v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Glenn Nyberg runs lenient on cards, and 3 of the 4 rows we would back are Atletico Madrid's.
154 players across every market.
Julián ÁlvarezLS · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -2pp
Youri TielemansRDM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -4pp
Álex GrimaldoLB · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -4pp
Cristian RomeroRCB · #21Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -7pp
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -8pp
Bryan MbeumoRM · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -8pp
Lisandro MartínezLCB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -9pp
Matheus CunhaST · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -11pp
2Diogo DalotRB · #2-11ppDiogo DalotRB · #2Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -11pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 55% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 55% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 55% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -12pp
Pablo BarriosLCM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -12pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Marc PubillRB · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -16pp
7Lee Kang-InRS · #7-18ppLee Kang-InRS · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 62% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -18pp
Dávid HanckoLCB · #17Fouls committed
DataPitch 45% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -19pp
Giuliano SimeoneRM · #20Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -20pp
10Álex BaenaLM · #10-21ppÁlex BaenaLM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 56% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
João CardosoRCM · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -30pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 51% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap +6pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap +6pp
Lisandro MartínezLCB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Dávid HanckoLCB · #17Fouls drawn
DataPitch 35% · Market 43%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 43% at 2.30 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Cristian RomeroRCB · #21Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 62% at 1.62 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Bryan MbeumoRM · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
2Diogo DalotRB · #2-12ppDiogo DalotRB · #2Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 48% at 2.10 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Youri TielemansRDM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 68% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 68% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 68% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Giuliano SimeoneRM · #20Fouls drawn
DataPitch 63% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
7Lee Kang-InRS · #7-16ppLee Kang-InRS · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Marc PubillRB · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 51% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Matheus CunhaST · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 62% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 62% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -18pp
Pablo BarriosLCM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -20pp
Julián ÁlvarezLS · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -20pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 56% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -24pp
10Álex BaenaLM · #10-26ppÁlex BaenaLM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 56% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -26pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 56% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -26pp
Now: DataPitch 56% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -26pp
João CardosoRCM · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 42% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -31pp
Álex GrimaldoLB · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 40% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -43pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -43pp
Julián ÁlvarezLS · #19Tackles
DataPitch 29% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +0pp
Lisandro MartínezLCB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 41% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -3pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Tackles
DataPitch 21% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Kobbie MainooLDM · #37Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -6pp
Álex GrimaldoLB · #22Tackles
DataPitch 54% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -8pp
Matheus CunhaST · #10Tackles
DataPitch 35% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 35% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 35% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -9pp
7Lee Kang-InRS · #7-13ppLee Kang-InRS · #7Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -13pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 24% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -14pp
Bryan MbeumoRM · #19Tackles
DataPitch 22% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -14pp
Giuliano SimeoneRM · #20Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -16pp
Pablo BarriosLCM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 42% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -16pp
23Luke ShawLB · #23-17ppLuke ShawLB · #23Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -17pp
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
10Álex BaenaLM · #10-17ppÁlex BaenaLM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 21% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -17pp
Youri TielemansRDM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 51% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -18pp
João CardosoRCM · #5Tackles
DataPitch 48% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -27pp
Marc PubillRB · #18Tackles
DataPitch 48% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -27pp
2Diogo DalotRB · #2-28ppDiogo DalotRB · #2Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -28pp
Cristian RomeroRCB · #21Tackles
DataPitch 38% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -31pp
Dávid HanckoLCB · #17Tackles
DataPitch 40% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -43pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -43pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 83% at 1.20 Bet365, gap -43pp
Dávid HanckoLCB · #17Shots
DataPitch 69% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 69% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap +13pp
Now: DataPitch 69% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap +13pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 60% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap +10pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap +10pp
Álex GrimaldoLB · #22Shots
DataPitch 85% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 85% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 85% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap +5pp
Bryan MbeumoRM · #19Shots
DataPitch 92% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 92% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 92% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Lisandro MartínezLCB · #6Shots
DataPitch 42% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 38% at 2.63 Paddy Power, gap +4pp
Álex BaenaLM · #10Shots
DataPitch 91% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 91% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 91% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap +0pp
Julián ÁlvarezLS · #19Shots
DataPitch 94% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 94% · Market 95% at 1.05 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 94% · Market 95% at 1.05 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Shots
DataPitch 86% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 86% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 86% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Shots
DataPitch 85% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 85% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 85% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Lee Kang-InRS · #7Shots
DataPitch 87% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 87% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 87% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap -4pp
Matheus CunhaST · #10Shots
DataPitch 86% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 86% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 86% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Youri TielemansRDM · #18Shots
DataPitch 61% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -10pp
2Diogo DalotRB · #2-13ppDiogo DalotRB · #2Shots
DataPitch 43% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
João CardosoRCM · #5Shots
DataPitch 34% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -14pp
Giuliano SimeoneRM · #20Shots
DataPitch 66% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Cristian RomeroRCB · #21Shots
DataPitch 40% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -31pp
Pablo BarriosLCM · #8Shots
DataPitch 45% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 77% at 1.30 Bet365, gap -32pp
Marc PubillRB · #18Shots
DataPitch 21% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -39pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -39pp
Lisandro MartínezLCB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +8pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Dávid HanckoLCB · #17Shots on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +0pp
Bryan MbeumoRM · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 57% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -3pp
Pablo BarriosLCM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 29% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
João CardosoRCM · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -9pp
Youri TielemansRDM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -11pp
2Diogo DalotRB · #2-11ppDiogo DalotRB · #2Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -11pp
Marc PubillRB · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 20% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -11pp
Álex GrimaldoLB · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 40% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -15pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 40% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -15pp
Now: DataPitch 40% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -15pp
Cristian RomeroRCB · #21Shots on target
DataPitch 24% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -16pp
10Álex BaenaLM · #10-17ppÁlex BaenaLM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 45% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 45% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 45% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -17pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 43% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 43% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 43% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -17pp
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -19pp
Matheus CunhaST · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -20pp
7Lee Kang-InRS · #7-20ppLee Kang-InRS · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 42% · Market 62%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 62% at 1.61 Bet365, gap -20pp
Julián ÁlvarezLS · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 53% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -25pp
Giuliano SimeoneRM · #20Shots on target
DataPitch 28% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 28% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 28% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -27pp
The books expect about 3.5 cards.
