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20 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 63% · Market 54% · Gap +9pp
Under 77.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 100.6, median 94. The line is 77.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 57% · Market 54% · Gap +3pp
Under 32.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 44, median 38. The line is 32.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 48% · Market 54% · Gap -6pp
Under 69.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 73.9, median 68. The line is 69.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 45% · Market 54% · Gap -9pp
Under 47.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 50.1, median 44. The line is 47.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 43% · Market 54% · Gap -11pp
Under 65.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 65.1, median 58. The line is 65.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ | 80+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. St. BrownWR · DET | ||||
| J. GibbsRB · DET | ||||
| C. OlaveWR · NO | ||||
| S. LaPortaTE · DET | ||||
| J. WilliamsWR · DET |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 60% · Market 53% · Gap +7pp
Under 6.5: -117 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 7.8, median 7. The line is 6.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 52% · Market 46% · Gap +6pp
Under 4.5: -155 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 5.1, median 5. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 62% · Market 62% · Gap +0pp
Under 3.5: +120 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4.7, median 4. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 56% · Market 60% · Gap -4pp
Under 3.5: +115 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4.2, median 4. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 41% · Market 49% · Gap -7pp
Under 1.5: -140 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 1.5, median 1. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 38% · Market 49% · Gap -11pp
Under 6.5: -132 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 5.9, median 6. The line is 6.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 34% · Market 46% · Gap -12pp
Under 4.5: -155 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.8, median 3. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 37% · Market 50% · Gap -13pp
Under 3.5: -130 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.1, median 3. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 20% · Market 45% · Gap -25pp
Under 3.5: -166 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.1, median 2. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET | ||||
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET | ||||
| Sam LaPortaTE · DET | ||||
| Jameson WilliamsWR · DET | ||||
| Isaac TeSlaaWR · DET | ||||
| Chris OlaveWR · NO | ||||
| Juwan JohnsonTE · NO | ||||
| Devaughn VeleWR · NO | ||||
| Travis Etienne Jr.RB · NO |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 57% · Market 54% · Gap +4pp
Under 56.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 68, median 63. The line is 56.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 49% · Market 54% · Gap -5pp
Under 17.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 21.8, median 17. The line is 17.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 36% · Market 53% · Gap -17pp
Under 82.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 74.5, median 69. The line is 82.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 74%
Our simulated rushing yards: average 47.7, median 43. The line is 29.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne Jr.RB · NO | ||||
| Tyler ShoughQB · NO | ||||
| Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 53% · Market 53% · Gap 0pp
Under 246.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 257.4, median 252. The line is 246.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 46% · Market 53% · Gap -8pp
Under 261.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 259.8, median 252.5. The line is 261.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 240+ | 250+ | 260+ | 270+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler ShoughQB · NO | ||||
| Jared GoffQB · DET |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
