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Your model for Wolves v Bolton

Championship · Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

97 players across every market.

Shots16
Samuel DalbyST · #10+0pp
Adam ArmstrongST · #10-3pp
More players (14)
Rodrigo GomesCAM · #21-5pp
Thierry GaleLM · #11-6pp
Max ConwayLB · #25-6pp
Mateus ManeLM · #36-7pp
Marshall MunetsiRDM · #5-11pp
Ruben RodriguesCAM · #20-12pp
Eoin ToalRB · #18-12pp
Gaizka LarrazabalRM · #22-19pp
Ethan ErhahonLDM · #21-19pp
Nasser DjigaRCB · #34-23pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #6-26pp
Joshua SheehanRDM · #8-27pp
Hugo BuenoLB · #3-32pp
Kieran TrippierRB · #2-38pp
Shots on target16
Eoin ToalRB · #18+4pp
Ethan ErhahonLDM · #21+1pp
More players (14)
Max ConwayLB · #25+1pp
Gaizka LarrazabalRM · #22+0pp
Nasser DjigaRCB · #34-4pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #6-5pp
Thierry GaleLM · #11-6pp
Samuel DalbyST · #10-9pp
Joshua SheehanRDM · #8-10pp
Hugo BuenoLB · #3-10pp
Ruben RodriguesCAM · #20-11pp
Kieran TrippierRB · #2-12pp
Rodrigo GomesCAM · #21-19pp
Adam ArmstrongST · #10-21pp
Marshall MunetsiRDM · #5-26pp
Mateus ManeLM · #36-32pp
To be booked422

The books expect about 4 cards.

AndréLDM · #7+20pp
Marshall MunetsiRDM · #5+17pp
More players (20)
Adam ArmstrongST · #10+10pp
Fer LópezRM · #28+5pp
Nasser DjigaRCB · #34+4pp
Joshua SheehanRDM · #8+0pp
Gaizka LarrazabalRM · #22-1pp
Mateus ManeLM · #36-1pp
Rodrigo GomesCAM · #21-1pp
Ethan ErhahonLDM · #21-2pp
Kieran TrippierRB · #2-3pp
Hugo BuenoLB · #3-4pp
Samuel DalbyST · #10-5pp
Ruben RodriguesCAM · #20-8pp
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #6-8pp
Eoin ToalRB · #18-10pp
Thierry GaleLM · #11-10pp
Max ConwayLB · #25-15pp
José SáGK · #1-17pp
Gavin BazunuGK · #31-18pp
Chris Forino-JosephRCB · #3
TotiLCB · #24
Headed shot on target21
Samuel DalbyST · #10
Eoin ToalRB · #18
More players (19)
Chris Forino-JosephRCB · #3
TotiLCB · #24
Nasser DjigaRCB · #34
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #6
José SáGK · #1
Gavin BazunuGK · #31
Max ConwayLB · #25
Marshall MunetsiRDM · #5
Fer LópezRM · #28
Hugo BuenoLB · #3
Joshua SheehanRDM · #8
Adam ArmstrongST · #10
Kieran TrippierRB · #2
Ruben RodriguesCAM · #20
Gaizka LarrazabalRM · #22
AndréLDM · #7
Rodrigo GomesCAM · #21
Ethan ErhahonLDM · #21
Thierry GaleLM · #11
Shot on target from outside the box22
Fer LópezRM · #28
Mateus ManeLM · #36
More players (20)
Marshall MunetsiRDM · #5
Joshua SheehanRDM · #8
Gaizka LarrazabalRM · #22
Adam ArmstrongST · #10
AndréLDM · #7
Rodrigo GomesCAM · #21
Thierry GaleLM · #11
Samuel DalbyST · #10
Ruben RodriguesCAM · #20
Hugo BuenoLB · #3
Kieran TrippierRB · #2
José SáGK · #1
TotiLCB · #24
Nasser DjigaRCB · #34
Benjamin DaviesLCB · #6
Ethan ErhahonLDM · #21
Eoin ToalRB · #18
Gavin BazunuGK · #31
Max ConwayLB · #25
Chris Forino-JosephRCB · #3
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

Tap any player for his numbers

Wolves
Bolton

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Tim Robinson will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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