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22 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 53% · Market 54% · Gap -2pp
Under 35.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 46.7, median 38. The line is 35.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 49% · Market 54% · Gap -5pp
Under 32.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 38.6, median 32. The line is 32.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 30% · Market 54% · Gap -24pp
Under 27.5: -115 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 21.2, median 16. The line is 27.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 54%
Our simulated receiving yards: average 39.6, median 33. The line is 30.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 49%
Our simulated receiving yards: average 87.6, median 81. The line is 82.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 26%
Our simulated receiving yards: average 42.9, median 34. The line is 60.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. DoubsWR · NE | ||||
| H. HenryTE · NE | ||||
| AJ BarnerTE · SEA | ||||
| C. KuppWR · SEA | ||||
| J. Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | ||||
| A.J. BrownWR · NE |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 67% · Market 60% · Gap +8pp
Under 2.5: +112 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 4, median 4. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 44% · Market 50% · Gap -6pp
Under 6.5: -125 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 6.4, median 6. The line is 6.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 36% · Market 46% · Gap -9pp
Under 3.5: -162 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.1, median 3. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 37% · Market 46% · Gap -10pp
Under 3.5: -154 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.1, median 3. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 34% · Market 44% · Gap -10pp
Under 3.5: -180 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.9, median 3. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 39% · Market 61% · Gap -22pp
Under 2.5: +118 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.4, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 25% · Market 50% · Gap -25pp
Under 2.5: -125 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 1.7, median 1. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 23% · Market 61% · Gap -38pp
Under 4.5: +120 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3, median 3. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper KuppWR · SEA | ||||
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | ||||
| Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE | ||||
| Romeo DoubsWR · NE | ||||
| Hunter HenryTE · NE | ||||
| AJ BarnerTE · SEA | ||||
| Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA | ||||
| A.J. BrownWR · NE |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 67% · Market 54% · Gap +13pp
Under 19.5: -111 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 32.1, median 28. The line is 19.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 48% · Market 53% · Gap -5pp
Under 5.5: -112 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 8.6, median 5. The line is 5.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 29% · Market 53% · Gap -24pp
Under 2.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 3.7, median 0. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 28% · Market 53% · Gap -26pp
Under 24.5: -113 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 18.5, median 15. The line is 24.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 18% · Market 54% · Gap -35pp
Under 54.5: -113 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 35.5, median 31. The line is 54.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 15% · Market 53% · Gap -39pp
Under 20.5: -115 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 10.2, median 7. The line is 20.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TreVeyon HendersonRB · NE | ||||
| Sam DarnoldQB · SEA | ||||
| Drake MayeQB · NE | ||||
| Rhamondre StevensonRB · NE | · | |||
| George HolaniRB · SEA |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 70% · Market 54% · Gap +17pp
Under 224.5: -109 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 274.9, median 269. The line is 224.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53% · Gap -22pp
Under 228.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 198.8, median 192. The line is 228.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 210+ | 220+ | 230+ | 240+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB · NE | ||||
| Sam DarnoldQB · SEA |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
