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Final: Detroit Lions 31, Buffalo Bills 41
Called before kickoff: 1. Won 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Tue 15 Sept, 14:39 UK.
22 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
Dawson KnoxTE · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 12.5: -113price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DETReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 61 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
Under 29.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DETReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 142 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 79.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jameson WilliamsWR · DETReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 33 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 55.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Sam LaPortaTE · DETReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 52 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 46.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Khalil ShakirWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 38 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 44.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJ MooreWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 14% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 60.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
James CookRB · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 4 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 32%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Dawson KnoxTE · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 1.5: -160price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DETReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
Under 4.5: -145price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jameson WilliamsWR · DETReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 3.5: +105price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Sam LaPortaTE · DETReceptions
How it ended: Won, 6 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 35% · Market 49%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 4.5: -135price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Khalil ShakirWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 36% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 4.5: -132price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DETReceptions
How it ended: Won, 9 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
Under 7.5: -121price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
James CookRB · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 2.5: -162price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DJ MooreWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 10% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Under 4.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
James CookRB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 135 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 74.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Josh AllenQB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 69 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 30.5: -116price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DETRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 52 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 90.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jared GoffQB · DETRushing yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 37%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jared GoffQB · DETPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 327 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 266.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Josh AllenQB · BUFPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 248 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 27% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
Under 250.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.