10Álex BaenaLM · #10+11ppÁlex BaenaLM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 29% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 29% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +11pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 29% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +11pp
Marc PubillRB · #18To be booked
DataPitch 25% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +11pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +11pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +11pp
Cristian RomeroRCB · #21To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +8pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap +8pp
João CardosoRCM · #5To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +3pp
Harry MaguireRCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 31% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap +2pp
Lee Kang-InRS · #7To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +2pp
Julián ÁlvarezLS · #19To be booked
DataPitch 12% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 11% at 9.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 11% at 9.50 Bet365, gap +1pp
Bryan MbeumoRM · #19To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Lisandro MartínezLCB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Álex GrimaldoLB · #22To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Diogo DalotRB · #2To be booked
DataPitch 18% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9To be booked
DataPitch 9% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 9% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Youri TielemansRDM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 17% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Giuliano SimeoneRM · #20To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Matheus CunhaST · #10To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -8pp
Dávid HanckoLCB · #17To be booked
DataPitch 7% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Pablo BarriosLCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 14% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -9pp
Senne LammensGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Luke ShawLB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 25%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kobbie MainooLDM · #37To be booked
DataPitch 17%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 30% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +15pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (194cm over a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +15pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +15pp
Diogo DalotRB · #2Headed shot on target
DataPitch 11% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
level in the air (183cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap +5pp
Dávid HanckoLCB · #17Headed shot on target
DataPitch 17% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (188cm over a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Matheus CunhaST · #10Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (184cm over a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Lisandro MartínezLCB · #6Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
gives up height in the air (175cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Pablo BarriosLCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (181cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (179cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Youri TielemansRDM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 3% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Álex GrimaldoLB · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
gives up height in the air (171cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Bryan MbeumoRM · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
João CardosoRCM · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
level in the air (185cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -8pp
Lee Kang-InRS · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
gives up height in the air (173cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Julián ÁlvarezLS · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
gives up height in the air (170cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
level in the air (180cm against a 181cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Cristian RomeroRCB · #21Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
level in the air (185cm against a 184cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -25pp
Senne LammensGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 15%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Luke ShawLB · #23Headed shot on target
DataPitch 14%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
13Jan OblakGK · #13Jan OblakGK · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Kobbie MainooLDM · #37Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Harry MaguireRCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +3pp
Luke ShawLB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 5 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Lisandro MartínezLCB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Cristian RomeroRCB · #21Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Dávid HanckoLCB · #17Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
João CardosoRCM · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 7%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 7% at 15.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Lee Kang-InRS · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 21% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Bryan MbeumoRM · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 8 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Giuliano SimeoneRM · #20Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 10% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 10% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 10% · Market 15% at 6.50 Bet365, gap -5pp
Álex BaenaLM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 1.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -7pp
Kobbie MainooLDM · #37Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Youri TielemansRDM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Marc PubillRB · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
2Diogo DalotRB · #2-13ppDiogo DalotRB · #2Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Pablo BarriosLCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 6 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -14pp
Marcus RashfordLM · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 14% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
shoots from range 0.9 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -17pp
Julián ÁlvarezLS · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 18% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 18% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 18% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -27pp
Álex GrimaldoLB · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -27pp
Bruno FernandesCAM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 16% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
shoots from range 1.1 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -28pp
Matheus CunhaST · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
shoots from range 1.1 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -31pp
13Jan OblakGK · #13Jan OblakGK · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Senne LammensGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Glenn Nyberg will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
lenient, 128 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 1.64/match · Away 1.81/match
3.02/match in tight games · 2.85/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
