v
The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.
Daniel Siebert runs average on cards, and 5 of the 7 rows we would back are Villarreal's.
157 players across every market.
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -4pp
Santiago MouriñoRCB · #15Fouls committed
DataPitch 75% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 75% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 75% · Market 85% at 1.18 Bet365, gap -10pp
6Pau NavarroRB · #6-10ppPau NavarroRB · #6Fouls committed
DataPitch 64% · Market 74%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 74% at 1.36 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Kevin De BruyneRAM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Scott McTominayLCM · #8Fouls committed
DataPitch 65% · Market 77%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 77% at 1.30 Paddy Power, gap -12pp
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14Fouls committed
DataPitch 72% · Market 85%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 85% at 1.17 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -13pp
16Rafa MarínCB · #16-16ppRafa MarínCB · #16Fouls committed
DataPitch 59% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -16pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12Fouls committed
DataPitch 58% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 75% at 1.33 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23Fouls committed
DataPitch 63% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 63% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 63% · Market 82% at 1.22 Bet365, gap -19pp
Amir RrahmaniRCB · #13Fouls committed
DataPitch 54% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 54% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 54% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -19pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 71% at 1.40 Bet365, gap -20pp
7David NeresLAM · #7-21ppDavid NeresLAM · #7Fouls committed
DataPitch 61% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 61% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 61% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18Fouls committed
DataPitch 57% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Giovanni Di LorenzoRM · #22Fouls committed
DataPitch 60% · Market 82%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 82% at 1.22 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Leonardo SpinazzolaLM · #37Fouls committed
DataPitch 48% · Market 71%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 71% at 1.40 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Stanislav LobotkaRCM · #68Fouls committed
DataPitch 46% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -23pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -23pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #19Fouls committed
DataPitch 52% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -28pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -28pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -28pp
Benoît BadiashileLCB · #5Fouls committed
DataPitch 51% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -37pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 51% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -37pp
Now: DataPitch 51% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -37pp
Rafa MarínCB · #16Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap +8pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap +8pp
Amir RrahmaniRCB · #13Fouls drawn
DataPitch 57% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 57% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 57% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23Fouls drawn
DataPitch 65% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 65% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 65% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Pau NavarroRB · #6Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -6pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 73% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 73% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 73% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12Fouls drawn
DataPitch 33% · Market 42%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 42% at 2.38 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Santiago MouriñoRCB · #15Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -11pp
Stanislav LobotkaRCM · #68Fouls drawn
DataPitch 67% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 67% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 67% · Market 80% at 1.25 Bet365, gap -13pp
Giovanni Di LorenzoRM · #22Fouls drawn
DataPitch 52% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -13pp
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14Fouls drawn
DataPitch 53% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -14pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10Fouls drawn
DataPitch 50% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 50% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 50% · Market 67% at 1.50 Paddy Power, gap -17pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18Fouls drawn
DataPitch 64% · Market 83%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 64% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 64% · Market 83% at 1.20 Paddy Power, gap -19pp
Leonardo SpinazzolaLM · #37Fouls drawn
DataPitch 36% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 56% at 1.80 Paddy Power, gap -20pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9Fouls drawn
DataPitch 59% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 59% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 59% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Kevin De BruyneRAM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 39% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 60% at 1.67 Paddy Power, gap -21pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #19Fouls drawn
DataPitch 58% · Market 80%
Against this price: Gap -22pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 58% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Now: DataPitch 58% · Market 80% at 1.25 Paddy Power, gap -22pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11Fouls drawn
DataPitch 60% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 90% at 1.11 Paddy Power, gap -30pp
7David NeresLAM · #7-35ppDavid NeresLAM · #7Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 69% at 1.44 Paddy Power, gap -35pp
Scott McTominayLCM · #8Fouls drawn
DataPitch 49% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -39pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -39pp
Benoît BadiashileLCB · #5Fouls drawn
DataPitch 34% · Market 73%
Against this price: Gap -39pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -39pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 73% at 1.36 Bet365, gap -39pp
Rafa MarínCB · #16Tackles
DataPitch 53% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
at our corrected probability the price is fair
This morning: DataPitch 53% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 53% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap +1pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9Tackles
DataPitch 23% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
price too long
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +0pp
Kevin De BruyneRAM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10Tackles
DataPitch 30% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -10pp
Leonardo SpinazzolaLM · #37Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -11pp
7David NeresLAM · #7-11ppDavid NeresLAM · #7Tackles
DataPitch 22% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23Tackles
DataPitch 49% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 49% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 49% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -16pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12Tackles
DataPitch 25% · Market 44%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 25% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 25% · Market 44% at 2.25 Bet365, gap -19pp
Stanislav LobotkaRCM · #68Tackles
DataPitch 36% · Market 56%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 56% at 1.80 Bet365, gap -20pp
Amir RrahmaniRCB · #13Tackles
DataPitch 32% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 52% at 1.91 Bet365, gap -20pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22Tackles
DataPitch 16% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 16% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 16% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -20pp
Scott McTominayLCM · #8Tackles
DataPitch 21% · Market 45%
Against this price: Gap -24pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -24pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 45% at 2.20 Bet365, gap -24pp
Benoît BadiashileLCB · #5Tackles
DataPitch 33% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -25pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18Tackles
