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Your model for Valencia v Villarreal

La Liga · Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

159 players across every market.

Fouls committed20
Juan FoythRCB · #8-3pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9-3pp
More players (18)
Javi GuerraLM · #8-6pp
PepeluRCM · #18-9pp
Justin de HaasLCB · #12-9pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22-10pp
Dani RabaRS · #19-12pp
Pablo MaffeoRB · #24-12pp
Alexander FreemanRB · #3-13pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18-14pp
Arnaut DanjumaLS · #7-14pp
César TárregaRCB · #5-15pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12-15pp
Guido RodríguezLCM · #2-16pp
José GayàLB · #14-16pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10-16pp
Luis RiojaRM · #11-16pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23-17pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11-22pp
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14-26pp
Fouls drawn20
Arnaut DanjumaLS · #7-5pp
Alexander FreemanRB · #3-7pp
More players (18)
Renato VeigaLCB · #12-7pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22-8pp
César TárregaRCB · #5-10pp
Guido RodríguezLCM · #2-11pp
Juan FoythRCB · #8-12pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23-18pp
Pablo MaffeoRB · #24-21pp
Justin de HaasLCB · #12-22pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11-23pp
Javi GuerraLM · #8-23pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18-24pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9-25pp
PepeluRCM · #18-25pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10-27pp
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14-32pp
Dani RabaRS · #19-39pp
José GayàLB · #14-41pp
Luis RiojaRM · #11-45pp
Tackles18
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9+6pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22-8pp
More players (16)
Renato VeigaLCB · #12-8pp
César TárregaRCB · #5-9pp
Luis RiojaRM · #11-12pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18-14pp
Arnaut DanjumaLS · #7-14pp
Juan FoythRCB · #8-17pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10-19pp
Alexander FreemanRB · #3-20pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23-20pp
Guido RodríguezLCM · #2-26pp
PepeluRCM · #18-30pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11-30pp
Javi GuerraLM · #8-35pp
Justin de HaasLCB · #12-38pp
José GayàLB · #14-41pp
Pablo MaffeoRB · #24-48pp
Shots20
PepeluRCM · #18+7pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10+6pp
More players (18)
Alexander FreemanRB · #3+5pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9+4pp
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14+4pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11+1pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18+1pp
Arnaut DanjumaLS · #7-3pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12-5pp
Dani RabaRS · #19-9pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22-13pp
José GayàLB · #14-19pp
Javi GuerraLM · #8-23pp
Justin de HaasLCB · #12-23pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23-26pp
César TárregaRCB · #5-27pp
Pablo MaffeoRB · #24-29pp
Luis RiojaRM · #11-33pp
Juan FoythRCB · #8-36pp
Guido RodríguezLCM · #2-42pp
Shots on target20
PepeluRCM · #18+6pp
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14+4pp
More players (18)
Juan FoythRCB · #8+2pp
Alexander FreemanRB · #3+0pp
Justin de HaasLCB · #12-2pp
Pablo MaffeoRB · #24-3pp
José GayàLB · #14-4pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12-4pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23-7pp
César TárregaRCB · #5-7pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18-9pp
Dani RabaRS · #19-16pp
Javi GuerraLM · #8-16pp
Luis RiojaRM · #11-17pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22-19pp
Guido RodríguezLCM · #2-19pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11-21pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10-21pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9-22pp
Arnaut DanjumaLS · #7-27pp
To be booked21

The books expect about 5 cards.

Sergi CardonaLB · #23+3pp
Dani RabaRS · #19-2pp
More players (19)
Juan FoythRCB · #8-4pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12-5pp
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14-6pp
José GayàLB · #14-6pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22-6pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11-6pp
Guido RodríguezLCM · #2-8pp
Justin de HaasLCB · #12-9pp
Pablo MaffeoRB · #24-10pp
PepeluRCM · #18-10pp
Javi GuerraLM · #8-10pp
César TárregaRCB · #5-11pp
Alexander FreemanRB · #3-11pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18-12pp
Luis RiojaRM · #11-14pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9-16pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10-17pp
Arnaut DanjumaLS · #7-18pp
Stole DimitrievskiGK · #1-18pp
Headed shot on target18
César TárregaRCB · #5+14pp
Justin de HaasLCB · #12+13pp
More players (16)
Renato VeigaLCB · #12+7pp
Alexander FreemanRB · #3+2pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18+2pp
Juan FoythRCB · #8-3pp
Pablo MaffeoRB · #24-5pp
José GayàLB · #14-6pp
Arnaut DanjumaLS · #7-7pp
Guido RodríguezLCM · #2-9pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9-9pp
PepeluRCM · #18-10pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22-10pp
Luis RiojaRM · #11-29pp
Péter GulácsiGK · #25
Dani RabaRS · #19
Stole DimitrievskiGK · #1
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14
Shot on target from outside the box22
Pape GueyeLCM · #18+5pp
Alexander FreemanRB · #3+5pp
More players (20)
Renato VeigaLCB · #12+4pp
Javi GuerraLM · #8+1pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10+1pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23+1pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22-1pp
César TárregaRCB · #5-1pp
Pablo MaffeoRB · #24-2pp
Juan FoythRCB · #8-2pp
Justin de HaasLCB · #12-3pp
José GayàLB · #14-4pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9-8pp
Arnaut DanjumaLS · #7-12pp
PepeluRCM · #18-12pp
Guido RodríguezLCM · #2-15pp
Luis RiojaRM · #11-20pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11-29pp
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14
Dani RabaRS · #19
Péter GulácsiGK · #25
Stole DimitrievskiGK · #1
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Valencia
Villarreal

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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