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Your model for CF Montreal v Nashville SC

Major League Soccer · Sat 24 Oct, 18:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

137 players across every market.

Fouls committed18
Maxwell WoledziLCB · #3+1pp
Cristian EspinozaRM · #7-6pp
More players (16)
Jeisson PalaciosRCB · #4-8pp
Reed Baker-WhitingLB · #27-10pp
Dawid BugajRM · #27-11pp
Patrick YazbekRDM · #8-13pp
Luca PetrassoLM · #13-14pp
Samuel SurridgeST · #9-15pp
Victor LoturiLDM · #22-18pp
Alexis SánchezCAM · #10-21pp
Hany MukhtarCAM · #10-21pp
Jalen NealRCB · #2-22pp
Andy NajarRB · #31-23pp
Brayan VeraLCB · #4-23pp
Elias SaadLM · #11-23pp
Prince-Osei OwusuST · #9-27pp
Matthew CorcoranLDM · #16-28pp
Matthew LongstaffRDM · #8-28pp
Fouls drawn18
Luca PetrassoLM · #13-6pp
Patrick YazbekRDM · #8-8pp
More players (16)
Prince-Osei OwusuST · #9-9pp
Jalen NealRCB · #2-10pp
Brayan VeraLCB · #4-10pp
Victor LoturiLDM · #22-12pp
Matthew LongstaffRDM · #8-13pp
Cristian EspinozaRM · #7-15pp
Maxwell WoledziLCB · #3-16pp
Samuel SurridgeST · #9-17pp
Dawid BugajRM · #27-18pp
Reed Baker-WhitingLB · #27-22pp
Alexis SánchezCAM · #10-23pp
Hany MukhtarCAM · #10-25pp
Matthew CorcoranLDM · #16-30pp
Jeisson PalaciosRCB · #4-37pp
Andy NajarRB · #31-38pp
Elias SaadLM · #11-52pp
Shots20
Samuel SurridgeST · #9+0pp
Prince-Osei OwusuST · #9-5pp
More players (18)
Viktor RadojevićLB · #28-5pp
Cristian EspinozaRM · #7-11pp
Andy NajarRB · #31-12pp
Hany MukhtarCAM · #10-13pp
Elias SaadLM · #11-14pp
Alexis SánchezCAM · #10-15pp
Jeisson PalaciosRCB · #4-20pp
Dawid BugajRM · #27-22pp
Brayan CeballosRB · #3-24pp
Reed Baker-WhitingLB · #27-25pp
Brayan VeraLCB · #4-25pp
Matthew LongstaffRDM · #8-28pp
Maxwell WoledziLCB · #3-28pp
Matthew CorcoranLDM · #16-32pp
Victor LoturiLDM · #22-32pp
Patrick YazbekRDM · #8-33pp
Luca PetrassoLM · #13-34pp
Jalen NealRCB · #2-37pp
Shots on target20
Viktor RadojevićLB · #28+5pp
Andy NajarRB · #31-1pp
More players (18)
Brayan CeballosRB · #3-1pp
Matthew LongstaffRDM · #8-2pp
Jeisson PalaciosRCB · #4-2pp
Reed Baker-WhitingLB · #27-4pp
Brayan VeraLCB · #4-4pp
Dawid BugajRM · #27-5pp
Maxwell WoledziLCB · #3-6pp
Luca PetrassoLM · #13-7pp
Jalen NealRCB · #2-7pp
Matthew CorcoranLDM · #16-11pp
Victor LoturiLDM · #22-11pp
Patrick YazbekRDM · #8-15pp
Samuel SurridgeST · #9-21pp
Elias SaadLM · #11-21pp
Alexis SánchezCAM · #10-21pp
Prince-Osei OwusuST · #9-24pp
Cristian EspinozaRM · #7-24pp
Hany MukhtarCAM · #10-40pp
To be booked422

The books expect about 3.5 cards.

Brayan CeballosRB · #3+9pp
Prince-Osei OwusuST · #9+9pp
More players (20)
Matthew LongstaffRDM · #8+5pp
Samuel SurridgeST · #9+5pp
Cristian EspinozaRM · #7+4pp
Patrick YazbekRDM · #8+3pp
Jalen NealRCB · #2+1pp
Hany MukhtarCAM · #10+0pp
Dawid BugajRM · #27-1pp
Elias SaadLM · #11-1pp
Victor LoturiLDM · #22-2pp
Andy NajarRB · #31-2pp
Matthew CorcoranLDM · #16-2pp
Reed Baker-WhitingLB · #27-2pp
Viktor RadojevićLB · #28-2pp
Alexis SánchezCAM · #10-2pp
Brayan VeraLCB · #4-3pp
Maxwell WoledziLCB · #3-8pp
Luca PetrassoLM · #13-8pp
Jeisson PalaciosRCB · #4-9pp
Brian SchwakeGK · #99-9pp
Sebastian BrezaGK · #1-13pp
Headed shot on target17
Samuel SurridgeST · #9
Maxwell WoledziLCB · #3
More players (15)
Prince-Osei OwusuST · #9
Jalen NealRCB · #2
Jeisson PalaciosRCB · #4
Sebastian BrezaGK · #1
Brian SchwakeGK · #99
Reed Baker-WhitingLB · #27
Brayan VeraLCB · #4
Dawid BugajRM · #27
Andy NajarRB · #31
Victor LoturiLDM · #22
Luca PetrassoLM · #13
Hany MukhtarCAM · #10
Cristian EspinozaRM · #7
Matthew CorcoranLDM · #16
Alexis SánchezCAM · #10
Shot on target from outside the box22
Hany MukhtarCAM · #10
Andy NajarRB · #31
More players (20)
Samuel SurridgeST · #9
Cristian EspinozaRM · #7
Matthew CorcoranLDM · #16
Elias SaadLM · #11
Alexis SánchezCAM · #10
Prince-Osei OwusuST · #9
Patrick YazbekRDM · #8
Brayan VeraLCB · #4
Reed Baker-WhitingLB · #27
Dawid BugajRM · #27
Luca PetrassoLM · #13
Matthew LongstaffRDM · #8
Jeisson PalaciosRCB · #4
Maxwell WoledziLCB · #3
Victor LoturiLDM · #22
Brian SchwakeGK · #99
Sebastian BrezaGK · #1
Brayan CeballosRB · #3
Jalen NealRCB · #2
Viktor RadojevićLB · #28
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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CF Montreal
Nashville SC

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Lukasz Szpala will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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