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Final: Cincinnati Bengals 20, Houston Texans 6
Called before kickoff: 7. Won 4, lost 3.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK.
31 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
HXavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 32+ receiving yardsWon37 yds-113consensus market priceXavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 37 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 76% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +23pp
Under 31.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDalton Schultz TE · HOU 42+ receiving yardsWon140 yds-115consensus market priceDalton SchultzTE · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 140 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 62% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
Under 41.5: -116consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 20+ receiving yardsLost2 yds-118consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
Under 19.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 76+ receiving yardsLost75 yds-115consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 75 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 59% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 75.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BKayshon Boutte WR · HOU 36+ receiving yards-113consensus market priceKayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 37 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 72% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +19pp
Under 35.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IAndrei Iosivas WR · CIN 15+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceAndrei IosivasWR · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 68% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 14.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MWoody Marks RB · HOU 11+ receiving yards-115consensus market priceWoody MarksRB · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 27 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 10.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDrew Sample TE · CIN 9+ receiving yards-119consensus market priceDrew SampleTE · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 8.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTee Higgins WR · CIN 56+ receiving yards-114consensus market priceTee HigginsWR · CINReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 95 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
Under 55.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SCade Stover TE · HOU 6+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shownCade StoverTE · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 79%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJared Wayne WR · HOU 13+ receiving yardsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shownJared WayneWR · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Ungradeable, 33 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 70%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HXavier Hutchinson WR · HOU 3+ receptionsWon3 receptions-150consensus market priceXavier HutchinsonWR · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 74% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap +14pp
Under 2.5: +117consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
IAndrei Iosivas WR · CIN 2+ receptions-101consensus market priceAndrei IosivasWR · CINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 1.5: -129consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MWoody Marks RB · HOU 2+ receptions+110consensus market priceWoody MarksRB · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 1.5: -142consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 4+ receptions-103consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 3.5: -125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 7+ receptions-114consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 6.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDalton Schultz TE · HOU 5+ receptions-135consensus market priceDalton SchultzTE · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Won, 12 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 60% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 4.5: +100consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDrew Sample TE · CIN 2+ receptions+129consensus market priceDrew SampleTE · CINReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 1.5: -164consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BKayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3+ receptions-178consensus market priceKayshon BoutteWR · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 63% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 2.5: +131consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
HTee Higgins WR · CIN 4+ receptions-161consensus market priceTee HigginsWR · CINReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 53% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 3.5: +125consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
WJared Wayne WR · HOU 1+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shownJared WayneWR · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Ungradeable, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 84%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SCade Stover TE · HOU 2+ receptionsno fresh market price in the 2026-09-20 capture; an older price is not shownCade StoverTE · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Ungradeable, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 64%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MWoody Marks RB · HOU 30+ rushing yardsLost8 yds-116consensus market priceWoody MarksRB · HOURushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 8 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 61% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
Under 29.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PSamaje Perine RB · CIN 18+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceSamaje PerineRB · CINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 6 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 17.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJa'Marr Chase WR · CIN 1+ rushing yards+675consensus market priceJa'Marr ChaseWR · CINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 8% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 0.5: -1429consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BChase Brown RB · CIN 56+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceChase BrownRB · CINRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 80 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 34% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
Under 55.5: -113consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SC.J. Stroud QB · HOU 12+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceC.J. StroudQB · HOURushing yards
How it ended: Won, 29 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 20% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 11.5: -112consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BDoubtfulJoe Burrow QB · CIN 9+ rushing yards-113consensus market priceJoe BurrowQB · CINRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, -1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Back - Full Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 2 at Houston
DataPitch 16% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
Under 8.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDavid Montgomery RB · HOU 62+ rushing yards-114consensus market priceDavid MontgomeryRB · HOURushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 9% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -44pp
Under 61.5: -114consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SC.J. Stroud QB · HOU 220+ passing yardsWon353 yds-113consensus market priceC.J. StroudQB · HOUPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 353 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 74% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +21pp
Under 219.5: -110consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
BDoubtfulJoe Burrow QB · CIN 250+ passing yards-111consensus market priceJoe BurrowQB · CINPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 207 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: Questionable: Back - Full Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 2 at Houston
DataPitch 38% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 249.5: -111consensus market price
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we rate the row's own selection well above what the price says, red means the price rates it more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
