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1 of the 28 rows we price on this game clears our bar tonight.
Strongest of themDawson KnoxTE · BUF2+ receptions+120consensus market pricePrices taken Tue 15 Sept, 14:25 UK.
Called before kickoff: 1. Pending 1.
28 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
CKeon Coleman WR · BUF 11+ receiving yards-119consensus market priceKeon ColemanWR · BUFReceiving yards
DataPitch 58% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 10.5: -107consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
PJosh Palmer WR · BUF 14+ receiving yards-112consensus market priceJosh PalmerWR · BUFReceiving yards
DataPitch 54% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 13.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KDawson Knox TE · BUF 13+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceDawson KnoxTE · BUFReceiving yards
DataPitch 54% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 12.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
GJahmyr Gibbs RB · DET 30+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceJahmyr GibbsRB · DETReceiving yards
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 29.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
BAmon-Ra St. Brown WR · DET 80+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceAmon-Ra St. BrownWR · DETReceiving yards
DataPitch 48% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 79.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
TIsaac TeSlaa WR · DET 15+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceIsaac TeSlaaWR · DETReceiving yards
DataPitch 44% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 14.5: -120consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
WJameson Williams WR · DET 56+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceJameson WilliamsWR · DETReceiving yards
DataPitch 40% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 55.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
LSam LaPorta TE · DET 47+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceSam LaPortaTE · DETReceiving yards
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 46.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
SKhalil Shakir WR · BUF 45+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceKhalil ShakirWR · BUFReceiving yards
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 44.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
MDJ Moore WR · BUF 61+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceDJ MooreWR · BUFReceiving yards
DataPitch 14% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 60.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
CJames Cook RB · BUF 15+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownJames CookRB · BUFReceiving yards
DataPitch 32%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 25+ | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | ||||
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | · | |||
| Isaac TeSlaaWR · DET | ||||
| Jameson WilliamsWR · DET | ||||
| Sam LaPortaTE · DET | ||||
| Khalil ShakirWR · BUF | ||||
| DJ MooreWR · BUF | ||||
| James CookRB · BUF | · | · | · | · |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
KDawson Knox TE · BUF 2+ receptions+120consensus market priceDawson KnoxTE · BUFReceptions
DataPitch 52% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 1.5: -160consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
CKeon Coleman WR · BUF 2+ receptions+164consensus market priceKeon ColemanWR · BUFReceptions
DataPitch 46% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 1.5: -227consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
PJosh Palmer WR · BUF 2+ receptions+150consensus market priceJosh PalmerWR · BUFReceptions
DataPitch 43% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 1.5: -200consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
GJahmyr Gibbs RB · DET 5+ receptions+110consensus market priceJahmyr GibbsRB · DETReceptions
DataPitch 40% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 4.5: -145consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
TIsaac TeSlaa WR · DET 2+ receptions+128consensus market priceIsaac TeSlaaWR · DETReceptions
DataPitch 34% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 1.5: -170consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
WJameson Williams WR · DET 4+ receptions-135consensus market priceJameson WilliamsWR · DETReceptions
DataPitch 45% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 3.5: +105consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
LSam LaPorta TE · DET 5+ receptions+105consensus market priceSam LaPortaTE · DETReceptions
DataPitch 35% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 4.5: -135consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
SKhalil Shakir WR · BUF 5+ receptions+102consensus market priceKhalil ShakirWR · BUFReceptions
DataPitch 36% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 4.5: -132consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
BAmon-Ra St. Brown WR · DET 8+ receptions-106consensus market priceAmon-Ra St. BrownWR · DETReceptions
DataPitch 34% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 7.5: -121consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
CJames Cook RB · BUF 3+ receptions+117consensus market priceJames CookRB · BUFReceptions
DataPitch 21% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 2.5: -162consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
MDJ Moore WR · BUF 5+ receptions-110consensus market priceDJ MooreWR · BUFReceptions
DataPitch 10% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Under 4.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson KnoxTE · BUF | ||||
| Keon ColemanWR · BUF | ||||
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | ||||
| Isaac TeSlaaWR · DET | ||||
| Jameson WilliamsWR · DET | ||||
| Sam LaPortaTE · DET | ||||
| Khalil ShakirWR · BUF | ||||
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | · | |||
| James CookRB · BUF | ||||
| DJ MooreWR · BUF |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
CJames Cook RB · BUF 75+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceJames CookRB · BUFRushing yards
DataPitch 53% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 74.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
AJosh Allen QB · BUF 31+ rushing yards-115consensus market priceJosh AllenQB · BUFRushing yards
DataPitch 45% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 30.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
GJahmyr Gibbs RB · DET 91+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceJahmyr GibbsRB · DETRushing yards
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 90.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
GJared Goff QB · DET 1+ rushing yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-15 capture; an older price is not shownJared GoffQB · DETRushing yards
DataPitch 37%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
| Player | 60+ | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB · BUF | ||||
| Josh AllenQB · BUF | ||||
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
GJared Goff QB · DET 267+ passing yards-114consensus market priceJared GoffQB · DETPassing yards
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 266.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
AJosh Allen QB · BUF 251+ passing yards-114consensus market priceJosh AllenQB · BUFPassing yards
DataPitch 27% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 250.5: -115consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 240+ | 250+ | 260+ | 270+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared GoffQB · DET | ||||
| Josh AllenQB · BUF |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
