025 week 18
216v GB2025 week 17
128v NE2025 week 16
100v CIN2025 week 15
More players (5)
Kendre Miller RB · NO 20+ rushing yards-122consensus market price

Kendre MillerRB · NORushing yards

How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 51% · Market 55%

Against this price: Gap -4pp

Under 19.5: +113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 26.7, median 20
The line
19.5

His last 5, rushing yards

30v DET2026 week 1
7v CHI2025 week 7
21v NE2025 week 6
41v NYG2025 week 5
65v BUF2025 week 4
Travis Etienne Jr. RB · NO 41+ rushing yards-111consensus market price

Travis Etienne Jr.RB · NORushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 25 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 39% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -14pp

Under 40.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 38.3, median 32
The line
40.5

His last 5, rushing yards

46v DET2026 week 1
67v BUF2025 week 19
32v TEN2025 week 18
76v IND2025 week 17
50v DEN2025 week 16
Tyler Shough QB · NO 16+ rushing yards-114consensus market price

Tyler ShoughQB · NORushing yards

How it ended: Won, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 37% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -16pp

Under 15.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 16, median 9
The line
15.5

His last 5, rushing yards

8v DET2026 week 1
34v ATL2025 week 18
6v TEN2025 week 17
8v NYJ2025 week 16
32v CAR2025 week 15
Lamar Jackson QB · BAL 40+ rushing yards-112consensus market price

Lamar JacksonQB · BALRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 34 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 28% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -25pp

Under 39.5: -112consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 29.8, median 20
The line
39.5

His last 5, rushing yards

40v IND2026 week 1
9v PIT2025 week 18
7v NE2025 week 16
26v CIN2025 week 15
43v PIT2025 week 14
Justice Hill RB · BAL 14+ rushing yards-114consensus market price

Justice HillRB · BALRushing yards

How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 26% · Market 53%

Against this price: Gap -27pp

Under 13.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated rushing yards
average 10.8, median 2
The line
13.5

His last 5, rushing yards

18v IND2026 week 1
0v NYJ2025 week 12
1v MIN2025 week 10
2v MIA2025 week 9
2v CHI2025 week 8
Passing yards12
Tyler Shough QB · NO 232+ passing yardsWon252 yds-110consensus market price

Tyler ShoughQB · NOPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 252 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.

DataPitch 57% · Market 52%

Against this price: Gap +5pp

Under 231.5: -113consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 248.2, median 243
The line
231.5

His last 5, passing yards

378v DET2026 week 1
232v ATL2025 week 18
320v TEN2025 week 17
290v NYJ2025 week 16
256v CAR2025 week 15
Lamar Jackson QB · BAL 213+ passing yards-115consensus market price

Lamar JacksonQB · BALPassing yards

How it ended: Won, 235 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.

DataPitch 40% · Market 54%

Against this price: Gap -14pp

Under 212.5: -117consensus market price

Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.

Our simulated passing yards
average 200.2, median 194
The line
212.5

His last 5, passing yards

304v IND2026 week 1
222v PIT2025 week 18
101v NE2025 week 16
128v CIN2025 week 15
203v PIT2025 week 14

Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.

Around this game

Week 2 NFL player props, every gameBaltimore Ravens season simulation and futures pricesNew Orleans Saints season simulation and futures pricesWeek 1 resultsEvery NFL futures price on the Futures SimulatorHow the simulator works

Also from DataPitch

Futures SimulatorLock a result, re-run the season, and every price re-reads.Pregame PicksToday's fixtures, every player market we price, re-priced to your own numbers.In-Play AlertsCustomised in-play alerts on football player props: pick a player's shots, shots on target, fouls or cards, change the numbers, and the card lands in your Telegram while the match is on, priced when we hold live odds.GuidesPlain-word explainers on futures, player props, in-play alerts and the scenario tool.
Live Drive AlertsThe NFL watched live, with alerts on the markets we price in play.Upcoming

Free on Telegram

Live player alerts, about 20 seconds behind the pitch

Shots, fouls and bookings as they happen, plus the daily match cards. Join the channel, it is free.