at
15 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 51% · Market 54% · Gap -3pp
Under 12.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 18.7, median 13. The line is 12.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 29% · Market 54% · Gap -25pp
Under 65.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 50.8, median 42. The line is 65.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 23% · Market 54% · Gap -31pp
Under 59.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 39.6, median 32. The line is 59.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. SmithWR · PHI | ||||
| T. McLaurinWR · WAS |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 55% · Market 50% · Gap +5pp
Under 3.5: -132 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4.2, median 4. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 30% · Market 43% · Gap -12pp
Under 2.5: -180 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2, median 1. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 34% · Market 51% · Gap -16pp
Under 2.5: -130 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.1, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 36% · Market 60% · Gap -24pp
Under 3.5: +112 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.1, median 3. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 20% · Market 45% · Gap -25pp
Under 4.5: -164 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.9, median 2. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 21% · Market 48% · Gap -27pp
Under 5.5: -141 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.7, median 3. The line is 5.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas GoedertTE · PHI | ||||
| Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS | ||||
| Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | ||||
| Stefon DiggsWR · WAS | ||||
| Terry McLaurinWR · WAS | ||||
| DeVonta SmithWR · PHI |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 55% · Market 54% · Gap +1pp
Under 75.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 85.2, median 80. The line is 75.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 47% · Market 54% · Gap -7pp
Under 37.5: -115 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 40.3, median 36. The line is 37.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 39% · Market 53% · Gap -14pp
Under 23.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 23, median 19. The line is 23.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 29% · Market 55% · Gap -26pp
Under 27.5: -107 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 21.5, median 17. The line is 27.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 30+ | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI | ||||
| Jayden DanielsQB · WAS | ||||
| Rachaad WhiteRB · WAS | ||||
| Jalen HurtsQB · PHI |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 64% · Market 53% · Gap +11pp
Under 214.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 251.1, median 244. The line is 214.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53% · Gap -22pp
Under 205.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 177.8, median 171. The line is 205.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 200+ | 210+ | 220+ | 230+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen HurtsQB · PHI | ||||
| Jayden DanielsQB · WAS |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
