← Tonight's footballWhat we publish
Three cards off tonight's own slate, exactly as they go out. Nothing to sign up for and nothing hidden behind a tap: the price is the market's with the venue named, the percentage is our read, and the lines under each pick are the record it rests on.
- Against this opponent
- 6 of his last 9 meetings
- His record at this line
- 50% of his last 26 starts
M. Lewis-Skelly
2+ fouls drawn
1.80Bet365Gap +13pp
- His record at this line
- 58% of his last 24 starts
- Against this opponent
- 8 of his last 12 meetings
- His record at this line
- 55% of his last 38 starts
N. González
2+ fouls drawn
3.25Bet365Gap +11pp
- His record at this line
- 50% of his last 18 starts
R. Kolo Muani
2+ fouls drawn
3.00Bet365Gap +4pp
- His record at this line
- 32% of his last 22 starts
J. Lucumí
2+ fouls committed
3.40Paddy PowerGap +4pp
- Against this opponent
- 2 of his last 5 meetings
- His record at this line
- 16% of his last 43 starts
J. O'Brien
To commit a foul
2.00Bet365Gap +6pp
- His record at this line
- 48% of his last 40 starts
- Against this opponent
- 5 of his last 8 meetings
- His record at this line
- 44% of his last 36 starts
How a card gets made
- Open a match. Every player line we priced is on the page, strongest read first.
- Say what you think. Four match-level controls: how strict the referee is, how the game runs, whether we lean on the market, and the one battle you are watching. Nothing per player.
- Take the ones you like. Add them to your slip and share the card under your own name.
A percentage is our strength of read, not a frequency: the model orders players better than it prices them, and it runs high at the top of its range. Prices are captured before kick-off and move after that; the book named on the row is the one quoting it.
Cards and in-play alerts go out on Telegram 
