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18 rows on 4 markets, best first: tap a market to open it, tap a player for his numbers, the price behind his and what our read rests on. Green marks a gap that clears our own publication bar.
DataPitch 65% · Market 54% · Gap +11pp
Under 52.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 74.8, median 68. The line is 52.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 48% · Market 54% · Gap -6pp
Under 63.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 68.1, median 62. The line is 63.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 29% · Market 54% · Gap -25pp
Under 50.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 38.3, median 32. The line is 50.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 17% · Market 54% · Gap -37pp
Under 58.5: -118 captured book price
Our simulated receiving yards: average 32.5, median 26. The line is 58.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 40+ | 50+ | 60+ | 70+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. WilsonWR · ARI | ||||
| T. McBrideTE · ARI | ||||
| M. Harrison Jr.WR · ARI | ||||
| L. McConkeyWR · LAC |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 76% · Market 64% · Gap +12pp
Under 1.5: +125 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 3.5, median 3. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 51% · Market 48% · Gap +3pp
Under 6.5: -150 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 7, median 7. The line is 6.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 56% · Market 57% · Gap -1pp
Under 1.5: +100 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.3, median 2. The line is 1.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
DataPitch 35% · Market 46% · Gap -11pp
Under 2.5: -166 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.2, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 38% · Market 51% · Gap -12pp
Under 2.5: -130 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.4, median 2. The line is 2.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 33% · Market 47% · Gap -15pp
Under 3.5: -150 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.9, median 3. The line is 3.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 17% · Market 45% · Gap -28pp
Under 4.5: -162 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.7, median 2. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 15% · Market 51% · Gap -37pp
Under 4.5: -125 market price
Our simulated receptions: average 2.5, median 2. The line is 4.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick BourneWR · ARI | ||||
| Trey McBrideTE · ARI | · | |||
| David NjokuTE · LAC | · | · | · | |
| Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | ||||
| Tre HarrisWR · LAC | ||||
| Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC | · | |||
| Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI | ||||
| Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 55% · Market 53% · Gap +2pp
Under 21.5: -112 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 28.9, median 24. The line is 21.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 47% · Market 54% · Gap -7pp
Under 65.5: -114 market price
Our simulated rushing yards: average 68.4, median 63. The line is 65.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 40%
Our simulated rushing yards: average 9.5, median 6. The line is 8.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 24%
Our simulated rushing yards: average 22.4, median 18. The line is 32.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer.
| Player | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB · LAC | ||||
| Omarion HamptonRB · LAC | · | · | ||
| Jacoby BrissettQB · ARI |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
DataPitch 48% · Market 53% · Gap -5pp
Under 221.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 223.6, median 218. The line is 221.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
DataPitch 23% · Market 53% · Gap -30pp
Under 233.5: -114 market price
Our simulated passing yards: average 185.9, median 179. The line is 233.5.
Our structural read: how the game should flow, his role in it and the matchup. It has not yet been graded against results at real market prices, so treat it as our view of the player, not a priced offer. His other lines below are the same simulated read of his game, cut at the thresholds the market quotes.
| Player | 210+ | 220+ | 230+ | 240+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby BrissettQB · ARI | ||||
| Justin HerbertQB · LAC |
Columns are the levels most of this market's players are quoted at. One player's whole ladder sits behind his row in the player list.
Every price is a captured market quote in American odds, labelled as such; our percentage and the gap to the market's sit behind the row's tap. A row's colour is the gap against our own publication bar: green clears it, red is negative, white neutral. A row's last five counts his last five games in this market, most recent first, regular season and playoffs.
