v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
A standard officiating night, and 4 of the 4 rows we would back are Wolves's.
97 players across every market.
Samuel DalbyST · #10Shots
DataPitch 78% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 78% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 78% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap +0pp
Adam ArmstrongST · #10Shots
DataPitch 93% · Market 96%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 93% · Market 96% at 1.04 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 93% · Market 96% at 1.04 Bet365, gap -3pp
Rodrigo GomesCAM · #21Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 89%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 84% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 84% · Market 89% at 1.13 Bet365, gap -5pp
Thierry GaleLM · #11Shots
DataPitch 72% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -6pp
Max ConwayLB · #25Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Mateus ManeLM · #36Shots
DataPitch 92% · Market 99%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 92% · Market 99% at 1.01 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 92% · Market 99% at 1.01 Bet365, gap -7pp
Marshall MunetsiRDM · #5Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 84% · Market 95% at 1.05 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 84% · Market 95% at 1.05 Bet365, gap -11pp
Ruben RodriguesCAM · #20Shots
DataPitch 74% · Market 86%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 74% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 74% · Market 86% at 1.17 Bet365, gap -12pp
Eoin ToalRB · #18-12ppEoin ToalRB · #18Shots
DataPitch 33% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -12pp
Gaizka LarrazabalRM · #22Shots
DataPitch 41% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -19pp
Ethan ErhahonLDM · #21Shots
DataPitch 23% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 42% at 2.38 Bet365, gap -19pp
Nasser DjigaRCB · #34Shots
DataPitch 27% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -23pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 7% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -26pp
Joshua SheehanRDM · #8Shots
DataPitch 51% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -27pp
Hugo BuenoLB · #3-32ppHugo BuenoLB · #3Shots
DataPitch 23% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -32pp
Kieran TrippierRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 7% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -38pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -38pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -38pp
Eoin ToalRB · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Ethan ErhahonLDM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Max ConwayLB · #25Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Gaizka LarrazabalRM · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 25% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Nasser DjigaRCB · #34Shots on target
DataPitch 18% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Thierry GaleLM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 39% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -6pp
Samuel DalbyST · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Joshua SheehanRDM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -10pp
Hugo BuenoLB · #3-10ppHugo BuenoLB · #3Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Ruben RodriguesCAM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -11pp
Kieran TrippierRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 6% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Rodrigo GomesCAM · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -19pp
Adam ArmstrongST · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 50% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -21pp
Marshall MunetsiRDM · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -26pp
Mateus ManeLM · #36Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -32pp
The books expect about 4 cards.
AndréLDM · #7+20ppAndréLDM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 40% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap +20pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap +20pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap +20pp
Marshall MunetsiRDM · #5To be booked
DataPitch 40% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +17pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +17pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +17pp
Adam ArmstrongST · #10To be booked
DataPitch 21% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 11% at 9.00 Paddy Power, gap +10pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 11% at 9.00 Paddy Power, gap +10pp
Fer LópezRM · #28To be booked
DataPitch 23% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +5pp
Nasser DjigaRCB · #34To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap +4pp
Joshua SheehanRDM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 30%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 30% at 3.30 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 30% at 3.30 Paddy Power, gap +0pp
Gaizka LarrazabalRM · #22To be booked
DataPitch 28% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 29% at 3.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 29% at 3.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Mateus ManeLM · #36To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -1pp
Rodrigo GomesCAM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 13% at 7.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 13% at 7.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Ethan ErhahonLDM · #21To be booked
DataPitch 27% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -2pp
Kieran TrippierRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Hugo BuenoLB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 7.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Samuel DalbyST · #10To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Ruben RodriguesCAM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -8pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Eoin ToalRB · #18-10ppEoin ToalRB · #18To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Thierry GaleLM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Max ConwayLB · #25-15ppMax ConwayLB · #25To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -15pp
José SáGK · #1-17ppJosé SáGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Gavin BazunuGK · #31To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -18pp
Chris Forino-JosephRCB · #3Chris Forino-JosephRCB · #3To be booked
DataPitch 21%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
TotiLCB · #24TotiLCB · #24To be booked
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Samuel DalbyST · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 25%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Eoin ToalRB · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Chris Forino-JosephRCB · #3Chris Forino-JosephRCB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
TotiLCB · #24TotiLCB · #24Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nasser DjigaRCB · #34Headed shot on target
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
José SáGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gavin BazunuGK · #31Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Max ConwayLB · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Marshall MunetsiRDM · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Fer LópezRM · #28Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Hugo BuenoLB · #3Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joshua SheehanRDM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Adam ArmstrongST · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kieran TrippierRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ruben RodriguesCAM · #20Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gaizka LarrazabalRM · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
AndréLDM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rodrigo GomesCAM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ethan ErhahonLDM · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Thierry GaleLM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Fer LópezRM · #28Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 19%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Mateus ManeLM · #36Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Marshall MunetsiRDM · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Joshua SheehanRDM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gaizka LarrazabalRM · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Adam ArmstrongST · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
AndréLDM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Rodrigo GomesCAM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Thierry GaleLM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Samuel DalbyST · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ruben RodriguesCAM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Hugo BuenoLB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kieran TrippierRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
José SáGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
TotiLCB · #24TotiLCB · #24Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Nasser DjigaRCB · #34Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Ethan ErhahonLDM · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Eoin ToalRB · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Gavin BazunuGK · #31Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Max ConwayLB · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Chris Forino-JosephRCB · #3Chris Forino-JosephRCB · #3Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Tim Robinson will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
1 match on record, too few to call
League average is 3.98 yellows a match.
Home 4.00/match · Away 4.00/match
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.