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Final: Denver Broncos 10, Kansas City Chiefs 31
Called before kickoff: 6. Won 1, lost 5.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 13 Sept, 13:34 UK.
33 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
Troy FranklinWR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +36pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Noah GrayTE · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 5 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 9.5: -111price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Adam TrautmanTE · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 10 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 7.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Pat BryantWR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 42 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 23.5: -109price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
J.K. DobbinsRB · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 52% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
Under 3.5: -110price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RJ HarveyRB · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 16.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Courtland SuttonWR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 11 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 42.5: -111price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Travis KelceTE · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 71 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
Under 42.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 18 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 17.5: -108price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Rashee RiceWR · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 19 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
Under 57.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Xavier WorthyWR · KCReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 18 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 36.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jaylen WaddleWR · DENReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 29% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 53.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Troy FranklinWR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 83% · Market 46%
Against this price: Gap +37pp
Under 0.5: -122price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Noah GrayTE · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 49% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
Under 1.5: -175price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Adam TrautmanTE · DENReceptions
How it ended: Won, 2 receptions. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 40% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
Under 1.5: -245price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Pat BryantWR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 2.5: -135price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Travis KelceTE · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 56% · Market 61%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 3.5: +124price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Rashee RiceWR · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 51%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 5.5: -120price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RJ HarveyRB · DENReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 2.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
J.K. DobbinsRB · DENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 0 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 41%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
Under 1.5: -198price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Courtland SuttonWR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 2 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 45% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
Under 3.5: +115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 23% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
Under 3.5: -167price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Xavier WorthyWR · KCReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 47%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
Under 3.5: -151price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Jaylen WaddleWR · DENReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 20% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 4.5: -112price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
RJ HarveyRB · DENRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 18 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 58% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 18.5: -112price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
J.K. DobbinsRB · DENRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 36 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 31% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
Under 49.5: -113price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Bo NixQB · DENRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 2 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 30% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
Under 15.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Patrick MahomesQB · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 24% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 14.5: -111price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Xavier WorthyWR · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 0 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 11% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Won, 173 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 12% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -42pp
Under 60.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Brashard SmithRB · KCRushing yards
How it ended: Void, did not play. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48%
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Patrick MahomesQB · KCPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 184 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 78% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +24pp
Under 224.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Bo NixQB · DENPassing yards
How it ended: Lost, 131 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 47% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
Under 227.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we like him to go over well beyond what the price says, red means the price likes him more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.