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Your model for Stoke City v Middlesbrough

Championship · Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 UK · Ref

The rows below run on your numbers, and colour is the verdict: green a positive trade, red a negative one, white neutral. The chip recolours them from our model instead and opens our read on the match.

+The plus on a row builds your slip. Share on the slip turns it into a card.
›Tap any row for the arithmetic, his other lines, his last 5 and his season average.
⚽Tap any shirt on the pitch below for his own numbers.

Every market we price

160 players across every market.

Fouls committed20
Adilson MalandaLCB · #29+0pp
Jack McGlynnCAM · #7+0pp
More players (18)
Riley McGreeLM · #8-2pp
Maksym TalovierovRB · #40-6pp
Benjamin JohnsonRM · #2-6pp
Ashley PhillipsRCB · #4-6pp
Sebastian BerhalterRDM · #6-8pp
Amario Cozier-DuberryRM · #11-8pp
Neto BorgesLB · #30-9pp
Eric-Junior BocatLB · #17-9pp
Luke GrahamLCB · #5-10pp
Ben WilmotRCB · #16-10pp
Justin DevennyLM · #13-12pp
Aidan MorrisLDM · #10-13pp
Tommy ConwayCAM · #9-14pp
Djibril SoumaréLDM · #27-15pp
William LankshearST · #7-19pp
Callum BrittainRB · #2-24pp
Ethan GalbraithRDM · #8-27pp
Lamine CisséST · #11-31pp
Fouls drawn320
Benjamin JohnsonRM · #2+11pp
Callum BrittainRB · #2+7pp
More players (18)
Ben WilmotRCB · #16+6pp
Jack McGlynnCAM · #7-1pp
Djibril SoumaréLDM · #27-7pp
Ethan GalbraithRDM · #8-7pp
Maksym TalovierovRB · #40-8pp
Luke GrahamLCB · #5-10pp
Lamine CisséST · #11-11pp
Eric-Junior BocatLB · #17-11pp
Sebastian BerhalterRDM · #6-12pp
Riley McGreeLM · #8-12pp
Tommy ConwayCAM · #9-15pp
Neto BorgesLB · #30-20pp
Adilson MalandaLCB · #29-20pp
Amario Cozier-DuberryRM · #11-24pp
Ashley PhillipsRCB · #4-24pp
Aidan MorrisLDM · #10-28pp
Justin DevennyLM · #13-28pp
William LankshearST · #7-33pp
Tackles20
Ashley PhillipsRCB · #4+4pp
Amario Cozier-DuberryRM · #11-1pp
More players (18)
Luke GrahamLCB · #5-1pp
William LankshearST · #7-3pp
Adilson MalandaLCB · #29-9pp
Ben WilmotRCB · #16-11pp
Neto BorgesLB · #30-14pp
Lamine CisséST · #11-14pp
Ethan GalbraithRDM · #8-15pp
Tommy ConwayCAM · #9-16pp
Jack McGlynnCAM · #7-16pp
Riley McGreeLM · #8-17pp
Aidan MorrisLDM · #10-19pp
Sebastian BerhalterRDM · #6-19pp
Eric-Junior BocatLB · #17-25pp
Callum BrittainRB · #2-25pp
Djibril SoumaréLDM · #27-26pp
Justin DevennyLM · #13-27pp
Maksym TalovierovRB · #40-38pp
Benjamin JohnsonRM · #2-48pp
Shots20
Amario Cozier-DuberryRM · #11+15pp
Jack McGlynnCAM · #7+5pp
More players (18)
Aidan MorrisLDM · #10+5pp
Riley McGreeLM · #8+4pp
William LankshearST · #7+1pp
Benjamin JohnsonRM · #2+0pp
Ben WilmotRCB · #16-2pp
Adilson MalandaLCB · #29-4pp
Sebastian BerhalterRDM · #6-5pp
Luke GrahamLCB · #5-7pp
Callum BrittainRB · #2-8pp
Eric-Junior BocatLB · #17-9pp
Lamine CisséST · #11-12pp
Djibril SoumaréLDM · #27-12pp
Ethan GalbraithRDM · #8-16pp
Maksym TalovierovRB · #40-23pp
Neto BorgesLB · #30-28pp
Ashley PhillipsRCB · #4-31pp
Tommy ConwayCAM · #9-33pp
Justin DevennyLM · #13-35pp
Shots on target20
Benjamin JohnsonRM · #2+7pp
Adilson MalandaLCB · #29+4pp
More players (18)
Djibril SoumaréLDM · #27+3pp
Callum BrittainRB · #2+2pp
Ben WilmotRCB · #16+2pp
Luke GrahamLCB · #5-4pp
Ethan GalbraithRDM · #8-6pp
Aidan MorrisLDM · #10-6pp
Sebastian BerhalterRDM · #6-7pp
Neto BorgesLB · #30-8pp
Eric-Junior BocatLB · #17-11pp
Ashley PhillipsRCB · #4-11pp
Maksym TalovierovRB · #40-11pp
Riley McGreeLM · #8-12pp
Jack McGlynnCAM · #7-14pp
Tommy ConwayCAM · #9-14pp
Amario Cozier-DuberryRM · #11-16pp
Lamine CisséST · #11-19pp
William LankshearST · #7-20pp
Justin DevennyLM · #13-27pp
To be booked221

The books expect about 4.5 cards.

