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Final: Buffalo Bills 36, Houston Texans 31
Called before kickoff: 2. Won 1, lost 1.
Each called row carries the same stamp in its market below. The green or red down a row's side is still our read against the price before kickoff, not how it ended. Prices taken Sun 13 Sept, 13:34 UK.
22 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on.
PJosh Palmer WR · BUF 12+ receiving yards-110price shown when this board was publishedJosh PalmerWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 34 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 11.5: -111price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CKeon Coleman WR · BUF 12+ receiving yards-110price shown when this board was publishedKeon ColemanWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 1 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 54% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
Under 11.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KDawson Knox TE · BUF 14+ receiving yards-112price shown when this board was publishedDawson KnoxTE · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 7 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
Under 13.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDalton Schultz TE · HOU 35+ receiving yards-112price shown when this board was publishedDalton SchultzTE · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 35 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 48% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 34.5: -113price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CNico Collins WR · HOU 70+ receiving yards-112price shown when this board was publishedNico CollinsWR · HOUReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 75 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 41% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 69.5: -112price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SKhalil Shakir WR · BUF 37+ receiving yards-115price shown when this board was publishedKhalil ShakirWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 50 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
Under 36.5: -113price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJames Cook RB · BUF 20+ receiving yards-116price shown when this board was publishedJames CookRB · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Lost, 12 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 25% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -29pp
Under 19.5: -110price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDJ Moore WR · BUF 48+ receiving yards-117price shown when this board was publishedDJ MooreWR · BUFReceiving yards
How it ended: Won, 100 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 21% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
Under 47.5: -113price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CKeon Coleman WR · BUF 2+ receptionsLost1 reception+163price shown when this board was publishedKeon ColemanWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
DataPitch 43% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
Under 1.5: -215price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
PJosh Palmer WR · BUF 2+ receptions+155price shown when this board was publishedJosh PalmerWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 42% · Market 39%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
Under 1.5: -213price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDalton Schultz TE · HOU 4+ receptions-115price shown when this board was publishedDalton SchultzTE · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 55% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
Under 3.5: -111price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
KDawson Knox TE · BUF 2+ receptions+100price shown when this board was publishedDawson KnoxTE · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Lost, 1 reception. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 50% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
Under 1.5: -131price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SKhalil Shakir WR · BUF 4+ receptions-127price shown when this board was publishedKhalil ShakirWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 4 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 51% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
Under 3.5: +100price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CNico Collins WR · HOU 6+ receptions+110price shown when this board was publishedNico CollinsWR · HOUReceptions
How it ended: Won, 7 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
Under 5.5: -146price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJames Cook RB · BUF 3+ receptions-132price shown when this board was publishedJames CookRB · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 3 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 22% · Market 57%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
Under 2.5: +100price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDJ Moore WR · BUF 4+ receptions-138price shown when this board was publishedDJ MooreWR · BUFReceptions
How it ended: Won, 5 receptions. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 19% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
Under 3.5: +108price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
CJames Cook RB · BUF 75+ rushing yards-113price shown when this board was publishedJames CookRB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 57 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 46% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
Under 74.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJosh Allen QB · BUF 31+ rushing yards-114price shown when this board was publishedJosh AllenQB · BUFRushing yards
How it ended: Lost, 23 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 39% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
Under 30.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDoubtfulC.J. Stroud QB · HOU 11+ rushing yards-112price shown when this board was publishedC.J. StroudQB · HOURushing yards
How it ended: Won, 15 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 3.5 to 2.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 19% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -34pp
Under 10.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
MDavid Montgomery RB · HOU 55+ rushing yards-114price shown when this board was publishedDavid MontgomeryRB · HOURushing yards
How it ended: Won, 60 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 10% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
Under 54.5: -113price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
SDoubtfulC.J. Stroud QB · HOU 222+ passing yardsWon274 yds-115price shown when this board was publishedC.J. StroudQB · HOUPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 274 yds. Called before kickoff, so it is in this game's count.
Doubtful: his rush attempts line fell 3.5 to 2.5 between the open and the close, 29% at consensus: the market is pricing him down
DataPitch 65% · Market 54%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
Under 221.5: -115price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
AJosh Allen QB · BUF 225+ passing yards-114price shown when this board was publishedJosh AllenQB · BUFPassing yards
How it ended: Won, 334 yds. Not called before kickoff, so it is not in this game's count.
DataPitch 33% · Market 53%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
Under 224.5: -114price shown when this board was published
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is our number against the price: green means we like him to go over well beyond what the price says, red means the price likes him more than we do, white means the two are close. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
