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Final: Minnesota Vikings 9, Chicago Bears 3
Called before kickoff: 4. Won 2, lost 2.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.
32 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
OJosh Oliver TE · MIN 14+ receiving yardsWon24 yds-116consensus market priceJosh OliverTE · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 24 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 13.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 16+ receiving yardsLost0 yds-113consensus market priceAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 15.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJordan Addison WR · MIN 40+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJordan AddisonWR · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 21 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 39.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LColston Loveland TE · CHI 54+ receiving yards-111consensus market priceColston LovelandTE · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 3 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 53.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KCole Kmet TE · CHI 14+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceCole KmetTE · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 13.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HT.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 31+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceT.J. HockensonTE · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 29 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 30.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ORome Odunze WR · CHI 40+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceRome OdunzeWR · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 43 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 39.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyle Monangai RB · CHI 11+ receiving yards-110consensus market priceKyle MonangaiRB · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 10.5: -117consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ILuther Burden III WR · CHI 52+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceLuther Burden IIIWR · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 32 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 51.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJustin Jefferson WR · MIN 80+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceJustin JeffersonWR · MINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 55 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 79.5: -103consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SD'Andre Swift RB · CHI 11+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceD'Andre SwiftRB · CHIReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 54 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 10.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
OJosh Oliver TE · MIN 2+ receptionsLost1 reception-110consensus market priceJosh OliverTE · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
Under 1.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyle Monangai RB · CHI 2+ receptions+130consensus market priceKyle MonangaiRB · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 1.5: -173consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 3+ receptions-125consensus market priceAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 2.5: -103consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
LColston Loveland TE · CHI 5+ receptions-120consensus market priceColston LovelandTE · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 4.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ORome Odunze WR · CHI 3+ receptions-129consensus market priceRome OdunzeWR · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 2.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HT.J. Hockenson TE · MIN 4+ receptions-120consensus market priceT.J. HockensonTE · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 3.5: -106consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJordan Addison WR · MIN 4+ receptions+108consensus market priceJordan AddisonWR · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 3.5: -140consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KCole Kmet TE · CHI 2+ receptions-108consensus market priceCole KmetTE · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 1.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ILuther Burden III WR · CHI 5+ receptions+107consensus market priceLuther Burden IIIWR · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 4.5: -136consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJustin Jefferson WR · MIN 7+ receptions-105consensus market priceJustin JeffersonWR · MINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 25% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 6.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SD'Andre Swift RB · CHI 2+ receptions-139consensus market priceD'Andre SwiftRB · CHIReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 1.5: +105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MKyle Monangai RB · CHI 38+ rushing yardsWon47 yds-112consensus market priceKyle MonangaiRB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 47 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 65% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
Under 37.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SAaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 61+ rushing yards-117consensus market priceAaron Jones Sr.RB · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 105 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 95% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +41pp
Under 60.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SD'Andre Swift RB · CHI 62+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceD'Andre SwiftRB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 45 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 61.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCarson Wentz QB · MIN 9+ rushing yards-112consensus market priceCarson WentzQB · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 8.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
WCaleb Williams QB · CHI 28+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceCaleb WilliamsQB · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 42 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 17% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -36pp
Under 27.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JJustin Jefferson WR · MIN 10+ rushing yards+100consensus market priceJustin JeffersonWR · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 12% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJordan Addison WR · MIN 10+ rushing yards+100consensus market priceJordan AddisonWR · MINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 10% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
ILuther Burden III WR · CHI 1+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shownLuther Burden IIIWR · CHIRushing yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 28%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCarson Wentz QB · MIN 217+ passing yards-103consensus market priceCarson WentzQB · MINPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 143 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 216.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WCaleb Williams QB · CHI 230+ passing yards-105consensus market priceCaleb WilliamsQB · CHIPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 138 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 229.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