Djibril SoumaréLDM · #27+16pp
Sebastian BerhalterRDM · #6+5pp
More players (19)
Ethan GalbraithRDM · #8+2pp
Riley McGreeLM · #8+0pp
William LankshearST · #7+0pp
Adilson MalandaLCB · #29-1pp
Luke GrahamLCB · #5-3pp
Callum BrittainRB · #2-3pp
Aidan MorrisLDM · #10-3pp
Ben WilmotRCB · #16-4pp
Lamine CisséST · #11-5pp
Benjamin JohnsonRM · #2-7pp
Jack McGlynnCAM · #7-8pp
Amario Cozier-DuberryRM · #11-8pp
Maksym TalovierovRB · #40-10pp
Neto BorgesLB · #30-10pp
Ashley PhillipsRCB · #4-10pp
Justin DevennyLM · #13-11pp
Tommy ConwayCAM · #9-12pp
Eric-Junior BocatLB · #17-14pp
Viktor JohanssonGK · #1-23pp
Headed shot on target17
Maksym TalovierovRB · #40
Ashley PhillipsRCB · #4
More players (15)
Radek VítekGK · #1
Ben WilmotRCB · #16
Neto BorgesLB · #30
Adilson MalandaLCB · #29
Eric-Junior BocatLB · #17
Viktor JohanssonGK · #1
Callum BrittainRB · #2
Lamine CisséST · #11
Jack McGlynnCAM · #7
Riley McGreeLM · #8
Benjamin JohnsonRM · #2
Ethan GalbraithRDM · #8
Sebastian BerhalterRDM · #6
Aidan MorrisLDM · #10
Justin DevennyLM · #13
Shot on target from outside the box22
William LankshearST · #7
Amario Cozier-DuberryRM · #11
More players (20)
Aidan MorrisLDM · #10
Sebastian BerhalterRDM · #6
Jack McGlynnCAM · #7
Riley McGreeLM · #8
Ethan GalbraithRDM · #8
Justin DevennyLM · #13
Lamine CisséST · #11
Callum BrittainRB · #2
Eric-Junior BocatLB · #17
Tommy ConwayCAM · #9
Adilson MalandaLCB · #29
Benjamin JohnsonRM · #2
Neto BorgesLB · #30
Djibril SoumaréLDM · #27
Radek VítekGK · #1
Ashley PhillipsRCB · #4
Maksym TalovierovRB · #40
Ben WilmotRCB · #16
Viktor JohanssonGK · #1
Luke GrahamLCB · #5
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Both line-ups, tap any player for his numbers

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Stoke City
Middlesbrough

Expected XI. Attack at the top, keeper at the bottom.

Go deeper: make this match yours

Match level, never per player. Work down the steps, set the match up the way you see it, then Simulate re-prices every row above in your browser.

Referee

How strict you think Elliot Bell will be tonight

Our card model already has his record in it. This is your view on top of ours. Touches: cards, fouls and fouls drawn.

How the game goes

Who has the ball and who is chasing it

The side chasing shoots more and gets fouled more; the side in front tackles more. Touches: every market.

Battles

Pick the battles you are watching: an attacker and the defender on him

A battle is one attacker against the defender marking him. Add the duels you expect to shape the game and Simulate works them into both men's numbers. None picked yet, and none is fine.

vs

We apply our matchup pivot to each pair and show you every row it moves. Two battles never stack on one player: the pivot has a ceiling and one battle already takes him there. Touches: fouls, fouls drawn and cards for those players.

Use the bookmakers

We lean on the market where it is sharp

Off means our own numbers stand alone: the cards line stops setting the level and the goalscorer price stops lifting shots. Touches: cards, shots and shots on target.

This re-prices the rows we already evaluated. It does not re-decide which rows to evaluate or re-run the match itself.

Price = the latest market price we hold, labelled by the venue quoting it, never a price of ours. Where we hold more than one book on a row, all of them are behind the row's tap with the best marked. A row's colour is the trade in the numbers on show: green positive, red negative, white neutral. Those numbers are the model replayed with your dials, in your browser, until the chip above swaps in DataPitch's own; either way the percentages, the market's own number and the gap between them live behind the row's tap. A row's last-5 history counts starts of 60+ minutes in the last 365 days, most recent first.

Around this match

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