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Final: Las Vegas Raiders 26, Los Angeles Chargers 14
Called before kickoff: 1. Won 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.
27 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
Omarion HamptonRB · LACReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 21 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 10.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Oronde GadsdenTE · LACReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 18 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 17.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Tre' HarrisWR · LACReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 53 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 32.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
David NjokuTE · LACReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
Under 24.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Tre TuckerWR · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 119 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 36.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Quentin JohnstonWR · LACReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
Under 50.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jalen NailorWR · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 9 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 25% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
Under 32.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Ashton JeantyRB · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 15 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 20% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 26.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
Michael MayerTE · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 13% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
Under 44.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jack BechWR · LVReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 25 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Oronde GadsdenTE · LACReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 1.5: +119consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Omarion HamptonRB · LACReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 41%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 2.5: -186consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
David NjokuTE · LACReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 59%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 2.5: +112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Tre' HarrisWR · LACReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 26% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 3.5: -180consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Tre TuckerWR · LVReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 3.5: -148consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Quentin JohnstonWR · LACReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 3.5: +122consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jalen NailorWR · LVReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 2.5: +115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Ashton JeantyRB · LVReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Under 3.5: +120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Michael MayerTE · LVReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 5% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
Under 5.5: -137consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jack BechWR · LVReceptions
How it ended: Ungradeable, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kirk CousinsQB · LVRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 0.5: -177consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Ashton JeantyRB · LVRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 48 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 63.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Justin HerbertQB · LACRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 19.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Keaton MitchellRB · LACRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 24 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 14% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
Under 23.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Omarion HamptonRB · LACRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 94 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 9% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -45pp
Under 63.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kirk CousinsQB · LVPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 253 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 192.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Justin HerbertQB · LACPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 192 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 16% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 225.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.