DataPitch 37% · Market 64%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 64% at 1.57 Bet365, gap -27pp
Santiago MouriñoRCB · #15Tackles
DataPitch 60% · Market 90%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 60% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 60% · Market 90% at 1.11 Bet365, gap -30pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11Tackles
DataPitch 39% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -30pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 39% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -30pp
Now: DataPitch 39% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -30pp
Giovanni Di LorenzoRM · #22Tackles
DataPitch 34% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -33pp
6Pau NavarroRB · #6-41ppPau NavarroRB · #6Tackles
DataPitch 52% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -41pp
price too short
This morning: DataPitch 52% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -41pp
Now: DataPitch 52% · Market 93% at 1.07 Bet365, gap -41pp
Rafa MarínCB · #16Shots
DataPitch 32% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +9pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap +9pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9Shots
DataPitch 96% · Market 95%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 96% · Market 95% at 1.05 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 96% · Market 95% at 1.05 Paddy Power, gap +1pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22Shots
DataPitch 93% · Market 92%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 93% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 93% · Market 92% at 1.08 Bet365, gap +1pp
Kevin De BruyneRAM · #11Shots
DataPitch 84% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 84% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 84% · Market 88% at 1.14 Bet365, gap -4pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12Shots
DataPitch 36% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 36% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 36% · Market 40% at 2.50 Paddy Power, gap -4pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10Shots
DataPitch 83% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 83% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 83% · Market 88% at 1.14 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11Shots
DataPitch 83% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 83% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 83% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -5pp
Stanislav LobotkaRCM · #68Shots
DataPitch 14% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 23% at 4.33 Bet365, gap -9pp
Giovanni Di LorenzoRM · #22Shots
DataPitch 42% · Market 52%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 52% at 1.91 Paddy Power, gap -10pp
Scott McTominayLCM · #8Shots
DataPitch 79% · Market 91%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 79% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 79% · Market 91% at 1.10 Bet365, gap -12pp
7David NeresLAM · #7-12ppDavid NeresLAM · #7Shots
DataPitch 66% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -12pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 66% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -12pp
Now: DataPitch 66% · Market 78% at 1.28 Bet365, gap -12pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #19Shots
DataPitch 80% · Market 93%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 80% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 80% · Market 93% at 1.08 Paddy Power, gap -13pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18Shots
DataPitch 72% · Market 88%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 72% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 72% · Market 88% at 1.13 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Leonardo SpinazzolaLM · #37Shots
DataPitch 42% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 42% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 42% · Market 58% at 1.73 Paddy Power, gap -16pp
Amir RrahmaniRCB · #13Shots
DataPitch 31% · Market 48%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 48% at 2.10 Bet365, gap -17pp
6Pau NavarroRB · #6-18ppPau NavarroRB · #6Shots
DataPitch 15% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 33% at 3.00 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Benoît BadiashileLCB · #5Shots
DataPitch 21% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -19pp
Santiago MouriñoRCB · #15Shots
DataPitch 24% · Market 55%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 55% at 1.83 Bet365, gap -31pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23Shots
DataPitch 32% · Market 65%
Against this price: Gap -33pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 32% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -33pp
Now: DataPitch 32% · Market 65% at 1.53 Bet365, gap -33pp
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14Shots
DataPitch 38% · Market 78%
Against this price: Gap -40pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 38% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -40pp
Now: DataPitch 38% · Market 78% at 1.29 Paddy Power, gap -40pp
Rafa MarínCB · #16Shots on target
DataPitch 12% · Market 6%
Against this price: Gap +6pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 12% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Now: DataPitch 12% · Market 6% at 17.00 Bet365, gap +6pp
Stanislav LobotkaRCM · #68Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Santiago MouriñoRCB · #15Shots on target
DataPitch 19% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Amir RrahmaniRCB · #13Shots on target
DataPitch 15% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -3pp
David NeresLAM · #7Shots on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -4pp
Leonardo SpinazzolaLM · #37Shots on target
DataPitch 22% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 29% at 3.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12Shots on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Giovanni Di LorenzoRM · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 21% · Market 31%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 21% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 21% · Market 31% at 3.25 Bet365, gap -10pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23Shots on target
DataPitch 14% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -11pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 14% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
Now: DataPitch 14% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -11pp
6Pau NavarroRB · #6-13ppPau NavarroRB · #6Shots on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -13pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -13pp
Kevin De BruyneRAM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 44% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -14pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 44% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -14pp
Now: DataPitch 44% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -14pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #19Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -17pp
Scott McTominayLCM · #8Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 58%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 58% at 1.73 Bet365, gap -17pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18Shots on target
DataPitch 33% · Market 50%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 50% at 2.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10Shots on target
DataPitch 41% · Market 60%
Against this price: Gap -19pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -19pp
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 60% at 1.67 Bet365, gap -19pp
Benoît BadiashileLCB · #5Shots on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -20pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -20pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -20pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22Shots on target
DataPitch 46% · Market 67%
Against this price: Gap -21pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 46% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
Now: DataPitch 46% · Market 67% at 1.50 Bet365, gap -21pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9Shots on target
DataPitch 48% · Market 75%
Against this price: Gap -27pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 48% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -27pp
Now: DataPitch 48% · Market 75% at 1.33 Bet365, gap -27pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11Shots on target
DataPitch 37% · Market 69%
Against this price: Gap -32pp
we evaluate this market and never bet it
This morning: DataPitch 37% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -32pp
Now: DataPitch 37% · Market 69% at 1.44 Bet365, gap -32pp
The books expect about 4.5 cards.
