at
Final: Indianapolis Colts 30, Kansas City Chiefs 33
Called before kickoff: 1. Won 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.
28 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
GNoah Gray TE · KC 12+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceNoah GrayTE · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 11.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 52+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceRashee RiceWR · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 83 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 51.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 17+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceJonathan TaylorRB · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 40 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 16.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AKeenan Allen WR · IND 30+ receiving yards-116consensus market priceKeenan AllenWR · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 29.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
PAlec Pierce WR · IND 45+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceAlec PierceWR · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 44.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTravis Kelce TE · KC 43+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceTravis KelceTE · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 101 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 42.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 21+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 61 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 20.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WTyler Warren TE · IND 43+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceTyler WarrenTE · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 21 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 42.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 38+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceXavier WorthyWR · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 25 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 37.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 41+ receiving yards-118consensus market priceJosh DownsWR · INDReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 72 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 40.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GNoah Gray TE · KC 2+ receptions+145consensus market priceNoah GrayTE · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 44% · Market 41%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 1.5: -198consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 5+ receptions-139consensus market priceRashee RiceWR · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 4.5: +105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KTravis Kelce TE · KC 4+ receptions-150consensus market priceTravis KelceTE · KCReceptions
How it ended: Won, 9 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 3.5: +115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 3+ receptions-125consensus market priceJonathan TaylorRB · INDReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 38% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 2.5: -104consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PAlec Pierce WR · IND 3+ receptions-162consensus market priceAlec PierceWR · INDReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 2.5: +121consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJosh Downs WR · IND 5+ receptions+125consensus market priceJosh DownsWR · INDReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 4.5: -170consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 4+ receptions+130consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 18% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 3.5: -170consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AKeenan Allen WR · IND 4+ receptions-125consensus market priceKeenan AllenWR · INDReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 3.5: -102consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 4+ receptions+105consensus market priceXavier WorthyWR · KCReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
Under 3.5: -138consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WTyler Warren TE · IND 5+ receptions-135consensus market priceTyler WarrenTE · INDReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
Under 4.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
TJonathan Taylor RB · IND 84+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceJonathan TaylorRB · INDRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 92 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 83.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JDaniel Jones QB · IND 9+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceDaniel JonesQB · INDRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 8.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
MPatrick Mahomes QB · KC 18+ rushing yards-113consensus market pricePatrick MahomesQB · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 17 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 14% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 17.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WXavier Worthy WR · KC 10+ rushing yards+100consensus market priceXavier WorthyWR · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 8% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RRashee Rice WR · KC 10+ rushing yards+100consensus market priceRashee RiceWR · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 6% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WKenneth Walker RB · KC 82+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceKenneth WalkerRB · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 117 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 4% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -49pp
Under 81.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MPatrick Mahomes QB · KC 222+ passing yardsWon382 yds-111consensus market pricePatrick MahomesQB · KCPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 382 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 83% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +30pp
Under 221.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
JDaniel Jones QB · IND 219+ passing yards-110consensus market priceDaniel JonesQB · INDPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 210 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 218.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
