39 captures so far, 2026-08-17 to 2026-09-29. Every point is de-vigged; a bookmaker point is the consensus of the books quoting this runner that day.
Settles: End of the 2026 regular season. Market-consistent, prices not captured this run.
Our shrunk playoff chance is 23.0 percent against a 19.1 percent market price, a 3.9 point gap that mostly comes from us being a bit higher on their offense and schedule than consensus. It is only a watch because no bookmaker is hanging this market, so there is nothing to actually bet, and the defense that was bottom five in yards allowed with 145 rushing yards per game allowed still has to prove it can hold up.
Sim it yourself →Board run Tue Sep 29, 5:09 AM ET
