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Your model for Chelsea v Tottenham

Premier League · Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

Oddsto

154 players across every market.

Fouls committed18
Pedro NetoRM · #7-3pp
Cole PalmerCAM · #10-7pp
More players (16)
Maxence LacroixRB · #5-8pp
Andrew RobertsonLB · #3-8pp
João PedroST · #9-10pp
Jordan HendersonRDM · #14-12pp
Levi ColwillLCB · #6-14pp
Sandro TonaliLDM · #16-16pp
Omar MarmoushST · #22-16pp
Dominic SolankeLM · #19-17pp
Archie GrayRB · #14-20pp
Micky van de VenLCB · #37-20pp
Morgan RogersLM · #17-21pp
Conor GallagherRDM · #8-22pp
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6-22pp
Jorrel HatoLB · #21-22pp
Moisés CaicedoLDM · #25-24pp
Mohammed KudusRM · #20-28pp
Fouls drawn18
Conor GallagherRDM · #8-1pp
Morgan RogersLM · #17-7pp
More players (16)
Micky van de VenLCB · #37-8pp
Dominic SolankeLM · #19-11pp
Andrew RobertsonLB · #3-12pp
Mohammed KudusRM · #20-13pp
Sandro TonaliLDM · #16-13pp
Archie GrayRB · #14-13pp
Cole PalmerCAM · #10-15pp
Moisés CaicedoLDM · #25-16pp
Omar MarmoushST · #22-20pp
João PedroST · #9-21pp
Pedro NetoRM · #7-22pp
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6-24pp
Maxence LacroixRB · #5-26pp
Jorrel HatoLB · #21-29pp
Jordan HendersonRDM · #14-30pp
Levi ColwillLCB · #6-32pp
Tackles18

The books expect about 36.5 tackles.

Pedro NetoRM · #7+0pp
Dominic SolankeLM · #19-2pp
More players (16)
Morgan RogersLM · #17-4pp
Cole PalmerCAM · #10-5pp
Jordan HendersonRDM · #14-8pp
Micky van de VenLCB · #37-8pp
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6-11pp
João PedroST · #9-15pp
Archie GrayRB · #14-16pp
Sandro TonaliLDM · #16-17pp
Maxence LacroixRB · #5-23pp
Andrew RobertsonLB · #3-24pp
Jorrel HatoLB · #21-26pp
Mohammed KudusRM · #20-27pp
Moisés CaicedoLDM · #25-31pp
Omar MarmoushST · #22-32pp
Conor GallagherRDM · #8-33pp
Levi ColwillLCB · #6-36pp
Shots18
Omar MarmoushST · #22+9pp
Conor GallagherRDM · #8+5pp
More players (16)
Micky van de VenLCB · #37+3pp
Cole PalmerCAM · #10+0pp
João PedroST · #9+0pp
Andrew RobertsonLB · #3-2pp
Dominic SolankeLM · #19-3pp
Morgan RogersLM · #17-7pp
Pedro NetoRM · #7-7pp
Mohammed KudusRM · #20-7pp
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6-11pp
Sandro TonaliLDM · #16-12pp
Maxence LacroixRB · #5-17pp
Archie GrayRB · #14-22pp
Jorrel HatoLB · #21-39pp
Levi ColwillLCB · #6-41pp
Moisés CaicedoLDM · #25-55pp
Jordan HendersonRDM · #14-60pp
Shots on target18
Andrew RobertsonLB · #3+5pp
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6+3pp
More players (16)
Micky van de VenLCB · #37+3pp
Maxence LacroixRB · #5-1pp
Conor GallagherRDM · #8-4pp
Archie GrayRB · #14-4pp
Sandro TonaliLDM · #16-6pp
Mohammed KudusRM · #20-8pp
Jorrel HatoLB · #21-9pp
Levi ColwillLCB · #6-10pp
Moisés CaicedoLDM · #25-11pp
Omar MarmoushST · #22-18pp
Dominic SolankeLM · #19-18pp
Pedro NetoRM · #7-18pp
Cole PalmerCAM · #10-19pp
Morgan RogersLM · #17-19pp
Jordan HendersonRDM · #14-19pp
João PedroST · #9-20pp
To be booked222

The books expect about 5.5 cards.

Moisés CaicedoLDM · #25+12pp
João PedroST · #9+7pp
More players (20)
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6+4pp
Maxence LacroixRB · #5+4pp
Conor GallagherRDM · #8+3pp
Morgan RogersLM · #17+2pp
Cole PalmerCAM · #10+2pp
Micky van de VenLCB · #37+0pp
Levi ColwillLCB · #6+0pp
Mohammed KudusRM · #20+0pp
Omar MarmoushST · #22+0pp
Sandro TonaliLDM · #16-5pp
James MaddisonCAM · #10-5pp
Pedro NetoRM · #7-5pp
Andrew RobertsonLB · #3-5pp
Dominic SolankeLM · #19-5pp
Jordan HendersonRDM · #14-9pp
Archie GrayRB · #14-10pp
Jorrel HatoLB · #21-11pp
Joshua Kofi AcheampongRCB · #34-13pp
Antonín KinskýGK · #31-32pp
Mike PendersGK · #39
Headed shot on target20
Micky van de VenLCB · #37+7pp
Levi ColwillLCB · #6+5pp
More players (18)
Maxence LacroixRB · #5+3pp
Archie GrayRB · #14+2pp
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6+1pp
Conor GallagherRDM · #8+0pp
Moisés CaicedoLDM · #25-2pp
Andrew RobertsonLB · #3-3pp
Omar MarmoushST · #22-4pp
Sandro TonaliLDM · #16-4pp
Jordan HendersonRDM · #14-5pp
Mohammed KudusRM · #20-5pp
James MaddisonCAM · #10-7pp
Pedro NetoRM · #7-11pp
Cole PalmerCAM · #10-13pp
Dominic SolankeLM · #19-15pp
João PedroST · #9-19pp
Mike PendersGK · #39
Joshua Kofi AcheampongRCB · #34
Antonín KinskýGK · #31
Shot on target from outside the box22
Andrew RobertsonLB · #3+0pp
Micky van de VenLCB · #37+0pp
More players (20)
Mohammed KudusRM · #20-1pp
Maxence LacroixRB · #5-1pp
Levi ColwillLCB · #6-3pp
Jordan HendersonRDM · #14-4pp
Sandro TonaliLDM · #16-5pp
Dominic SolankeLM · #19-5pp
Jorrel HatoLB · #21-6pp
João PedroST · #9-8pp
Jan van HeckeRCB · #6-8pp
Cole PalmerCAM · #10-10pp
Conor GallagherRDM · #8-10pp
Archie GrayRB · #14-11pp
Omar MarmoushST · #22-14pp
Moisés CaicedoLDM · #25-15pp
Pedro NetoRM · #7-23pp
James MaddisonCAM · #10-23pp
Morgan RogersLM · #17-28pp
Mike PendersGK · #39
Joshua Kofi AcheampongRCB · #34
Antonín KinskýGK · #31
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Chelsea
Tottenham

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Chris Kavanagh will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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