Santiago MouriñoRCB · #15To be booked
DataPitch 41% · Market 28%
Against this price: Gap +13pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 41% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap +13pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 41% · Market 28% at 3.60 Paddy Power, gap +13pp
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14To be booked
DataPitch 34% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap +10pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 34% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +10pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 34% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +10pp
Rafa MarínCB · #16To be booked
DataPitch 33% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 33% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +9pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 33% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +9pp
Sergi CardonaLB · #23To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap +8pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +8pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap +8pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12To be booked
DataPitch 31% · Market 24%
Against this price: Gap +7pp
a calibrated probability, graded against what happened
This morning: DataPitch 31% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +7pp, on our board
Now: DataPitch 31% · Market 24% at 4.20 Paddy Power, gap +7pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap +5pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap +5pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18To be booked
DataPitch 30% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap +3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 30% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Now: DataPitch 30% · Market 27% at 3.75 Paddy Power, gap +3pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +2pp
Scott McTominayLCM · #8To be booked
DataPitch 22% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -1pp
Giovanni Di LorenzoRM · #22To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Kevin De BruyneRAM · #11To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 20% at 5.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Pau NavarroRB · #6To be booked
DataPitch 20% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 20% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 20% · Market 22% at 4.50 Bet365, gap -2pp
David NeresLAM · #7To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 15%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 15% at 6.50 Paddy Power, gap -2pp
Amir RrahmaniRCB · #13To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 22%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 22% at 4.50 Paddy Power, gap -3pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10To be booked
DataPitch 13% · Market 20%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 20% at 5.00 Paddy Power, gap -7pp
Leonardo SpinazzolaLM · #37To be booked
DataPitch 11% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap -7pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9To be booked
DataPitch 8% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 17% at 6.00 Paddy Power, gap -9pp
Benoît BadiashileLCB · #5To be booked
DataPitch 19% · Market 35%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 19% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 19% · Market 35% at 2.88 Bet365, gap -16pp
1Alex MeretGK · #1-17ppAlex MeretGK · #1To be booked
DataPitch 0% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -17pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 0% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Now: DataPitch 0% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -17pp
Stanislav LobotkaRCM · #68To be booked
DataPitch 5% · Market 23%
Against this price: Gap -18pp
the price is fair, so there is nothing to back
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 23% at 4.33 Paddy Power, gap -18pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #19To be booked
DataPitch 8%
Paddy Power withdrew this market before kick off. The last price we held was 6.00 at Paddy Power; there is no price on it now.
Amir RrahmaniRCB · #13Headed shot on target
DataPitch 23% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap +12pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (192cm over a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 23% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Now: DataPitch 23% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap +12pp
Benoît BadiashileLCB · #5Headed shot on target
DataPitch 27% · Market 18%
Against this price: Gap +9pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (194cm over a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 27% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +9pp
Now: DataPitch 27% · Market 18% at 5.50 Bet365, gap +9pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap +4pp
gives up height in the air (188cm against a 193cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap +4pp
Leonardo SpinazzolaLM · #37Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +2pp
level in the air (186cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap +2pp
Santiago MouriñoRCB · #15Headed shot on target
DataPitch 8% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (183cm against a 193cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18Headed shot on target
DataPitch 7% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (189cm against a 193cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Stanislav LobotkaRCM · #68Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap -1pp
gives up height in the air (170cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap -1pp
David NeresLAM · #7Headed shot on target
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #19Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 17%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
level in the air (185cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 17% at 6.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Giovanni Di LorenzoRM · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 10%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (183cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 10% at 10.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Kevin De BruyneRAM · #11Headed shot on target
DataPitch 4% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
gives up height in the air (181cm against a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -5pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 11%
Against this price: Gap -6pp
gives up height in the air (176cm against a 193cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 11% at 9.00 Bet365, gap -6pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
gives up height in the air (178cm against a 193cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Scott McTominayLCM · #8Headed shot on target
DataPitch 13% · Market 29%
Against this price: Gap -16pp
wins headers against a smaller marker (193cm over a 186cm back line); no corner line priced for his side yet
This morning: DataPitch 13% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -16pp
Now: DataPitch 13% · Market 29% at 3.40 Bet365, gap -16pp
Alex MeretGK · #1Headed shot on target
DataPitch 10%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
25Péter GulácsiGK · #25Péter GulácsiGK · #25Headed shot on target
DataPitch 9%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14Headed shot on target
DataPitch 5%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Sergi CardonaLB · #23Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Amir RrahmaniRCB · #13Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 3%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 7 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 3% at 29.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Rafa MarínCB · #16Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 3% · Market 2%
Against this price: Gap +1pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 7 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 3% · Market 2% at 51.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Now: DataPitch 3% · Market 2% at 51.00 Bet365, gap +1pp
Rasmus HøjlundST · #19Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 8% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap +0pp
shoots from range 0.4 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 8% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Now: DataPitch 8% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap +0pp
Ayoze PérezRS · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 11% · Market 13%
Against this price: Gap -2pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 11% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Now: DataPitch 11% · Market 13% at 8.00 Bet365, gap -2pp
Renato VeigaLCB · #12Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 5% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 5% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 5% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Pau NavarroRB · #6Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
no shots from outside the box in the 9 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 5% at 21.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Benoît BadiashileLCB · #5Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 4%
Against this price: Gap -3pp
no shots from outside the box in the 5 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 4% at 23.00 Bet365, gap -3pp
Giovanni Di LorenzoRM · #22Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 5%
Against this price: Gap -4pp
no shots from outside the box in the 10 matches we have logged
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 5% at 19.00 Bet365, gap -4pp
Alberto MoleiroLM · #10Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 22% · Market 27%
Against this price: Gap -5pp
shoots from range 0.7 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Now: DataPitch 22% · Market 27% at 3.75 Bet365, gap -5pp
Santiago MouriñoRCB · #15Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2% · Market 9%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 2% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 2% · Market 9% at 11.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Stanislav LobotkaRCM · #68Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 8%
Against this price: Gap -7pp
shoots from range 0.0 times a game across 10 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 8% at 13.00 Bet365, gap -7pp
Georges MikautadzeLS · #9Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 17% · Market 25%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
shoots from range 0.5 times a game across 12 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 17% · Market 25% at 4.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Leonardo SpinazzolaLM · #37Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 6% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -8pp
shoots from range 0.3 times a game across 6 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 6% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Now: DataPitch 6% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -8pp
Pape GueyeLCM · #18Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 24% · Market 33%
Against this price: Gap -9pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 13 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 24% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
Now: DataPitch 24% · Market 33% at 3.00 Bet365, gap -9pp
7David NeresLAM · #7-10ppDavid NeresLAM · #7Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 4% · Market 14%
Against this price: Gap -10pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 7 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 4% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Now: DataPitch 4% · Market 14% at 7.00 Bet365, gap -10pp
Kevin De BruyneRAM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 15% · Market 40%
Against this price: Gap -25pp
shoots from range 0.8 times a game across 15 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 15% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -25pp
Now: DataPitch 15% · Market 40% at 2.50 Bet365, gap -25pp
Ilias AkhomachRM · #11Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 7% · Market 38%
Against this price: Gap -31pp
shoots from range 0.2 times a game across 9 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 7% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -31pp
Now: DataPitch 7% · Market 38% at 2.63 Bet365, gap -31pp
Scott McTominayLCM · #8Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1% · Market 36%
Against this price: Gap -35pp
shoots from range 0.1 times a game across 6 logged matches
This morning: DataPitch 1% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -35pp
Now: DataPitch 1% · Market 36% at 2.75 Bet365, gap -35pp
25Péter GulácsiGK · #25Péter GulácsiGK · #25Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Santi ComesañaRCM · #14Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 2%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Alex MeretGK · #1Shot on target from outside the box
DataPitch 1%
No book has opened this market yet. The price lands here when one does.
Tap any player for his numbers
Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.
Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.
How strict you think Daniel Siebert will be tonight
Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.
Who has the ball and who is chasing it
The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.
Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him
A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.
We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.
We lean on the market where it is sharp
Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.
This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.
average, 200 matches
League average is 3.97 yellows a match.
Home 2.19/match · Away 2.37/match
4.43/match in tight games · 4.31/match in open ones
Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.
